Application of Habitat Suitability Models for Assessing Climate Change Effects on Fish Distribution

Taeyong Shim; Eunhye Bae; Jinho Jung

doi:10.17820/eri.2016.3.2.134

Habitat suitability models for the imperiled wood turtle (Glyptemys insculpta) raise concerns for the species’ persistence under future climate change

Global Ecology and Conservation ◽

10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e01247 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 24 ◽

pp. e01247 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Caitlin C. Mothes ◽

Hunter J. Howell ◽

Christopher A. Searcy

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Habitat Suitability ◽

Future Climate ◽

Future Climate Change ◽

Species Persistence ◽

Habitat Suitability Models ◽

Glyptemys Insculpta ◽

Wood Turtle

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Climate-induced habitat suitability intensifies fishing-induced life-history variation of a migratory long-lived fish

10.22541/au.163251184.40896442/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Ya Wang ◽

Xi Jie Zhou ◽

Jiajie Chen ◽

Bin Xie ◽

Lingfeng Huang

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Life History ◽

Habitat Suitability ◽

Stock Enhancement ◽

Large Yellow Croaker ◽

Fishing Pressure ◽

Life History Variation ◽

Life History Parameters ◽

Climate Change Effects ◽

Fishery Collapse

Intense fishing pressure and climate change are major threats to coastal fisheries. Larimichthys crocea (large yellow croaker) is a long-lived fish, which performs seasonal migrations from its spawning and nursery grounds along the coast of the East China Sea (ECS) to overwintering grounds offshore. This study used length-based analysis and habitat suitability index (HSI) model to evaluate current life-history parameters and overwintering habitat suitability of L. crocea, respectively. We compared both life-history parameters and overwintering HSI between recent (2019) and historical (between 1971 to 1982) to analyze the fishing pressure and climate change effects on the overall population and overwintering phase of L. crocea. In the context of overfishing, the length-based analysis indicated serious overfishing of L. crocea, characterized by reduced catch yield, size truncation, constrained distribution, and advanced maturation in the ECS, namely recruitment bottleneck. In the context of climate change, the overwintering HSI modeling results indicated that climate change has led to decreased sea surface temperature during L. crocea overwintering phase over the last half-century, which in turn led to area decrease and an offshore-oriented shifting of optimal overwintering habitat. The fishing-caused size truncation may constrain the migratory ability and distribution of L. crocea, subsequently led to the mismatch of the optimal overwintering habitat against climate change background, namely habitat bottleneck. Hence, while heavily fishing was the major cause of L. crocea fishery collapse, climate-induced overwintering habitat suitability may have intensified the fishery collapse of L. crocea population. It is important for management to take both overfishing and climate change issues into consideration when developing stock enhancement activities and policy regulations, particularly for migratory long-lived fish that share a similar life history to L. crocea. Combined with China’s current restocking and stock enhancement initiatives, we propose recommendations for future restocking of L. crocea in China.

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Climate change effects on turtles of the genus Kinosternon (Testudines: Kinosternidae): an assessment of habitat suitability and climate niche conservatism

Hydrobiologia ◽

10.1007/s10750-020-04402-y ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 847 (19) ◽

pp. 4091-4110

Author(s):

Christian Berriozabal-Islas ◽

Aurelio Ramírez-Bautista ◽

Ferdinand Torres-Ángeles ◽

João Fabrício Mota Rodrigues ◽

Rodrigo Macip-Ríos ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Habitat Suitability ◽

Niche Conservatism ◽

Climate Change Effects ◽

Climate Niche

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Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Shrimps Distribution of Commercial Importance in the Gulf of California

Applied Sciences ◽

10.3390/app11125506 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (12) ◽

pp. 5506

Author(s):

Andres Cota-Durán ◽

David Petatán-Ramírez ◽

Miguel Ángel Ojeda-Ruiz ◽

Elvia Aida Marín-Monroy

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Habitat Suitability ◽

Gulf Of California ◽

Distribution Area ◽

Commercial Fishing ◽

Intergovernmental Panel ◽

Habitat Suitability Models ◽

Productivity Data ◽

Historical Distribution ◽

Change Impact

The Gulf of California is the most productive fishing region in Mexico; its ecosystems contain a vast diversity of species with exploitation potential, some of them potentially vulnerable to climate change. This research was conducted to analyze, through habitat suitability models, the possible alterations in the distribution of the three shrimp species of the most importance for commercial fishing in the region: Litopenaeus stylirostris, Litopenaeus vannamei, and Farfantepenaeus californiensis. Habitat suitability models were built using the MaxEnt software, primary productivity data, temperature, salinity, bathymetry, substratum, coastal type, and geo-referenced occurrence records of the three species. Of the data, 70% was used on training, while the remaining 30% was used for validation. To make estimates of climate change impact on this fishery, projections on distribution of the three species from environmental forecasts generated by the intergovernmental panel on climate change until 2100 were made. The used model, that is in full development and expansion, could be considered as an applicable tool to other problems and showed efficiency rates above 90%. The species will maintain most of their historical distribution, but L. stylirostris and L. vannamei will have a new distribution area within the zones of the Magdalena-Almejas Bay and the Gulf of Ulloa, with an increase of 80% and 148% respectively; all species will have loss areas in the proportion of 16%, 2%, and 11%, respectively, along the southern Gulf of California.

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Assessing the Present and Future Habitat Suitability of Caligus rogercresseyi (Boxshall and Bravo, 2000) for Salmon Farming in Southern Chile

Frontiers in Veterinary Science ◽

10.3389/fvets.2020.615039 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 ◽

Author(s):

Manuel Lepe-Lopez ◽

Joaquín Escobar-Dodero ◽

Natalia Zimin-Veselkoff ◽

Claudio Azat ◽

Fernando O. Mardones

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Habitat Suitability ◽

Spatial Ecology ◽

Salinity Range ◽

Climate Change Scenarios ◽

Southern Chile ◽

Entire Area ◽

Future Projections ◽

Habitat Suitability Models ◽

Salmon Farming

The sea louse (Caligus rogercresseyi) is the most relevant parasite for the farmed salmon industry in Chile, the second largest producer worldwide. Although spatial patterns of C. rogercresseyi have been addressed from data obtained from established monitoring and surveillance programs, studies on its spatial ecology are limited. A wide geographic distribution of C. rogercresseyi is presumed in Chile; however, how this species could potentially be distributed in space is unknown. Our study presents an analysis of the habitat suitability for C. rogercresseyi in the entire area occupied by marine sites of salmon farms in Chile. Habitat suitability modeling was used to explore the likelihood of species spatial occurrence based on environmental characteristics. Due to the expanding salmon industry in southern Chile, we studied C. rogercresseyi habitat suitability models for present (average of 2005–2010) and two future projections (2050 and 2100) under different climate change scenarios. Models were constructed with the maxent algorithm using a large database of spatial C. rogercresseyi occurrences from the Chilean fisheries health authority and included 23 environmental variables obtained from the Ocean Rasters for Analysis of Climate and Environment (Bio-ORACLE). Habitat suitability models indicated that water temperature, water salinity, and current velocity of waters were the most important characteristics limiting C. rogercresseyi distribution in southern Chile. Habitat suitability models for current climate indicated a heterogeneous pattern with C. rogercresseyi being present in waters with temperature range 12.12–7.08°C (sd = 0.65), salinity range 33.7–25.5 pss (sd = 1.73), and current water velocity range 0.23–0.01 m−1 (sd = 0.02). Predictions for future projections in year 2050 and year 2100 suggest new clumped dispersion of the environmental conditions for C. rogercresseyi establishment. Our results suggest complexity and a wide dispersion of the biogeographic distribution of the C. rogercresseyi habitat suitability with potential implications for control strategies and environmental issues for salmon farming in Chile. Further investigations are required into C. rogercresseyi distribution in southern Chile considering the possible effect of climate change.

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How will climate change affect the potential distribution of Eurasian tree sparrows Passer montanus in North America?

Current Zoology ◽

10.1093/czoolo/57.5.648 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 57 (5) ◽

pp. 648-654 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Jim Graham ◽

Catherine Jarnevich ◽

Nick Young ◽

Greg Newman ◽

Thomas Stohlgren

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

North America ◽

Habitat Suitability ◽

Native Species ◽

Potential Distribution ◽

Climate Change Scenarios ◽

Climate Data ◽

Global Biodiversity Information Facility ◽

Habitat Suitability Models ◽

Passer Montanus

Abstract Habitat suitability models have been used to predict the present and future potential distribution of a variety of species. Eurasian tree sparrows Passer montanus, native to Eurasia, have established populations in other parts of the world. In North America, their current distribution is limited to a relatively small region around its original introduction to St. Louis, Missouri. We combined data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility with current and future climate data to create habitat suitability models using Maxent for this species. Under projected climate change scenarios, our models show that the distribution and range of the Eurasian tree sparrow could increase as far as the Pacific Northwest and Newfoundland. This is potentially important information for prioritizing the management and control of this non-native species.

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