Finding the Signature of Climate Change in Meteorological Elements: A Study of Cloud Liquid Water, Precipitation Water, Latent Heat, Temperature, and Rainfall

Author(s):  
Rajasri Sen Jaiswal ◽  
Neela Vus ◽  
Sonia Fredrick ◽  
Rasheed Mohamed ◽  
Leena Zaveri
MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-296
Author(s):  
RAJASRI SEN JAISWAL ◽  
V.S. NEELA ◽  
SONIA R. FREDRICK ◽  
M. RASHEED ◽  
LEENA ZAVERI ◽  
...  

o"kkZ ds eq[; izkpyksa dk irk yxkus ds fy, bl 'kks/k i= ls 'kks/kdrkZvksa us m".kdfVca/kh; o"kkZ ekiu fe’ku ¼Vh- vkj- ,e- ,e-½ mixzg vk¡dM+k vk/kkj dh tk¡p dh gSA bl rF; dks le>us ds mijkUr fd c<+us okys ok;q iklZy ds }kjk ikuh ds ok"ihdj.k] ok"i ds la?kuu vkSj m"ek ÅtkZ ds laogu ls es?k cursa gS vkSj o"kkZ gksrh gSA  'kks/kdrkZvksa us ok;qeaMy dh fofHkUu Å¡pkbZ;ksa ij o"kkZ izfØ;k ds eq[; lg;ksfx;ksa ds :i esa es?k nzo ty ¼lh-,y-MCY;w-½] o"kZ.k ty ¼ih-MCY;w-½ rFkk xqIr m"ek ¼,y-,p-½ ds ckjs esa tkudkjh izkIr djuh vkjaHk dj nh gSSA bu vk¡dM+ksa dks cgq lekJ;.k fun’kZ esa Mkyk x;k gSA ;g ik;k x;k gSS fd o"kkZ vkSj bu izkpyksa esa egRoiw.kZ lglaca/k gSA blls LFkkfir gq, dk;kZRed laca/kksa ls fdlh Hkh le; o"kkZ dk vkdyu fd;k tk ldrk gS c’krZs dkWyeuj lh-,y-MCY;w-] ih-MCY;w- vkSj ,y-,p- eku miyC?k gksaA ,d ;k nks ds LFkku ij bu lHkh rhuksa izkpyksa dks cgq lekJ;.k fun’kZ esa 'kkfey djus ds QyLo:i o"kkZ dk csgrj iwokZuqeku yxk;k tk ldk gSA lh- ,y- MCY;w-] ,y- ,p- vkSj ih- MCY;w- ds chp egRoiw.kZ lglaca/k gSaA In search of the key parameters causing rainfall, the authors have explored Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite data base. By realizing the fact that evaporation of water, condensation of vapour and transport of heat energy by a rising air parcel are all about formation of cloud and rain, the authors have started their quest considering cloud liquid water (CLW), precipitation water (PW) and latent heat (LH) at different altitudes of the atmosphere as major contributors to rainfall mechanism. These data have been fitted to multiple regressions. It is found that significant correlations exist between rainfall and these parameters. The functional relationships so established are able to estimate surface rainfall at any instant, provided columnar CLW, PW and LH values are available. Inclusion of all the three parameters in multiple regression leads to better predictability of rainfall, instead of one or two. Significant correlations exist between CLW, LH and PW.


2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (8) ◽  
pp. 1809-1825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaodeng Chen ◽  
Hongli Wang ◽  
Jinzhong Min ◽  
Xiang-Yu Huang ◽  
Patrick Minnis ◽  
...  

AbstractAnalysis of the cloud components in numerical weather prediction models using advanced data assimilation techniques has been a prime topic in recent years. In this research, the variational data assimilation (DA) system for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model (WRFDA) is further developed to assimilate satellite cloud products that will produce the cloud liquid water and ice water analysis. Observation operators for the cloud liquid water path and cloud ice water path are developed and incorporated into the WRFDA system. The updated system is tested by assimilating cloud liquid water path and cloud ice water path observations from Global Geostationary Gridded Cloud Products at NASA. To assess the impact of cloud liquid/ice water path data assimilation on short-term regional numerical weather prediction (NWP), 3-hourly cycling data assimilation and forecast experiments with and without the use of the cloud liquid/ice water paths are conducted. It is shown that assimilating cloud liquid/ice water paths increases the accuracy of temperature, humidity, and wind analyses at model levels between 300 and 150 hPa after 5 cycles (15 h). It is also shown that assimilating cloud liquid/ice water paths significantly reduces forecast errors in temperature and wind at model levels between 300 and 150 hPa. The precipitation forecast skills are improved as well. One reason that leads to the improved analysis and forecast is that the 3-hourly rapid update cycle carries over the impact of cloud information from the previous cycles spun up by the WRF Model.


2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (20) ◽  
pp. 9851-9861 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. Ma ◽  
K. von Salzen ◽  
J. Cole

Abstract. Satellite-based cloud top effective radius retrieved by the CERES Science Team were combined with simulated aerosol concentrations from CCCma CanAM4 to examine relationships between aerosol and cloud that underlie the first aerosol indirect (cloud albedo) effect. Evidence of a strong negative relationship between sulphate, and organic aerosols, with cloud top effective radius was found for low clouds, indicating both aerosol types are contributing to the first indirect effect on a global scale. Furthermore, effects of aerosol on the cloud droplet effective radius are more pronounced for larger cloud liquid water paths. While CanAM4 broadly reproduces the observed relationship between sulphate aerosols and cloud droplets, it does not reproduce the dependency of cloud top droplet size on organic aerosol concentrations nor the dependency on cloud liquid water path. Simulations with a modified version of the model yield a more realistic dependency of cloud droplets on organic carbon. The robustness of the methods used in the study are investigated by repeating the analysis using aerosol simulated by the GOCART model and cloud top effective radii derived from the MODIS Science Team.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-52
Author(s):  
Gregory Tierney ◽  
Walter A. Robinson ◽  
Gary Lackmann ◽  
Rebecca Miller

AbstractHigh-impact events such as heat waves and droughts are often associated with persistent positive geopotential height anomalies (PAs). Understanding how PA activity will change in a future warmer climate is therefore fundamental to projecting associated changes in weather and climate extremes. This is a complex problem because the dynamics of PAs and their associated blocking activity are still poorly understood. Furthermore, climate-change influences on PA activity may be geographically dependent and encompass competing influences. To expose the salient impacts of climate change, we use an oceanic channel configuration of the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) in a bivariate experiment focused on changes in environmental temperature, moisture, and baroclinicity. The 500-hPa wind speed and flow variability are found to increase with increasing temperature and baroclinicity, driven by increases in latent heat release and a stronger virtual temperature gradient. Changes to 500-hPa sinuosity are negligible. PAs are objectively identified at the 500-hPa level using an anomaly threshold method. When using a fixed threshold, PA trends indicate increased activity and strength with warming, but decreased activity and strength with Arctic amplification. Use of a climate-relative threshold hides these trends and highlights the importance of accurate characterization of the mean flow. Changes in PA activity mirror corresponding changes in 500-hPa flow variability and are found to be attributable to changes in three distinct dynamical mechanisms: baroclinic wave activity, virtual temperature effects, and latent heat release.


2001 ◽  
Vol 58 (5) ◽  
pp. 497-503 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Gerber ◽  
J. B. Jensen ◽  
A. B. Davis ◽  
A. Marshak ◽  
W. J. Wiscombe

2003 ◽  
Vol 41 (8) ◽  
pp. 1853-1858 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.K. Varma ◽  
S. Pokhrel ◽  
R.M. Gairola ◽  
V.K. Agarwal

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document