Variational Assimilation of Cloud Liquid/Ice Water Path and Its Impact on NWP

2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (8) ◽  
pp. 1809-1825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaodeng Chen ◽  
Hongli Wang ◽  
Jinzhong Min ◽  
Xiang-Yu Huang ◽  
Patrick Minnis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Liquid Water ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Cloud Liquid Water ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Ice Water Path ◽  
Ice Water ◽  
The Impact

AbstractAnalysis of the cloud components in numerical weather prediction models using advanced data assimilation techniques has been a prime topic in recent years. In this research, the variational data assimilation (DA) system for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model (WRFDA) is further developed to assimilate satellite cloud products that will produce the cloud liquid water and ice water analysis. Observation operators for the cloud liquid water path and cloud ice water path are developed and incorporated into the WRFDA system. The updated system is tested by assimilating cloud liquid water path and cloud ice water path observations from Global Geostationary Gridded Cloud Products at NASA. To assess the impact of cloud liquid/ice water path data assimilation on short-term regional numerical weather prediction (NWP), 3-hourly cycling data assimilation and forecast experiments with and without the use of the cloud liquid/ice water paths are conducted. It is shown that assimilating cloud liquid/ice water paths increases the accuracy of temperature, humidity, and wind analyses at model levels between 300 and 150 hPa after 5 cycles (15 h). It is also shown that assimilating cloud liquid/ice water paths significantly reduces forecast errors in temperature and wind at model levels between 300 and 150 hPa. The precipitation forecast skills are improved as well. One reason that leads to the improved analysis and forecast is that the 3-hourly rapid update cycle carries over the impact of cloud information from the previous cycles spun up by the WRF Model.

scholarly journals The Impacts of Atmospheric and Surface Parameters on Long-Term Variations in the Planetary Albedo

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (21) ◽  
pp. 8705-8718 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bida Jian ◽  
Jiming Li ◽  
Guoyin Wang ◽  
Yongli He ◽  
Ying Han ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Liquid Water ◽  
Surface Albedo ◽  
Cloud Fraction ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Ice Water Path ◽  
Planetary Albedo ◽  
Ice Water ◽  
Long Term Variations

Planetary albedo (PA; shortwave broadband albedo) and its long-term variations, which are controlled in a complex way by various atmospheric and surface properties, play a key role in controlling the global and regional energy budget. This study investigates the contributions of different atmospheric and surface properties to the long-term variations of PA based on 13 years (2003–15) of albedo, cloud, and ice coverage datasets from the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) Single Scanner Footprint edition 4A product, vegetation product from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and surface albedo product from the Cloud, Albedo, and Radiation dataset, version 2 (CLARA-A2). According to the temporal correlation analysis, statistical results indicate that variations in PA are closely related to the variations of cloud properties (e.g., cloud fraction, ice water path, and liquid water path) and surface parameters (e.g., ice/snow percent coverage and normalized difference vegetation index), but their temporal relationships vary among the different regions. Generally, the stepwise multiple linear regression models can capture the observed PA anomalies for most regions. Based on the contribution calculation, cloud fraction dominates the variability of PA in the mid- and low latitudes while ice/snow percent coverage (or surface albedo) dominates the variability in the mid- and high latitudes. Changes in cloud liquid water path and ice water path are the secondary dominant factor over most regions, whereas change in vegetation cover is the least important factor over land. These results verify the effects of atmospheric and surface factors on planetary albedo changes and thus may be of benefit for improving the parameterization of the PA and determining the climate feedbacks.

scholarly journals Retrieval of an ice water path over the ocean from ISMAR and MARSS millimeter and submillimeter brightness temperatures

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 611-632 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manfred Brath ◽  
Stuart Fox ◽  
Patrick Eriksson ◽  
R. Chawn Harlow ◽  
Martin Burgdorf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Retrieval Method ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Brightness Temperatures ◽  
Ice Water Path ◽  
The Neural Networks ◽  
Nwp Model ◽  
Ice Water

Abstract. A neural-network-based retrieval method to determine the snow ice water path (SIWP), liquid water path (LWP), and integrated water vapor (IWV) from millimeter and submillimeter brightness temperatures, measured by using airborne radiometers (ISMAR and MARSS), is presented. The neural networks were trained by using atmospheric profiles from the ICON numerical weather prediction (NWP) model and by radiative transfer simulations using the Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator (ARTS). The basic performance of the retrieval method was analyzed in terms of offset (bias) and the median fractional error (MFE), and the benefit of using submillimeter channels was studied in comparison to pure microwave retrievals. The retrieval is offset-free for SIWP  > 0.01 kg m−2, LWP  > 0.1 kg m−2, and IWV  > 3 kg m−2. The MFE of SIWP decreases from 100 % at SIWP  =  0.01 kg m−2 to 20 % at SIWP  =  1 kg m−2 and the MFE of LWP from 100 % at LWP  = 0.05 kg m−2 to 30 % at LWP  =  1 kg m−2. The MFE of IWV for IWV  > 3 kg m−2 is 5 to 8 %. The SIWP retrieval strongly benefits from submillimeter channels, which reduce the MFE by a factor of 2, compared to pure microwave retrievals. The IWV and the LWP retrievals also benefit from submillimeter channels, albeit to a lesser degree. The retrieval was applied to ISMAR and MARSS brightness temperatures from FAAM flight B897 on 18 March 2015 of a precipitating frontal system west of the coast of Iceland. Considering the given uncertainties, the retrieval is in reasonable agreement with the SIWP, LWP, and IWV values simulated by the ICON NWP model for that flight. A comparison of the retrieved IWV with IWV from 12 dropsonde measurements shows an offset of 0.5 kg m−2 and an RMS difference of 0.8 kg m−2, showing that the retrieval of IWV is highly effective even under cloudy conditions.

scholarly journals Constraining the aerosol influence on cloud liquid water path

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 5331-5347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Gryspeerdt ◽  
Tom Goren ◽  
Odran Sourdeval ◽  
Johannes Quaas ◽  
Johannes Mülmenstädt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Liquid Water ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Natural Experiments ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Cloud Liquid Water ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Cloud Liquid Water Path ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract. The impact of aerosols on cloud properties is one of the largest uncertainties in the anthropogenic radiative forcing of the climate. Significant progress has been made in constraining this forcing using observations, but uncertainty remains, particularly in the magnitude of cloud rapid adjustments to aerosol perturbations. Cloud liquid water path (LWP) is the leading control on liquid-cloud albedo, making it important to observationally constrain the aerosol impact on LWP. Previous modelling and observational studies have shown that multiple processes play a role in determining the LWP response to aerosol perturbations, but that the aerosol effect can be difficult to isolate. Following previous studies using mediating variables, this work investigates use of the relationship between cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and LWP for constraining the role of aerosols. Using joint-probability histograms to account for the non-linear relationship, this work finds a relationship that is broadly consistent with previous studies. There is significant geographical variation in the relationship, partly due to role of meteorological factors (particularly relative humidity). The Nd–LWP relationship is negative in the majority of regions, suggesting that aerosol-induced LWP reductions could offset a significant fraction of the instantaneous radiative forcing from aerosol–cloud interactions (RFaci). However, variations in the Nd–LWP relationship in response to volcanic and shipping aerosol perturbations indicate that the Nd–LWP relationship overestimates the causal Nd impact on LWP due to the role of confounding factors. The weaker LWP reduction implied by these “natural experiments” means that this work provides an upper bound to the radiative forcing from aerosol-induced changes in the LWP.

scholarly journals Constraining the aerosol influence on cloud liquid water path

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Gryspeerdt ◽  
Tom Goren ◽  
Odran Sourdeval ◽  
Johannes Quaas ◽  
Johannes Mülmenstädt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Liquid Water ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Cloud Liquid Water ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Cloud Liquid Water Path ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract. The impact of aerosols on cloud properties is one of the largest uncertainties in the anthropogenic radiative forcing of the climate. In recent years, significant progress has been made in constraining this forcing using observations, but uncertainty still remains, particularly in the adjustments of cloud properties to aerosol perturbations. Cloud liquid water path (LWP) is the leading control on liquid-cloud albedo, making it important to observationally constrain the aerosol impact LWP. Previous modelling and observational studies have shown that multiple processes play a role in determining the LWP response to aerosol perturbations, but that the aerosol effect can be difficult to isolate. Following previous studies using mediating variables, this work investigates use of the relationship between cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and LWP for constraining the role of aerosols. Using joint probability histograms to account for the non-linear relationship, this work finds a relationship that is broadly consistent with previous studies. There is significant geographical variation in the relationship, partly due to role of meteorological factors (particularly relative humidity) in the relationship. However, the Nd-LWP relationship is negative in the majority of regions, suggesting that aerosol induced LWP reductions could offset a significant fraction of the radiative forcing from aerosol-cloud interactions (RFaci). However, variations in the Nd-LWP relationship in response to volcanic and shipping aerosol perturbations indicate that the Nd-LWP relationship overestimates the Nd impact on LWP. As such, the estimate of LWP changes due to aerosol in this work provides an upper bound to the radiative forcing from aerosol-induced changes in the LWP.

scholarly journals Retrieval of an Ice Water Path over the Ocean from ISMAR and MARSS millimeter/submillimeter brightness temperatures

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manfred Brath ◽  
Stuart Fox ◽  
Patrick Eriksson ◽  
R. Chawn Harlow ◽  
Martin Burgdorf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Retrieval Method ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Brightness Temperatures ◽  
Ice Water Path ◽  
Fractional Error ◽  
Nwp Model ◽  
Ice Water

Abstract. A neural network (NN)-based retrieval method to determine the snow ice water path (SIWP), liquid water path (LWP), and integrated water vapor (IWV) from millimeter and sub-millimeter brightness temperatures, measured by using airborne radiometers (ISMAR and MARSS), is presented. The NNs were trained by using atmospheric profiles from the ICON numerical weather prediction (NWP) model and by radiative transfer simulations using the Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator (ARTS). The basic performance of the retrieval method was analyzed in terms of offset (bias) and the median fractional error (MFE), and the benefit of using submillimeter channels was studied in comparison to pure microwave retrievals. The retrieval is offset free for SIWP > 0.01 kg/m2, LWP > 0.1 kg/m2 and IWV > 3 kg/m2. The MFE of SIWP decreases from 100 % at SIWP = 0.01 kg/m2 to 20 % at SIWP = 1 kg/m2 and the MFE of LWP from 100 % at LWP = 0.05 kg/m2 to 30 % at LWP = 1 kg/m2. The MFE of IWV for IWV > 3 kg/m2 is 5 % to 8 %. The SIWP retrieval strongly benefits from sub-millimeter channels, which reduce the MFE by a factor of two, compared to pure microwave retrievals. The IWV and the LWP retrieval also benefit from sub-millimeter channels, albeit to a lesser degree. The retrieval was applied to ISMAR and MARSS brightness temperatures from FAAM flight B897 on 18 March 2015 of a precipitating frontal system west of the coast of Iceland. Considering the given uncertainties, the retrieval is in reasonable agreement with the SIWP, LWP, and IWV values simulated by the ICON NWP model for that flight. A comparison of the retrieved IWV with IWV from 12 dropsonde 15 measurements shows an offset of 0.5 kg/m2 and an rms difference of 0.8 kg/m2, showing that the retrieval of IWV is highly effective even under cloudy conditions.

scholarly journals Evaluation of WRF-DART (ARW v3.9.1.1 and DART Manhattan release) multiphase cloud water path assimilation for short-term solar irradiance forecasting in a tropical environment

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 3939-3954
Author(s):  
Frederik Kurzrock ◽  
Hannah Nguyen ◽  
Jerome Sauer ◽  
Fabrice Chane Ming ◽  
Sylvain Cros ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Cloud Water ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Reunion Island ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Réunion Island ◽  
Cloud Water Path ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Numerical weather prediction models tend to underestimate cloud presence and therefore often overestimate global horizontal irradiance (GHI). The assimilation of cloud water path (CWP) retrievals from geostationary satellites using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) led to improved short-term GHI forecasts of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in midlatitudes in case studies. An evaluation of the method under tropical conditions and a quantification of this improvement for study periods of more than a few days are still missing. This paper focuses on the assimilation of CWP retrievals in three phases (ice, supercooled, and liquid) in a 6-hourly cycling procedure and on the impact of this method on short-term forecasts of GHI for Réunion Island, a tropical island in the southwest Indian Ocean. The multilayer gridded cloud properties of NASA Langley's Satellite ClOud and Radiation Property retrieval System (SatCORPS) are assimilated using the EnKF of the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) Manhattan release (revision 12002) and the advanced research WRF (ARW) v3.9.1.1. The ability of the method to improve cloud analyses and GHI forecasts is demonstrated, and a comparison using independent radiosoundings shows a reduction of specific humidity bias in the WRF analyses, especially in the low and middle troposphere. Ground-based GHI observations at 12 sites on Réunion Island are used to quantify the impact of CWP DA. Over a total of 44 d during austral summertime, when averaged over all sites, CWP data assimilation has a positive impact on GHI forecasts for all lead times between 5 and 14 h. Root mean square error and mean absolute error are reduced by 4 % and 3 %, respectively.

scholarly journals MBL drizzle properties and their impact on cloud property retrievals

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4307-4323
Author(s):  
P. Wu ◽  
X. Dong ◽  
B. Xi
Keyword(s):  
Liquid Water ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
Number Concentration ◽  
Effective Radius ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Cloud Property ◽  
Annual Means ◽  
Mean Differences ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. In this study, we retrieve and document drizzle properties, and investigate the impact of drizzle on cloud property retrievals from ground-based measurements at the ARM Azores site from June 2009 to December 2010. For the selected cloud and drizzle samples, the drizzle occurrence is 42.6% with a maximum of 55.8% in winter and a minimum of 35.6% in summer. The annual means of drizzle liquid water path LWPd, effective radius rd, and number concentration Nd for the rain (virga) samples are 5.48 (1.29) g m−2, 68.7 (39.5) μm, and 0.14 (0.38) cm−3. The seasonal mean LWPd values are less than 4% of the MWR-retrieved LWP values. The annual mean differences in cloud-droplet effective radius with and without drizzle are 0.12 and 0.38 μm, respectively, for the virga and rain samples. Therefore, we conclude that the impact of drizzle on cloud property retrievals is insignificant at the ARM Azores site.

scholarly journals Low-level mixed-phase clouds in a complex Arctic environment

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 3459-3481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosa Gierens ◽  
Stefan Kneifel ◽  
Matthew D. Shupe ◽  
Kerstin Ebell ◽  
Marion Maturilli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Local Wind ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Water Path ◽  
Local Boundary ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Ice Water Path ◽  
Mixed Phase Clouds ◽  
Ice Water ◽  
Surface Coupling

Abstract. Low-level mixed-phase clouds (MPCs) are common in the Arctic. Both local and large-scale phenomena influence the properties and lifetime of MPCs. Arctic fjords are characterized by complex terrain and large variations in surface properties. Yet, not many studies have investigated the impact of local boundary layer dynamics and their relative importance on MPCs in the fjord environment. In this work, we used a combination of ground-based remote sensing instruments, surface meteorological observations, radiosoundings, and reanalysis data to study persistent low-level MPCs at Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard, for a 2.5-year period. Methods to identify the cloud regime, surface coupling, and regional and local wind patterns were developed. We found that persistent low-level MPCs were most common with westerly winds, and the westerly clouds had a higher mean liquid (42 g m−2) and ice water path (16 g m−2) compared to those with easterly winds. The increased height and rarity of persistent MPCs with easterly free-tropospheric winds suggest the island and its orography have an influence on the studied clouds. Seasonal variation in the liquid water path was found to be minimal, although the occurrence of persistent MPCs, their height, and their ice water path all showed notable seasonal dependency. Most of the studied MPCs were decoupled from the surface (63 %–82 % of the time). The coupled clouds had 41 % higher liquid water path than the fully decoupled ones. Local winds in the fjord were related to the frequency of surface coupling, and we propose that katabatic winds from the glaciers in the vicinity of the station may cause clouds to decouple. We concluded that while the regional to large-scale wind direction was important for the persistent MPC occurrence and properties, the local-scale phenomena (local wind patterns in the fjord and surface coupling) also had an influence. Moreover, this suggests that local boundary layer processes should be described in models in order to present low-level MPC properties accurately.

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