scholarly journals Simulation Study The Implementation of Quantile Bootstrap Method on Autocorrelated Error

CAUCHY ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 95
Author(s):  
Ovi Delviyanti Saputri ◽  
Ferra Yanuar ◽  
Dodi Devianto

<span lang="DE">Quantile regression is a regression method with the approach of separating or dividing data into certain quantiles by minimizing the number of absolute values from asymmetrical errors to overcome unfulfilled assumptions, including the presence of autocorrelation. The resulting model parameters are tested for accuracy using the bootstrap method. The bootstrap method is a parameter estimation method by re-sampling from the original sample as much as R replication. The bootstrap trust interval was then used as a test consistency test algorithm constructed on the estimator by the quantile regression method. And test the uncommon quantile regression method with bootstrap method. The data obtained in this test is data replication 10 times. The biasness is calculated from the difference between the quantile estimate and bootstrap estimation. Quantile estimation methods are said to be unbiased if the standard deviation bias is less than the standard bootstrap deviation. This study proves that the estimated value with quantile regression is within the bootstrap percentile confidence interval and proves that 10 times replication produces a better estimation value compared to other replication measures. Quantile regression method in this study is also able to produce unbiased parameter estimation values.</span>

2015 ◽  
Vol 727-728 ◽  
pp. 1013-1016
Author(s):  
Pei Xin Zhao

In this paper, we propose a weighted quantile regression method for partially linear models with missing response at random. The proposed estimation method can give an efficient estimator for parametric components, and can attenuate the effect of missing responses. Some simulations are carried out to assess the performance of the proposed estimation method, and simulation results indicate that the proposed method is workable.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Mohammed M. A. Almazah ◽  
Muhammad Ismail

Several studies have considered various scheduling methods and reliability functions to determine the optimum maintenance time. These methods and functions correspond to the lowest cost by using the maximum likelihood estimator to evaluate the model parameters. However, this paper aims to estimate the parameters of the two-parameter Weibull distribution (α, β). The maximum likelihood estimation method, modified linear exponential loss function, and Wyatt-based regression method are used for the estimation of the parameters. Minimum mean square error (MSE) criterion is used to evaluate the relative efficiency of the estimators. The comparison of the different parameter estimation methods is conducted, and the efficiency of these methods is observed, both mathematically and experimentally. The simulation study is conducted for comparison of samples sizes (10, 50, 100, 150) based on the mean square error (MSE). It is concluded that the maximum likelihood method was found to be the most efficient method for all sample sizes used in the research because it achieved the least MSE compared with other methods.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6701
Author(s):  
Yuta Sueki ◽  
Yoshiyuki Noda

This paper discusses a real-time flow-rate estimation method for a tilting-ladle-type automatic pouring machine used in the casting industry. In most pouring machines, molten metal is poured into a mold by tilting the ladle. Precise pouring is required to improve productivity and ensure a safe pouring process. To achieve precise pouring, it is important to control the flow rate of the liquid outflow from the ladle. However, due to the high temperature of molten metal, directly measuring the flow rate to devise flow-rate feedback control is difficult. To solve this problem, specific flow-rate estimation methods have been developed. In the previous study by present authors, a simplified flow-rate estimation method was proposed, in which Kalman filters were decentralized to motor systems and the pouring process for implementing into the industrial controller of an automatic pouring machine used a complicatedly shaped ladle. The effectiveness of this flow rate estimation was verified in the experiment with the ideal condition. In the present study, the appropriateness of the real-time flow-rate estimation by decentralization of Kalman filters is verified by comparing it with two other types of existing real-time flow-rate estimations, i.e., time derivatives of the weight of the outflow liquid measured by the load cell and the liquid volume in the ladle measured by a visible camera. We especially confirmed the estimation errors of the candidate real-time flow-rate estimations in the experiments with the uncertainty of the model parameters. These flow-rate estimation methods were applied to a laboratory-type automatic pouring machine to verify their performance.


2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Xiao ◽  
Bohdan T. Kulakowski

Abstract Vehicle dynamic models include parameters that qualify the dependence of input forces and moments on state and control variables. The accuracy of the model parameter estimates is important for modeling, simulation, and control. In general, the most accurate method for determining values of model parameters is by direct measurement. However, some parameters of vehicle dynamics, such as suspension damping or moments of inertia, are difficult to measure accurately. This study aims at establishing an efficient and accurate parameter estimation method for developing dynamic models for transit buses, such that this method can be easily implemented for simulation and control design purposes. Based on the analysis of robustness, as well as accuracy and efficiency of optimization techniques, a parameter estimation method that integrates Genetic Algorithms and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation is proposed. Choices of output signals and estimation criterion are discussed involving an extensive sensitivity analysis of the predicted output with respect to model parameters. Other experiment-related aspects, such as imperfection of data acquisition, are also considered. Finally, asymptotic Cramer-Rao lower bounds for the covariance of estimated parameters are obtained. Computer simulation results show that the proposed method is superior to gradient-based methods in accuracy, as well as robustness to the initial guesses and measurement uncertainty.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1578 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hazem Al-Mofleh ◽  
Ahmed Z. Afify ◽  
Noor Akma Ibrahim

In this paper, a new two-parameter generalized Ramos–Louzada distribution is proposed. The proposed model provides more flexibility in modeling data with increasing, decreasing, J-shaped, and reversed-J shaped hazard rate functions. Several statistical properties of the model were derived. The unknown parameters of the new distribution were explored using eight frequentist estimation approaches. These approaches are important for developing guidelines to choose the best method of estimation for the model parameters, which would be of great interest to practitioners and applied statisticians. Detailed numerical simulations are presented to examine the bias and the mean square error of the proposed estimators. The best estimation method and ordering performance of the estimators were determined using the partial and overall ranks of all estimation methods for various parameter combinations. The performance of the proposed distribution is illustrated using two real datasets from the fields of medicine and geology, and both datasets show that the new model is more appropriate as compared to the Marshall–Olkin exponential, exponentiated exponential, beta exponential, gamma, Poisson–Lomax, Lindley geometric, generalized Lindley, and Lindley distributions, among others.


2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 505-529
Author(s):  
Kalpana Dharmalingam ◽  
Thyagarajan Thangavelu

Abstract In process industries, closed-loop step and closed-loop relay feedback tests are popularly used for estimating model parameters. In this paper, different methods available in the literature for parameter estimation using conventional techniques and techniques based on relay feedback test are surveyed by reviewing around 152 research articles published during the past three decades. Through a comprehensive survey of available literature, the parameter estimation methods are classified into two broad groups, namely conventional techniques and relay-based parametric estimation techniques. These relay-based techniques are further classified into two subgroups, namely single-input-single-output (SISO) systems and multi-input-multi-output systems (both square and nonsquare), and are revealed in a lucid manner with the help of benchmark examples and case studies. For the above categorized methods, the procedural steps involved in relay-based parametric estimation methods are also presented. To facilitate the readers, comparison tables are included to comprehend the results of different parametric estimation techniques available in the literature. The incorporation of quantitative and qualitative analysis of papers published in various journals in the above area with the help of pie charts and graphs would enable the readers to grasp the overview of the research activity being carried out in the relay feedback domain. At the end, the challenging issues in relay-based parametric estimation methods and the directions for future investigations that can be explored are also highlighted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Haoyun Yuan ◽  
Yuan Li ◽  
Bin Zhou ◽  
Shuanhai He ◽  
Peizhi Wang

In the design of prestressing concrete structures, the friction characteristics between strands and channels have an important influence on the distribution of prestressing force, which can be considered comprehensively by curvature and swing friction coefficients. However, the proposed friction coefficient varies widely and may lead to an inaccurate prestress estimation. In this study, four full-scale field specimens were established to measure the friction loss of prestressing tendons with electromagnetic sensors and anchor cable dynamometers to evaluate the friction coefficient. The least square method and Bayesian quantile regression method were adopted to calculate the friction coefficient, and the results were compared with that in the specifications. Field test results showed that Bayesian quantile regression method was more effective and significant in the estimation of the friction coefficient.


1996 ◽  
Vol 79 (4) ◽  
pp. 981-988 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Whitaker ◽  
Francis Giesbrecht ◽  
Jeremy Wu

Abstract The acceptability of 10 theoretical distributions to simulate observed distribution of sample aflatoxin test results was evaluated by using 2 parameter estimation methods and 3 goodness of fit (GOF) tests. All theoretical distributions were compared with 120 observed distributions of aflatoxin test results of farmers' stock peanuts. For a given parameter estimation method and GOF test, the negative binomial distribution had the highest percentage of statistically acceptable fits. The log normal and Poisson-gamma (gamma shape parameter = 0.5) distributions had slightly fewer but an almost equal percentage of acceptable fits. For the 3 most acceptable statistical models, the negative binomial had the greatest percentage of best or closest fits. Both the parameter estimation method and the GOF test had an influence on which theoretical distribution had the largest number of acceptable fits. All theoretical distributions, except the negative binomial distribution, had more acceptable fits when model parameters were determined by the maximum likelihood method. The negative binomial had slightly more acceptable fits when model parameters were estimated by the method of moments. The results also demonstrated the importance of using the same GOF test for comparing the acceptability of several theoretical distributions.


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