scholarly journals The Impact Of CoCo Bonds On Bank Value And Perceived Default Risk: Insights And Evidence From Their Pioneering Use In Europe

2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 2297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolin Schmidt ◽  
Ted Azarmi
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Financial Decision ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread ◽  
The Impact

Contingent convertible (CoCo) bonds convert to equity during financial distress. They help transfer the responsibility for bearing the costs of poor performance from the taxpayers to the bank owners. Our results are thus relevant for investors, financial decision-makers, and regulators. We analyze the effects of the pioneering use of CoCos in Europe by Lloyds Banking Group in 2009. The bank’s motivation for the issue is explored, considering both its economic situation and the Basel III regulations. We document a reduction in the bank’s market value following the announcement of the intention to issue CoCos. Simultaneously, the credit default swap spread goes up. This study suggests that CoCos can have a negative effect on a bank’s creditworthiness and firm value.

scholarly journals The Impact of Earnings on the Pricing of Credit Default Swaps

2009 ◽  
Vol 84 (5) ◽  
pp. 1363-1394 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey L. Callen ◽  
Joshua Livnat ◽  
Dan Segal
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swaps ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Earnings Surprises ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Percent Increase ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Highly Correlated ◽  
The Impact

ABSTRACT: This study evaluates the impact of earnings on credit risk in the Credit Default Swap (CDS) market using levels, changes, and event study analyses. We find that earnings (cash flows, accruals) of reference firms are negatively and significantly correlated with the level of CDS premia, consistent with earnings (cash flows, accruals) conveying information about default risk. Based on the changes analysis, a 1 percent increase in ROA decreases CDS rates significantly by about 5 percent. We also find that (1) CDS premia are more highly correlated with below-median earnings than with above-median earnings and (2) CDS premia are more highly correlated with earnings of low-rated firms than with earnings of high-rated firms. Evidence indicates further that short-window earnings surprises are negatively and significantly correlated with CDS premia changes in the three-day window surrounding the preliminary earnings announcement, although the impact is concentrated in the shorter maturities.

scholarly journals What Drives the Commonality between Credit Default Swap Spread Changes?

2017 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 243-275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike Anderson
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Counterparty Risk ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread ◽  
Fundamental Values

This paper documents an increase in the comovement between credit default swap (CDS) spread changes during the 2007–2009 crisis and investigates the source of that increase. One possible explanation is that comovement increased because fundamental values became more correlated. However, I find that changes in fundamentals account for only 23% of the increase in covariance. The remaining increase is attributed to changes in liquidity and the market price of default risk. In contrast, counterparty risk played an insignificant role. Although both contributed, the increase in covariance was driven more by variation in exposures than factor variance–covariance.

scholarly journals The Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia

2009 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Ericsson ◽  
Kris Jacobs ◽  
Rodolfo Oviedo
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Common Factor ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Swap Spreads

AbstractVariables that in theory determine credit spreads have limited explanatory power in existing empirical work on corporate bond data. We investigate the linear relationship between theoretical determinants of default risk and default swap spreads. We find that estimated coefficients for a minimal set of theoretical determinants of default risk are consistent with theory and are significant statistically and economically. Volatility and leverage have substantial explanatory power in univariate and multivariate regressions. A principal component analysis of residuals and spreads indicates limited evidence for a residual common factor, confirming that the theoretical variables explain a significant amount of the variation in the data.

scholarly journals Can Structural Models Price Default Risk? Evidence from Bond and Credit Derivative Markets

2015 ◽  
Vol 05 (03) ◽  
pp. 1550007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Ericsson ◽  
Joel Reneby ◽  
Hao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Default Risk ◽  
Structural Models ◽  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Corporate Bond ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Credit Derivative ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
Derivative Markets ◽  
Bond Spreads ◽  
Free Rate

Using a set of structural models, we evaluate the price of default protection for a sample of US corporations. In contrast to previous evidence from corporate bond data, credit default swap (CDS) premia are not systematically underestimated. In fact, one of our studied models has little difficulty on average in predicting their level. For robustness, we perform the same exercise for bond spreads by the same issuers on the same trading date. As expected, bond spreads relative to the treasury curve are systematically underestimated. This is not the case when the swap curve is used as a benchmark, suggesting that previously documented underestimation results may be sensitive to the choice of risk-free rate.

Credit default swap spread and succession events

2007 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 450-463
Author(s):  
Halit Gonenc ◽  
Floris Schorer ◽  
Willem P.F. Appel
Keyword(s):  
Credit Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default ◽  
Default Swap ◽  
Credit Default Swap Spread ◽  
Succession Events
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