scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Bangladesh Economy: a Time Series Analysis from 1972 to 2013

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rumana Rashid ◽  
Sk. Sharafat Hossen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on economic growth and examines the causality between FDI and economic growth in Bangladesh during 1972-2013. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), export performance (EXP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) are considered to capture the objective of the study. The study methodology includes some systematic steps. As the data used in the study is time-series in nature, the author employs unit root tests, and in this case, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) tests are used. Then Johansen’s cointegration test, Granger causality test, regression with Newey-West Standard Error and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are applied. By using the ADF and PP test the study reveals that the variables of four-time series are integrated of I (1) i.e. they are stationary at first difference. Regression analysis result demonstrates that FDI has a positive effect on economic growth. The Granger Causality test discloses that there is a unidirectional relationship between FDI and economic growth. But the VECM estimation finds that in the long run FDI negatively affects economic growth.

scholarly journals Investigating the Relationship between Unemployment and Inflation in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (03) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charity I. Anoke I. Anoke ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Status ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study considered the impact of inflation on unemployment in Nigeria viz avis selected macroeconomic variables. The researcher adopted co integration, vector error correction model and VEC Granger causality test econometric procedure in the analysis of the data employed. The specific objectives of the study are; (i) to determine the extent to which inflation impact on unemployment in Nigeria within the period of study, (ii) to examine if government expenditure have any significant impact on unemployment in Nigeria within the period of study, (iii) to estimate the significant impact of foreign direct investment on unemployment in Nigeria within the period of study; (iv) to investigate the extent of direction of causality between unemployment and inflation in Nigeria within the period of study. The results of the research revealed long run relationship among estimated variables, VECM result showed a positive significant relationship between inflation and unemployment in the short run and long run, government expenditure and foreign direct investment maintained negative relationship with unemployment both in the short and long run. The VEC Granger causality test indicated causality among UNEM, INF and TGEX. The research recommended that (i) government should focus on policy and strategy that can attract foreign direct investment into the country, (ii) government should try to maintain low inflation rate through suitable monetary policy; (iii) government should encourage investment platforms and enabling environment for effective and efficient national output; and (iv) Government should consciously increase fiscal space for capital activities and projects that are capable of generating income, increase domestic and public spending, improve economic status and reduce unemployment. This paper concluded that the Philip’s curve hypothesis does not apply in Nigeria within the period of study as the result failed to establish an inverse relationship as postulated by A.W. Philips.

scholarly journals TRADE OPENNESS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM INDIA

2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 188-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye ◽  
Wee-Yeap Lau
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rolling Window ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The main objective of this study is to develop first time trade openness index and use this index to examine the link between trade openness and economic growth in case of India. This study employs a new endogenous growth model for theoretical support, auto-regressive distributive lag model and rolling window regression method in order to determine long run and short run association between trade openness and economic growth. Further granger causality test is used to determine the long run and short run causal direction. The results reveal that human capital and physical capital are positively related to economic growth in the long run. On the other hand, trade openness index negatively impacts on economic growth in the long run. The new evidence is provided by the rolling window regression results i.e. the impact of trade openness index on economic growth is not stable throughout the sample. In the short run trade openness index is positively related to economic growth. The result of granger causality test confirms the validity of trade openness-led growth and human capital-led growth hypothesis in the short run and long run.

scholarly journals Examining the impact of Exports and Exchange rate on Economic Growth of Turkey

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iftikhar Muhammad ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Purpose This study intends to analyze the long-run and short-run relationships along with the identification of causal links between exports, economic growth, and exchange rate in Turkey. Data/Design: This study uses auto-regressive distributed lags (ARDL) and Granger causality over time series monthly data from the year 2010–2018. The results indicate that exports are significantly positively related to economic growth while the exchange rate is found to be negatively related to economic growth. Findings: Moreover, findings from the test of Granger causality indicate that a unidirectional causal association is found from exports to foreign direct investment and economic growth and from economic growth to foreign direct investment. The Granger causality results indicate that an increase in exports accelerates the economic growth of Turkey and a change in growth rate and exchange rate leads to a change in foreign direct investment. Originality of work: The overall findings suggest that exports should be promoted along with the liberal-investment economic policies to boost the overall economic growth in Turkey.

scholarly journals The Impact of FDI on Economic Growth in Case of Romania

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Alina Mihaela Ciobanu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Main Determinants ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

Foreign direct investment flows had increased worldwide over the last decades and many specialists think that there is a strong correlation among trade, FDI, labor force, and economic growth in the receiving countries. Based on available statistical data, we will examine the effects of FDI on GDP growth and the causality relations between GDP, trade openness, labor force, and FDI in case of Romania for the last decades. The ARDL bound testing approach is used to study the existence of a long-run relationship between FDI, trade, labor, and economic growth. Then the error-correction based Granger causality test is used to test the direction of causality between the variables. The results revealed that there is cointegration among the variables when real GDP and foreign direct investment are the dependent variables. Foreign direct investment, trade openness, and labor force are the main determinants of economic growth in the long run in Romania. In addition, the increase of gross domestic product, exports, imports and labor force promote foreign direct investment in the long run.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-80
Author(s):  
Shiva Prasad Pokharel ◽  
Bishnu Prasad Pokharel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Causality Test

 This paper aims to investigate the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Nepal for the period 2008/09 to 2017/18 A.D. yearly data. It evaluated the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) performance and the trends of FDI and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) in Nepal. To demonstrate the relationship between Nepalese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) Multiple-Regression-Model has been applied along with various econometrics techniques such as Unit-Root Test, Granger-Causality Test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). GDP in this model is used as dependent variable whereas FDI and GFCF are measured as independent variables. According to the results, Unit Root Test indicated that all the variables included in the model were not stationary at level except FDI, whereas GDP and GFCF are stationary at first difference. The model is overall significant with the positive and significant relationship of GDP, FDI and GFCF. Result also indicate a good fit for the model with R2=86%. The Granger Causality Test revealed that there was no causality between the variables since all p-value obtained are more than 5%. Based on the empirical result of this paper, policy recommendation proposed that for Nepal to generate more foreign direct investment, hard work should be made at solving problems of government involvement in business; relative closed economy; corruption; weak public institutions; and poor external image, and political instability.

scholarly journals Causality between foreign direct investment in the automotive sector and export performance of Macedonian economy

Equilibrium ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 427-443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jovanka Damoska Sekuloska
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Automotive Industry ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Automotive Sector ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Export Structure

Research background: Foreign direct investment is perceived as a valuable tool for economic growth. The growth could be realized more or less as a set of benefits depending on the FDIs features. In the period from 2009 to 2016 a remarkable increase in the share of FDIs inflow in automotive sector in Macedonian economy was noticed, from 2.8% to 14.1%. Thus, there seem to be good reasons to examine the issue of how the increased FDI inflow expressed through the remarkable in-crease of FDIs inflow in the automotive sector. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to analyze the causality between the increased FDIs inflow in the automotive industry and a remarkable export growth. The research interest of the study is to recognize the importance of the FDIs inflow structure as a determinant of the export structure. Methods: Within the paper a model is developed that identifies the FDIs as a factor of growth of the export performances. A regression analysis is used to examine the correlation between the FDIs inflow and export. In order to examine causality, the Granger causality test is applied between the FDIs inflow and increased export. Findings & Value added: The results suggest that FDIs create a good basis for quantitative and qualitative shift in the export structure of the Macedonian economy. The paper associates growth of sectoral export with the growth of FDIs in that sector. Due to the increased FDI inflow in the automotive industry, this sector has significantly increased its share in the total Macedonian export. The paper indicates that FDIs can be considered as a way of engagement in the global supplying chains, which additionally influences positively the competitiveness and export performance of the host suppliers.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Asian-African Conference Countries, 2000-2014

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 09-16
Author(s):  
Malik Cahyadin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Test Results ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Causality Test

Objective - This study analyses the relationship between FDI, TO, GE and EG based on data collected from 79 member countries of the AAC. Today, the AAC has becomes an urgent forum for member countries as it strives to manifest the economic development and prosperity of Asian and African countries. Methodology/Technique - This study uses correlation and the Granger Causality test to analyse data which were extracted from the World Bank database during the period of between 2000– 2014. Findings - The test results showed that the correlation of FDI, TO, GE may be correlated weakly, moderately, and strongly against EG. However, the Granger Causality test results indicated that not all variables have causality. In that regard, member countries of the AAC should pay more attention towards promoting economic growth through FDI, TO and GE. Novelty - The findings of this study can be used by policy makers and economists in the respective member countries of the AAC to design an economic strategy that encourages domestic economic growth. Type of Paper: Empirical/Review Keywords: Macroeconomy, AAC, Correlation, Causality test, Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure, Economic Growth.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth of Tanzania

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Salama Yusuf ◽  
Moza R. Omar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Economic Problem ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Foreign Earnings ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Trade openness is very crucial in the achievement of any rapid economic take off for any country. Realizing that in 1996, Tanzania government initiated economic recovery program to address the economic problem. One among them was Trade liberalization implementation. This paper examines the impact of trade openness on economic growth in Tanzania for the period 1981 to 2017.  The study utilized co-integration and Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VECM) Approach to test the relationship between trade openness and economic growth and granger causality test to examine the causal relationship between variable. The unit root tests showed that all variables were integrated after taking first difference, the Johansen co-integration result showed that the variables were co-integrated. The VECM estimate showed that there is positive long run relationship between trade openness and economic growth in Tanzania over the study period, this positive result of trade openness is possibly attributable to the fact that Tanzania unlocked its borders to international trades. In addition, granger causality test revealed that, there is no causal relationship between Trade openness and economic growth in Tanzania. Based on these findings, this study recommended that Government should encourage the production of domestic products for export purpose by developing more domestic industries and attracts more investors in the economy which will lead to increase the per capita income as well as foreign earnings that will promote economic growth of Tanzania.

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