scholarly journals Causality between foreign direct investment in the automotive sector and export performance of Macedonian economy

Equilibrium ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 427-443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jovanka Damoska Sekuloska
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Automotive Industry ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Automotive Sector ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Export Structure

Research background: Foreign direct investment is perceived as a valuable tool for economic growth. The growth could be realized more or less as a set of benefits depending on the FDIs features. In the period from 2009 to 2016 a remarkable increase in the share of FDIs inflow in automotive sector in Macedonian economy was noticed, from 2.8% to 14.1%. Thus, there seem to be good reasons to examine the issue of how the increased FDI inflow expressed through the remarkable in-crease of FDIs inflow in the automotive sector. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to analyze the causality between the increased FDIs inflow in the automotive industry and a remarkable export growth. The research interest of the study is to recognize the importance of the FDIs inflow structure as a determinant of the export structure. Methods: Within the paper a model is developed that identifies the FDIs as a factor of growth of the export performances. A regression analysis is used to examine the correlation between the FDIs inflow and export. In order to examine causality, the Granger causality test is applied between the FDIs inflow and increased export. Findings & Value added: The results suggest that FDIs create a good basis for quantitative and qualitative shift in the export structure of the Macedonian economy. The paper associates growth of sectoral export with the growth of FDIs in that sector. Due to the increased FDI inflow in the automotive industry, this sector has significantly increased its share in the total Macedonian export. The paper indicates that FDIs can be considered as a way of engagement in the global supplying chains, which additionally influences positively the competitiveness and export performance of the host suppliers.

scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Bangladesh Economy: a Time Series Analysis from 1972 to 2013

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rumana Rashid ◽  
Sk. Sharafat Hossen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on economic growth and examines the causality between FDI and economic growth in Bangladesh during 1972-2013. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), export performance (EXP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) are considered to capture the objective of the study. The study methodology includes some systematic steps. As the data used in the study is time-series in nature, the author employs unit root tests, and in this case, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) tests are used. Then Johansen’s cointegration test, Granger causality test, regression with Newey-West Standard Error and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are applied. By using the ADF and PP test the study reveals that the variables of four-time series are integrated of I (1) i.e. they are stationary at first difference. Regression analysis result demonstrates that FDI has a positive effect on economic growth. The Granger Causality test discloses that there is a unidirectional relationship between FDI and economic growth. But the VECM estimation finds that in the long run FDI negatively affects economic growth.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, and Environmental Concern: Evidence from Nigeria

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (7) ◽  
pp. 460-468
Author(s):  
Jonathan D. Danladi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Host Country ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Environmental Concern ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Multinational Companies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Growth Economic

One of the reasons pointed out, as the major cause of low investment in Nigeria is low saving. To bridge the saving-investment gap, there have been calls for inflow of foreign direct investment into the country. However, there are arguments about the impacts of FDI on the host country. Principal among the various arguments is its effect on environmental degradation .This paper sets out to examine the validity of this perception using Granger causality test. It examines the direction of causality between FDI and economic growth, Economic growth and Pollution, FDI and Pollution. The results revealed that there is no causality between the growth rate of GDP and FDI, growth rate of GDP and Co 2. The only causality found is a unidirectional causality between the growths of FDI grows and the growth rate of pollution. The direction is from growth rate of FDI to the growth rate of pollution. This paper concludes that government should make policy that will ensure that multinational companies use equipment that is environmentally friendly.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-80
Author(s):  
Shiva Prasad Pokharel ◽  
Bishnu Prasad Pokharel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Causality Test

 This paper aims to investigate the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Nepal for the period 2008/09 to 2017/18 A.D. yearly data. It evaluated the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) performance and the trends of FDI and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) in Nepal. To demonstrate the relationship between Nepalese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) Multiple-Regression-Model has been applied along with various econometrics techniques such as Unit-Root Test, Granger-Causality Test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). GDP in this model is used as dependent variable whereas FDI and GFCF are measured as independent variables. According to the results, Unit Root Test indicated that all the variables included in the model were not stationary at level except FDI, whereas GDP and GFCF are stationary at first difference. The model is overall significant with the positive and significant relationship of GDP, FDI and GFCF. Result also indicate a good fit for the model with R2=86%. The Granger Causality Test revealed that there was no causality between the variables since all p-value obtained are more than 5%. Based on the empirical result of this paper, policy recommendation proposed that for Nepal to generate more foreign direct investment, hard work should be made at solving problems of government involvement in business; relative closed economy; corruption; weak public institutions; and poor external image, and political instability.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE

Globus ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.M. Aliyev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Oil Sector

Development of non-oil sector of Azerbaijan was always one of the main priorities of the government. Oil sector of the economy was well developed since Azerbaijan got its independence, but in order to use the oil source more effectively it was determined to diversify the funds into non-oil sector of the economy, which in the end gave huge boost to most industries of the economy and led to increase of foreign direct investment. However, another source of the foreign direct investment and investor attraction – stock markets, were not developed and organized properly up until 1998, which was mainly due to outdated procedures left from USSR, absence of principles, methodology and understanding of how stock market can play huge role in expansion of economy and attraction of foreign investment. Nowadays, Azerbaijan has all possibilities to widen the stock market, enable easy way of increasing number of small businesses, startups and open the doors for them to global economy and lead to speedy expansion of the businesses. This research analyses the possible relationship between stock market development and economic growth, in order to predict possibility of positive impact of stock market on economic growth, overall social economic welfare of the country and business environment. For the purposes of the research, statistical figures of the country`s main economic indexes were collected: gross domestic product value, foreign direct investment value, stock market liquidity and turnover values, which were then analyzed and tested on various levels of cointegration test, Granger Causality test, vector error correction model and etc. All the analysis were done on statistical software Stata 11 based on figures of 1998-2016. The outcome of the Johansen-Julius shows existence of cointegration and by that VECM test proves relationship between stock market and economic growth in long run, while Wald Test confirms correction of this growth in short term by given explanatory variables. Hence, Granger causality test is conducted further, which determines bidirectional relationship between 3 variables: foreign direct investment, GDP and LIQ (stock market liquidity level). Based on the outcome of the analysis, study concludes that expansion of stock market and increase in foreign direct investment will have chain effect which leads to economic growth and social welfare in Azerbaijan.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Asian-African Conference Countries, 2000-2014

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 09-16
Author(s):  
Malik Cahyadin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Test Results ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Causality Test

Objective - This study analyses the relationship between FDI, TO, GE and EG based on data collected from 79 member countries of the AAC. Today, the AAC has becomes an urgent forum for member countries as it strives to manifest the economic development and prosperity of Asian and African countries. Methodology/Technique - This study uses correlation and the Granger Causality test to analyse data which were extracted from the World Bank database during the period of between 2000– 2014. Findings - The test results showed that the correlation of FDI, TO, GE may be correlated weakly, moderately, and strongly against EG. However, the Granger Causality test results indicated that not all variables have causality. In that regard, member countries of the AAC should pay more attention towards promoting economic growth through FDI, TO and GE. Novelty - The findings of this study can be used by policy makers and economists in the respective member countries of the AAC to design an economic strategy that encourages domestic economic growth. Type of Paper: Empirical/Review Keywords: Macroeconomy, AAC, Correlation, Causality test, Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure, Economic Growth.

scholarly journals The Causal Nexus Between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Indonesia: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivia Tanaya ◽  
Suyanto Suyanto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Causal Nexus

The nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth has long been among the most debated issues in macroeconomics. Some studies find a positive link between the two factors, but others find no evidence. This current research fills the gap by analysing the causal nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Indonesia for the period 1970-2018. Indonesia as a developing country is one of the largest recipients of FDI flow; hence the study on the impact of FDI on the economic growth is very much important. This current research employs a contemporary time-series procedure, involving several unit-root tests namely Augmented-Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Phillips-Perron (PP), Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS), and Lee-Strazicich (LS), an Auto-Regressive-Distributed-Lag (ARDL) bounds-testing method for cointegration, and Granger causality test. The findings provide evidence of long-run and short-run causal direction from GDP to FDI. In contrast, FDI generates only a short-run relationship on GDP. The Granger causality test confirms the finding in ARDL that there is a unidirectional causality running from GDP to FDI.

scholarly journals Attractiveness of Foreign Direct Investment and Export Performance in Morocco: The Case of the Automotive Industry

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 147
Author(s):  
Hidaya EL Khattabi ◽  
Mohamed Karim
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Automotive Industry ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Automotive Sector ◽  
Automotive Manufacturing ◽  
Free Zone ◽  
Export Sector ◽  
The Usa

<p><em>Thanks to its geopolitical position and its know-how, Morocco has established itself as a leader in the automotive sector on the continent. The Moroccan automotive industry has experienced remarkable growth in recent years. A dazzling progression that is not about to stop. Thus, Morocco has become the 28th largest car exporter in the world, first in North Africa and second on the African continent.</em></p><p><em>Its performance is particularly remarkable in terms of exports and job creation, for which the sector is growing at a double-digit rate with more than 80.000 people in 2016 compared to 39.131 in 2008. Cabling is the leading employer segment with nearly 69.5% in 2016, followed by seats and seat covers (9%) and automotive manufacturing (8.3%).</em></p><p><em>And with MAD58.8 billion in export sales in 2017, compared with MAD12.7 billion in 2007, the automotive sector is the leading export sector. This performance contributed to the overall evolution of Moroccan exports by nearly 36.7%. In 2017, the automotive sector became the country’s leading export sector for the fourth consecutive year. Its share rose to 23.6% in 2017 (5.5% of GDP) from 10.1% in 2007 (2.1% of GDP).</em></p><p><em>An analysis of Moroccan export markets by destination shows that France and Spain are Morocco’s main customers. Thus, cabling remains the main export segment to Spain. On the other hand, for France, Germany, Italy, Turkey and the United Kingdom, automotive manufacturing is the predominant branch in exports. Outside European countries, exports of vehicles produced in Morocco doubled to Algeria between 2016 and 2017, and have increased in recent years to Asian countries, mainly China.</em></p><p><em>Foreign direct investment income from the automotive industry rose sharply to MAD3.3 billion in 2017, up from MAD0.7 billion in 2010. France remains the leading direct investor in the automotive sector (82% in 2017), followed by the USA (8%) and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Production and exports should continue to rise thanks to a MAD6 billion investment by PSA Peugeot Citroën, which will set up a plant in Morocco in the municipality of Ameur Seflia, in the Gharb Chrarda-Beni Hssen region, on the edge of the Atlantic Free Zone integrated industrial platform.</em></p>

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