Hybrid Fluid Flow Simulation Combining Full Physics Simulation and Artificial Intelligence

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mokhles Mezghani ◽  
Mustafa AlIbrahim ◽  
Majdi Baddourah

Abstract Reservoir simulation is a key tool for predicting the dynamic behavior of the reservoir and optimizing its development. Fine scale CPU demanding simulation grids are necessary to improve the accuracy of the simulation results. We propose a hybrid modeling approach to minimize the weight of the full physics model by dynamically building and updating an artificial intelligence (AI) based model. The AI model can be used to quickly mimic the full physics (FP) model. The methodology that we propose consists of starting with running the FP model, an associated AI model is systematically updated using the newly performed FP runs. Once the mismatch between the two models is below a predefined cutoff the FP model is switch off and only the AI model is used. The FP model is switched on at the end of the exercise either to confirm the AI model decision and stop the study or to reject this decision (high mismatch between FP and AI model) and upgrade the AI model. The proposed workflow was applied to a synthetic reservoir model, where the objective is to match the average reservoir pressure. For this study, to better account for reservoir heterogeneity, fine scale simulation grid (approximately 50 million cells) is necessary to improve the accuracy of the reservoir simulation results. Reservoir simulation using FP model and 1024 CPUs requires approximately 14 hours. During this history matching exercise, six parameters have been selected to be part of the optimization loop. Therefore, a Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) using seven FP runs is used to initiate the hybrid approach and build the first AI model. During history matching, only the AI model is used. At the convergence of the optimization loop, a final FP model run is performed either to confirm the convergence for the FP model or to re iterate the same approach starting from the LHS around the converged solution. The following AI model will be updated using all the FP simulations done in the study. This approach allows the achievement of the history matching with very acceptable quality match, however with much less computational resources and CPU time. CPU intensive, multimillion-cell simulation models are commonly utilized in reservoir development. Completing a reservoir study in acceptable timeframe is a real challenge for such a situation. The development of new concepts/techniques is a real need to successfully complete a reservoir study. The hybrid approach that we are proposing is showing very promising results to handle such a challenge.

2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (04) ◽  
pp. 481-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siavash Nejadi ◽  
Juliana Y. Leung ◽  
Japan J. Trivedi ◽  
Claudio Virues

Summary Advancements in horizontal-well drilling and multistage hydraulic fracturing have enabled economically viable gas production from tight formations. Reservoir-simulation models play an important role in the production forecasting and field-development planning. To enhance their predictive capabilities and to capture the uncertainties in model parameters, one should calibrate stochastic reservoir models to both geologic and flow observations. In this paper, a novel approach to characterization and history matching of hydrocarbon production from a hydraulic-fractured shale is presented. This new methodology includes generating multiple discrete-fracture-network (DFN) models, upscaling the models for numerical multiphase-flow simulation, and updating the DFN-model parameters with dynamic-flow responses. First, measurements from hydraulic-fracture treatment, petrophysical interpretation, and in-situ stress data are used to estimate the initial probability distribution of hydraulic-fracture and induced-microfracture parameters, and multiple initial DFN models are generated. Next, the DFN models are upscaled into an equivalent continuum dual-porosity model with analytical techniques. The upscaled models are subjected to the flow simulation, and their production performances are compared with the actual responses. Finally, an assisted-history-matching algorithm is implemented to assess the uncertainties of the DFN-model parameters. Hydraulic-fracture parameters including half-length and transmissivity are updated, and the length, transmissivity, intensity, and spatial distribution of the induced fractures are also estimated. The proposed methodology is applied to facilitate characterization of fracture parameters of a multifractured shale-gas well in the Horn River basin. Fracture parameters and stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) derived from the updated DFN models are in agreement with estimates from microseismic interpretation and rate-transient analysis. The key advantage of this integrated assisted-history-matching approach is that uncertainties in fracture parameters are represented by the multiple equally probable DFN models and their upscaled flow-simulation models, which honor the hard data and match the dynamic production history. This work highlights the significance of uncertainties in SRV and hydraulic-fracture parameters. It also provides insight into the value of microseismic data when integrated into a rigorous production-history-matching work flow.


Author(s):  
Paulo Camargo Silva ◽  
Virgílio José Martins Ferreira Filho

In the recent literature of the production history matching the problem of non-uniqueness of reservoir simulation models has been considered a difficult problem. Complex workflows have been proposed to solve the problem. However, the reduction of uncertainty can only be done with the definition of Probability Density Functions that are highly costly. In this article we introduce a methodology to reduce uncertainty in the history matching using techniques of Monte Carlo performed on proxies as Reservoir Simulator. This methodology is able to compare different Probability Density Functions for different reservoir simulation models to define among the models which simulation model can provide more appropriate matching.


1986 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 397
Author(s):  
A.B. Kaliszewski

The Hutton reservoir in the Merrimelia Field (Cooper-Eromanga Basin) was the subject of a 3-D reservoir simulation study. The primary objective of the study was to develop a reservoir management tool for evaluating the performance of the field under various depletion options.The study confirmed that the ultimate oil recovery from this strong water drive reservoir was not adversely affected by increasing total fluid offtake rate. However, any decisions regarding changes to the depletion scheme such as increasing production rates, if based solely on computer simulation results, should be viewed with caution. Careful monitoring of any changes to the depletion philosophy and checking of actual data against simulation predictions are essential to ensure that oil production rate and ultimate recovery are optimised.The model assisted in evaluating the economics of development drilling. While the simulation results are dependent on the validity of geological mapping, the model was useful in confirming that, due to very high transmissibility in the Hutton reservoir, additional wells would only accelerate production rather than increase ultimate recovery. The issue of drilling wells thus became one of balancing the benefits of accelerating production against the geological risk associated with that well.Interaction between the reservoir engineer and various disciplines, particularly development geology, is critical in the development and application of a good working simulation model. This was found to be especially important during the history matching phase in the study. If engineers and development geologists can learn more of the others' discipline and appreciate the role that each has to play in simulation studies, the validity of such models can only be improved.The paper addresses a number of the pitfalls commonly encountered in application of reservoir simulation results.


SPE Journal ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (04) ◽  
pp. 1981-1999 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victor S. Rios ◽  
Luiz O. S. Santos ◽  
Denis J. Schiozer

Summary Field-scale representation of highly heterogeneous reservoirs remains a challenge in numerical reservoir simulation. In such reservoirs, detailed geological models are important to properly represent key heterogeneities. However, high computational costs and long simulation run times make these detailed models unfeasible to use in dynamic evaluations. Therefore, the scaling up of geological models is a key step in reservoir-engineering studies to reduce computational time. Scaling up must be carefully performed to maintain integrity; both truncation errors and the smoothing of subgrid heterogeneities can cause significant errors. This work evaluates the latter—the effect of averaging small-scale heterogeneities in the upscaling process—and proposes a new upscaling technique to overcome the associated limitations. The technique is dependent on splitting the porous media into two levels guided by flow- and storage-capacity analysis and the Lorenz coefficient (LC), both calculated with static properties (permeability and porosity) from a fine-scale reference model. This technique allows the adaptation of a fine highly heterogeneous geological model to a coarse-scale simulation model in a dual-porosity/dual-permeability (DP/DP) approach and represents the main reservoir heterogeneities and possible preferential paths. The new upscaling technique is applied to different reservoir-simulation models with water injection and immiscible gas injection as recovery methods. In deterministic and probabilistic studies, we show that the resulting coarse-scale dual-permeability models are more accurate and can better reproduce the fine-scale results in different upscaling ratios (URs), without using any simulation results of the reference fine-scale simulation models, as some of the current alternative upscaling methods do.


Author(s):  
Margarita A. Smetkina ◽  
◽  
Oleg A. Melkishev ◽  
Maksim A. Prisyazhnyuk ◽  
◽  
...  

Reservoir simulation models are used to design oil field developments, estimate efficiency of geological and engineering operations and perform prediction calculations of long-term development performances. A method has been developed to adjust the permeability cube values during reservoir model history-matching subject to the corederived dependence between rock petrophysical properties. The method was implemented using an example of the Bobrikovian formation (terrigenous reservoir) deposit of a field in the Solikamskian depression. A statistical analysis of the Bobrikovian formation porosity and permeability properties was conducted following the well logging results interpretation and reservoir modelling data. We analysed differences between the initial permeability obtained after upscaling the geological model and permeability obtained after the reservoir model history-matching. The analysis revealed divergences between the statistical characteristics of the permeability values based on the well logging data interpretation and the reservoir model, as well as substantial differences between the adjusted and initial permeability cubes. It was established that the initial permeability was significantly modified by manual adjustments in the process of history-matching. Extreme permeability values were defined and corrected based on the core-derived petrophysical dependence KPR = f(KP) , subject to ranges of porosity and permeability ratios. By using the modified permeability cube, calculations were performed to reproduce the formation production history. According to the calculation results, we achieved convergence with the actual data, while deviations were in line with the accuracy requirements to the model history-matching. Thus, this method of the permeability cube adjustment following the manual history-matching will save from the gross overestimation or underestimation of permeability in reservoir model cells.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bjørn Egil Ludvigsen ◽  
Mohan Sharma

Abstract Well performance calibration after history matching a reservoir simulation model ensures that the wells give realistic rates during the prediction phase. The calibration involves adjusting well model parameters to match observed production rates at specified backpressure(s). This process is usually very time consuming such that the traditional approaches using one reservoir model with hundreds of high productivity wells would take months to calibrate. The application of uncertainty-centric workflows for reservoir modeling and history matching results in many acceptable matches for phase rates and flowing bottom-hole pressure (BHP). This makes well calibration even more challenging for an ensemble of large number of simulation models, as the existing approaches are not scalable. It is known that Productivity Index (PI) integrates reservoir and well performance where most of the pressure drop happens in one to two grid blocks around well depending upon the model resolution. A workflow has been setup to fix transition by calibrating PI for each well in a history matched simulation model. Simulation PI can be modified by changing permeability-thickness (Kh), skin, or by applying PI multiplier as a correction. For a history matched ensemble with a range in water-cut and gas-oil ratio, the proposed workflow involves running flowing gradient calculations for a well corresponding to observed THP and simulated rates for different phases to calculate target BHP. A PI Multiplier is then calculated for that well and model that would shift simulation BHP to target BHP as local update to reduce the extent of jump. An ensemble of history matched models with a range in water-cut and gas-oil ratio have a variation in required BHPs unique to each case. With the well calibration performed correctly, the jump observed in rates while switching from history to prediction can be eliminated or significantly reduced. The prediction thus results in reliable rates if wells are run on pressure control and reliable plateau if the wells are run on group control. This reduces the risk of under/over-predicting ultimate hydrocarbon recovery from field and the project's cashflow. Also, this allows running sensitivities to backpressure, tubing design, and other equipment constraints to optimize reservoir performance and facilities design. The proposed workflow, which dynamically couple reservoir simulation and well performance modeling, takes a few seconds to run for a well, making it fit-for-purpose for a large ensemble of simulation models with a large number of wells.


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