Prognostic factors and survival according to tumour subtype in women presenting with breast cancer bone metastases at initial diagnosis: a SEER based study
Abstract Background: Tumour subtype have a significant effect on bone metastasis in breast cancer, but population-based estimates of the prognosis of bone metastases at diagnosis of breast cancer are lacking. The aim of this study was to analyse the influence of tumour subtype and other factors in the prognostic and survival of patients with bone metastases of breast cancer. Methods: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) data of 2012 to 2016 conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate patients with bone metastases in breast cancer. Patients characteristic according subtypes were compared using chi-square, overall survival (OS), prognostic factor calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: A total of 3384 patients were included in this study. 63.42% were HR+/HER2-, 19.86% were HR+/HER2+, 9.34% were HR-/HER2-, and 7.39% were HR-/HER2+. Median OS for the whole population was 38 months, and 33.9% of the patients were alive at five-year. The median OS and five-year survival rate among the different molecular subtype of breast cancer patients are significant differences (p<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age of 55-59 ( HR=1.270 ), black race ( HR=1.320 ), grade in III or IV ( HR=1.952 ), HR-/HER2- ( HR=2.727), lung metastases (HR=1.249), live metastases (HR=1.840), brain metastases (HR=1.812) only bone metastases ( HR=1.237) are independent risk factors of prognosis; married ( HR=0.812 ), HR+/HER2+ ( HR=0.618 ), HR-/HER2+ (HR=1.237), insurance ( HR=0.597 ) and surgery (HR=0.512) are independent protection factors of prognosis. Conclusions: There were substantial differences in OS according to tumour subtype. In addition to tumour subtype, other independent predictors of OS are age at diagnosis, race, marital status, insurance, grade, surgery and visceral metastases. Tumour subtype, as a significant prognostic factor, warrant further investigation. Keywords: Breast cancer, Bone metastases, Tumour subtype, Prognosis factor, Survival