scholarly journals Time-Domain Correlation Quantitative Analysis Method of Regional Rainfall-Landslide Displacement Responses Based on a Time-Domain Correlation Model

Author(s):  
Tingchen Wu ◽  
Xiao Xie ◽  
Qing Zhu ◽  
YeTing Zhang ◽  
Haoyu Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Landslide deformation is the most intuitive and effective characterization of the evolution of landslides and reveals their inherent risk. Considering the inadequacy of existing deformation monitoring data in the early warning of landslide hazards, resulting in insufficient disaster response times, this paper proposes a time-domain correlation model. Based on a regional rainfall-landslide deformation response analysis method, a time-domain correlation measure between regional rainfall and landslide deformation and a calculation method based on impulse response functions are proposed for prevalent rainfall-induced landslide areas, and the correlation with the rainfall-triggered landslide deformation mechanism is quantitatively modeled. Furthermore, using rainfall monitoring data to optimize the indicator system for landslide deformation monitoring and early warning significantly improves the preliminary warning based on landslide deformation. The feasibility of the method proposed in this paper is verified by analyzing the historical monitoring data of rainfall and landslide deformation at 15 typical locations in 5 landslide hidden hazard areas in Fengjie County, Chongqing city. (1) The correlation models for the XP landslide and XSP landslide involve a 5-day lagged correlation under a 56-day cycle and a 18-21-day lagged correlation under a 49-52-day cycle, which means that the deformation in the above areas can be modeled cyclically according to monitoring data, and early landslide warnings can be provided in advance with a lag time. (2) The correlation models for the TMS landslide and OT landslide show consistent correlations under a 48-50-day cycle and a 58-day cycle, which means that the deformation in the above areas can be predicted based on rainfall accumulation, and real-time warnings of future landslide deformation and displacement can be obtained. (3) The HJWC landslide presents a disorderly correlation pattern, which means that a preliminary landslide deformation warning cannot be provided based on rainfall alone; other monitoring data need to be supplemented and analyzed.

2014 ◽  
Vol 721 ◽  
pp. 442-445
Author(s):  
Wei Zheng ◽  
Chun Xian Wu ◽  
Rong Rong Cui

Regional coverage monitoring for structural deformation remains a challenge for current technologies. A coverage regional monitoring method based on dual ultrasonic transceivers and exhibiting deformation location ability is presented. The spatial projecting model of dual ultrasonic beams is established to determine the monitoring scope of the structural surface in space. Deformation location principles are induced by analyzing the spatial relations of the monitoring data of dual ultrasonic transceivers. Finally, an experiment is proposed to illustrate the method.


Author(s):  
Anatoly M. NIKASHKIN ◽  
Alexey A. KLIMOV

One of the primary and significant tasks in the construction of geological models of oil and gas reservoirs and development facilities is the problem of correlation of productive layers. This task, as a rule, is reduced to the identification and areal tracing of presumably even-aged oil and gas strata, horizons, and layers characterized by clear boundaries between sand strata and clay layers overlapping them. The practice of work related to modeling the structure of oil and gas horizons, layers and strata indicates that the correlation is not always unambiguous. The ambiguity is especially noticeable when correlating strata characterized by a clinoform structure, one of the examples is the Achimov strata. The most reliable basis for well correlation is GIS materials and lithological features of the interlayers forming individual layers. Clay interlayers and clay strata separating productive deposits provide valuable information when choosing a correlation model in sedimentary sections. These interlayers are characterized by the greatest consistency in area and are most clearly displayed on geophysical diagrams by the nature of the drawings of GIS curves. However, even in this case, i. e. when using the entire accumulated volume of the most diverse lithological and field-geophysical information, the correlation models of the sections turn out to be different and often even opposite. In this paper, the authors had to face a similar situation when correlating the horizon AS11 of the Zapadno-Kamynskoye field. The paper describes a method for clarifying the position of the chops of the productive horizon of oil and gas deposits using a multidimensional deterministic-statistical numerical model of the correlation of sedimentary strata. The proposed approach allows us to uniquely determine the positions of the chops in the conditions of a complex geological structure of the object, high thin-layered heterogeneity. A concrete example shows the advantages of the proposed approach in comparison with the traditional one.


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