scholarly journals Global solar radiation modeling using different machine learning and empirical models in Northeast China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Jia ◽  
Yongjun Su ◽  
Fengchun Wang ◽  
Pengcheng Li ◽  
Shuyi Huo
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Solar Energy ◽  
Northeast China ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Global Solar Radiation ◽  
Empirical Models ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Reliable global solar radiation (Rs) information is crucial for the design and management of solar energy systems for agricultural and industrial production. However, Rs measurements are unavailable in many regions of the world, which impedes the development and application of solar energy. To accurately estimate Rs, this study developed a novel machine learning model, called a Gaussian exponential model (GEM), for daily global Rs estimation. The GEM was compared with four other machine learning models and two empirical models to assess its applicability using daily meteorological data from 1997–2016 from four stations in Northeast China. The results showed that the GEM with complete inputs had the best performance. Machine learning models provided better estimates than empirical models when trained by the same input data. Sunshine duration was the most effective factor determining the accuracy of the machine learning models. Overall, the GEM with complete inputs had the highest accuracy and is recommended for modeling daily Rs in Northeast China.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Temperature-Based Empirical Models and Machine Learning Techniques to Estimate Daily Global Solar Radiation at Biratnagar Airport, Nepal

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Sandeep Dhakal ◽  
Yogesh Gautam ◽  
Aayush Bhattarai
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Ambient Temperature ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Global Solar Radiation ◽  
Empirical Models ◽  
Stepwise Linear Regression ◽  
Better Than

Global solar radiation (GSR) is a critical variable for designing photovoltaic cells, solar furnaces, solar collectors, and other passive solar applications. In Nepal, the high initial cost and subsequent maintenance cost required for the instrument to measure GSR have restricted its applicability all over the country. The current study compares six different temperature-based empirical models, artificial neural network (ANN), and other five different machine learning (ML) models for estimating daily GSR utilizing readily available meteorological data at Biratnagar Airport. Amongst the temperature-based models, the model developed by Fan et al. performs better than the rest with an R2 of 0.7498 and RMSE of 2.0162 MJm−2d−1. Feed-forward multilayer perceptron (MLP) is utilized to model daily GSR utilizing extraterrestrial solar radiation, sunshine duration, maximum and minimum ambient temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity as inputs. ANN3 performs better than other ANN models with an R2 of 0.8446 and RMSE of 1.4595 MJm−2d−1. Likewise, stepwise linear regression performs better than other ML models with an R2 of 0.8870 and RMSE of 1.5143 MJm−2d−1. Thus, the model developed by Fan et al. is recommended to estimate daily GSR in the region where only ambient temperature data are available. Similarly, a more robust ANN3 and stepwise linear regression models are recommended to estimate daily GSR in the region where data about sunshine duration, maximum and minimum ambient temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity are available.

Review of empirical solar radiation models for estimating global solar radiation of various climate zones of China

2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (2) ◽  
pp. 168-188
Author(s):  
Shaban G Gouda ◽  
Zakia Hussein ◽  
Shuai Luo ◽  
Qiaoxia Yuan
Keyword(s):  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Solar Energy ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Energy Systems ◽  
Global Solar Radiation ◽  
Empirical Models ◽  
Dew Point ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Accurate Information ◽  
Input Parameters

Utilizing solar energy requires accurate information about global solar radiation (GSR), which is critical for designers and manufacturers of solar energy systems and equipment. This study aims to examine the literature gaps by evaluating recent predictive models and categorizing them into various groups depending on the input parameters, and comprehensively collect the methods for classifying China into solar zones. The selected groups of models include those that use sunshine duration, temperature, dew-point temperature, precipitation, fog, cloud cover, day of the year, and different meteorological parameters (complex models). 220 empirical models are analyzed for estimating the GSR on a horizontal surface in China. Additionally, the most accurate models from the literature are summarized for 115 locations in China and are distributed into the above categories with the corresponding solar zone; the ideal models from each category and each solar zone are identified. Comments on two important temperature-based models that are presented in this work can help the researchers and readers to be unconfused when reading the literature of these models and cite them in a correct method in future studies. Machine learning techniques exhibit performance GSR estimation better than empirical models; however, the computational cost and complexity should be considered at choosing and applying these techniques. The models and model categories in this study, according to the key input parameters at the corresponding location and solar zone, are helpful to researchers as well as to designers and engineers of solar energy systems and equipment.

scholarly journals Simulation of Daily Diffuse Solar Radiation Based on Three Machine Learning Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 123 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-73
Author(s):  
Jianhua Dong ◽  
Lifeng Wu ◽  
Xiaogang Liu ◽  
Cheng Fan ◽  
Menghui Leng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Diffuse Solar Radiation ◽  
Machine Learning Models

scholarly journals Hybrid Machine Learning for Solar Radiation Prediction in Reduced Feature Spaces

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (23) ◽  
pp. 7970
Author(s):  
Abdel-Rahman Hedar ◽  
Majid Almaraashi ◽  
Alaa E. Abdel-Hakim ◽  
Mahmoud Abdulrahim
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Hybrid Models ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Mean Square Errors ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Solar radiation prediction is an important process in ensuring optimal exploitation of solar energy power. Numerous models have been applied to this problem, such as numerical weather prediction models and artificial intelligence models. However, well-designed hybridization approaches that combine numerical models with artificial intelligence models to yield a more powerful model can provide a significant improvement in prediction accuracy. In this paper, novel hybrid machine learning approaches that exploit auxiliary numerical data are proposed. The proposed hybrid methods invoke different machine learning paradigms, including feature selection, classification, and regression. Additionally, numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are used in the proposed hybrid models. Feature selection is used for feature space dimension reduction to reduce the large number of recorded parameters that affect estimation and prediction processes. The rough set theory is applied for attribute reduction and the dependency degree is used as a fitness function. The effect of the attribute reduction process is investigated using thirty different classification and prediction models in addition to the proposed hybrid model. Then, different machine learning models are constructed based on classification and regression techniques to predict solar radiation. Moreover, other hybrid prediction models are formulated to use the output of the numerical model of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) as learning elements in order to improve the prediction accuracy. The proposed methodologies are evaluated using a data set that is collected from different regions in Saudi Arabia. The feature-reduction has achieved higher classification rates up to 8.5% for the best classifiers and up to 15% for other classifiers, for the different data collection regions. Additionally, in the regression, it achieved improvements of average root mean square error up to 5.6% and in mean absolute error values up to 8.3%. The hybrid models could reduce the root mean square errors by 70.2% and 4.3% than the numerical and machine learning models, respectively, when these models are applied to some dataset. For some reduced feature data, the hybrid models could reduce the root mean square errors by 47.3% and 14.4% than the numerical and machine learning models, respectively.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document