scholarly journals Estimating Trends in COVID-19 Infected Cases Based on Panel Data Regression Modelling

Author(s):  
RAJARATHINAM ARUNACHALAM ◽  
TAMILSELVAN PAKKIRISAMY

Abstract Background and Objective: The novel coronavirus pandemic, known as COVID-19, could not have been more predictable; thus, the world encountered health crises and substantial economic crises. This paper analysed the trends in COVID-19 cases in October 2020 in four southern districts of Tamil Nadu state, India, using a panel regression model. Materials and Methods: Panel data on the number of COVID-19-infected cases were collected from daily bulletins published through the official website www.stopcorona.tn.gov.in maintained by the Government of Tamil Nadu state, India. Panel data regression models were employed to study the trends. EViews Ver.11. Software was used to estimate the model and its parameters. Results: In all four districts, the COVID-19-infected case data followed a normal distribution. Maximum numbers of COVID-19-infected cases were registered in Kanniyakumari, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Tenkasi districts. The fewest COVID-19 cases were registered in Tenkasi, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Kanniyakumari districts. A random effects model was found to be an appropriate model to study the trend.Conclusion: The panel data regression model is found to be more appropriate than traditional models. The Hausman test and Wald test confirmed the selection of the random effects model. The Jarque-Bera normality test ensured the normality of the residuals. In all four districts under study, the number of COVID-19 infections showed a decreasing trend at a rate of 1.68% during October 2020.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. RAJARATHINAM ◽  
P TAMILSELVAN

Abstract Background and Objective: The novel coronavirus pandemic, known as COVID-19, could not have been more predictable; thus, the world encountered health crises and substantial economic crises. This paper analysed the trends in COVID-19 cases in October 2020 in four southern districts of Tamil Nadu state, India, using a panel regression model. Materials and Methods: Panel data on the number of COVID-19-infected cases were collected from daily bulletins published through the official website www.stopcorona.tn.gov.in maintained by the Government of Tamil Nadu state, India. Panel data regression models were employed to study the trends. EViews Ver.11. Software was used to estimate the model and its parameters. Results: In all four districts, the COVID-19-infected case data followed a normal distribution. Maximum numbers of COVID-19-infected cases were registered in Kanniyakumari, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Tenkasi districts. The fewest COVID-19 cases were registered in Tenkasi, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Kanniyakumari districts. A random effects model was found to be an appropriate model to study the trend.Conclusion: The panel data regression model is found to be more appropriate than traditional models. The Hausman test and Wald test confirmed the selection of the random effects model. The Jarque-Bera normality test ensured the normality of the residuals. In all four districts under study, the number of COVID-19 infections showed a decreasing trend at a rate of 1.68% during October 2020.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
RAJARATHINAM ARUNACHALAM ◽  
TAMILSELVAN PAKKIRISAMY

Abstract Background and Objective: The novel coronavirus pandemic, known as COVID-19, could not have been more predictable; thus, the world encountered health crises and substantial economic crises. This paper analyses the trends in COVID-19 cases in October 2020 in four southern districts of Tamil Nadu state, India, using a panel regression model. Materials and Methods: Panel data on the number of COVID-19-infected cases were collected from daily bulletins published through the official website www.stopcorona.tn.gov.in maintained by the Government of Tamil Nadu state, India. Panel data regression models were employed to study the trends. EViews Ver.11. Software was used to estimate the model and its parameters. Results: In all four districts, the COVID-19-infected case data followed a normal distribution. Maximum numbers of COVID-19-infected cases were registered in Kanniyakumari, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Tenkasi districts. The fewest COVID-19 cases were registered in Tenkasi, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Kanniyakumari districts. A random e2ffects model was found to be an appropriate model to study the trend.Conclusion: The panel data regression model is found to be more appropriate than traditional models. The Hausman test and Wald test confirmed the selection of the random effects model. The Jarque-Bera normality test ensured the normality of the residuals. In all four districts under study, the number of COVID-19 infections showed a decreasing trend at a rate of 1.68% during October 2020.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
RAJARATHINAM ARUNACHALAM ◽  
TAMILSELVAN PAKKIRISAMY

Abstract Background and Objective: The novel coronavirus pandemic, known as COVID-19, could not have been more predictable; thus, the world encountered health crises and substantial economic crises. This paper analyses the trends in COVID-19 cases in October 2020 in four southern districts of Tamil Nadu state, India, using a panel regression model. Materials and Methods: Panel data on the number of COVID-19-infected cases were collected from daily bulletins published through the official website www.stopcorona.tn.gov.in maintained by the Government of Tamil Nadu state, India. Panel data regression models were employed to study the trends. EViews Ver.11. Software was used to estimate the model and its parameters. Results: In all four districts, the COVID-19-infected case data followed a normal distribution. Maximum numbers of COVID-19-infected cases were registered in Kanniyakumari, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Tenkasi districts. The fewest COVID-19 cases were registered in Tenkasi, followed by Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi and Kanniyakumari districts. A random e2ffects model was found to be an appropriate model to study the trend. Conclusion: The panel data regression model is found to be more appropriate than traditional models. The Hausman test and Wald test confirmed the selection of the random effects model. The Jarque-Bera normality test ensured the normality of the residuals. In all four districts under study, the number of COVID-19 infections showed a decreasing trend at a rate of 1.68% during October 2020.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-23
Author(s):  
Bayu Rhamadani Wicaksono

The purpose of the study is to analyze the effect of local taxes and retributions on the economic growth in Indonesia. The data used are secondary data from provinces in Indonesia 2014-2017 using panel data regression with Random Effects Model (REM). The results are as follows, first, the local taxes has a negative and significant impact on the economic growth in Indonesia. Second, the retributions have a positive and significant effect on the economic growth in Indonesia. The government should evaluate and plan a good strategy for the next period so that the potential revenues of local taxes and retributions can increase economic growth gradually.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (7) ◽  
pp. 1522-1533
Author(s):  
A.V. Larionov

Subject. This article deals with the issue of improving the public investment allocative efficiency. Objectives. The article aims to develop an approach to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of public investment in the economy. Methods. The study is based on a panel data regression with random effects. Conclusions and Relevance. All sectors of the economy have different demand for investment resources attracted, determined by operational and technological aspects. The results of the study can be used to develop an effective system of public investment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (7) ◽  
pp. 147-154
Author(s):  
K. Maheswari ◽  
Dr. J. Gayathri ◽  
Dr. M. Babu ◽  
Dr.G. Indhumathi

The capital structure refers to the components of capital needed to establish and expand its business activities. The study was made with an objective to examine the determinants of capital structure of multinational and domestic companies listed in S&P BSE automobile sector. The study concluded that there is significant impact on capital structure determinants such as size, business risk, non debt shield tax, return on assets, tangibility, profit, return on capital employed and liquidity on the capital structure of multinational and domestic companies of Indian Automobile Sector.  


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 115
Author(s):  
Syafruddin Side ◽  
S. Sukarna ◽  
Raihana Nurfitrah

Penelitian ini membahas mengenai estimasi parameter model regresi data panel pada pemodelan tingkat kematian bayi di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan dari tahun 2014 sampai dengan 2015. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder dari Dinas Kesehatan Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan yang berupa jumlah kematian bayi, berat bayi lahir rendah, persalinan yang ditolong oleh tenaga kesehatan, penduduk miskin, bayi yang diberi ASI ekslusif dan rumah tangga berperilaku bersih sehat di seluruh Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan tahun 2014-2016. Analisis data dilakukan dengan menggunakan penghitungan manual dan dengan menggunakan software EViews 9. Pembahasan dimulai dari melakukan estimasi parameter model regresi data panel, menentukan model regresi data panel terbaik, , menguji asumsi model regresi data panel, pengujian signifikansi parameter dan interpretasi model regresi. Dalam penelitian ini diperoleh kesimpulan yaitu estimasi model regresi data panel terbaik dengan pendekatan fixed effect model.Kata kunci:Regresi Data Panel, Kematian Bayi, Fixed Effect Model, Least Square Dummy Variable. This research discusses about parameter estimation of panel data regression model of infant mortality level modelling in South Sulawesi from 2014 to 2015. The data used were secondary data from Dinas Kesehatan Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan in the form of number of infant mortality, low weight of infant, childbirth rescued by health workers, poor population, infants who were given exclusive breast milk and household that behaves well in the whole district/town in South Sulawesi year 2014-2016. Data analysis was performed using the calculation manually and by using EViews 9 software. The discussion started from doing parameter estimation of panel data regression model, determining the best panel data regression model, testing the assumption of panel data regression model, testing the signification of parameter and interpretation of regression model. Conclusion of this research are the estimation of regression model is the best panel data regression model with fixed effects model approach.Keywords:Panel Data Regression, Infant Mortality, Fixed Effect Model, Least Square Dummy Variable.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-54
Author(s):  
Adnan Putra Pratama ◽  
Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto ◽  
Masyhuri Masyhuri

Trade liberalization is currently demanding every country to increase the competitiveness of its products. Indonesia as the largest clove producer in the world has a major competitor in the international market. This study aims to determine the competitiveness of Indonesia's clove exports and competing countries in the international market and determine the factors that affect its competitiveness. The data used in this study are secondary data from five major producing countries namely Indonesia, Madagascar, Tanzania, Sri Lanka, and Comoros during the period 2000-2017 sourced from UNComtrade, FAO and the World Bank. Competitiveness is measured by Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Acceleration Ratio (AR) and Export Product Dynamic (EPD) while the factors that affect competitiveness are used panel data regression methods using E-Views software. The results showed that Indonesia had the lowest RCA index, the AR value showed Madagascar and Tanzania were able to capture market share in the international market and the EPD value showed that all countries occupied the rising star position except Sri Lanka in the falling star position. Panel data regression analysis results show that the market share and GDP variables significantly influence the competitiveness of the main clove producing countries while the production variables and export prices do not significantly influence the country's competitiveness. The government must dare to take policies to limit clove imports and increase exports.


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