Diagnostic test accuracy study for the detection of bovine genital campylobacteriosis of preputial scrapings from beef bulls, in Uruguay: A Bayesian latent class model approach

Author(s):  
America Esther Mederos ◽  
Denise Galarraga ◽  
Linda van der Graaf-van Bloois ◽  
Sebastien Buczinski

Abstract The sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) of three diagnostic tests for the detection of Campylobacter fetus venerealis (Cfv) using field samples were estimated using a Bayesian latent class model (BLCM), accounting for the absence of a gold standard. The tests were direct immunofluorescence antibody test (IFAT), polymerase chain reaction (PCR), and real-time PCR (RT-PCR). Twelve farms from two different populations were selected and bull prepuce samples were collected. The IFAT was performed according to the OIE Manual. The conventional PCR was performed as multiplex, targeting the gene nahE for C. fetus species identification and insertion element ISCfe1 for Cfv identification. The RT-PCR was performed as uniplex one targeting the gene nahE for C. fetus and the other targeting the insertion ISCfe1 (ISC2) for Cfv. Results from the BLCM showed a median Se of 11.7% (Bayesian credibility interval (BCI): 1.93% − 29.79%), 53.7% (BCI: 23.1% − 95.0%) and 36.1% (BCI: 14.5% − 71.7%) for IFAT, PCR and RT-PCR respectively. The Sp were 94.5% (BCI: 90.1% -97.9%), 97.0% (BCI: 92.9% − 99.3%) and 98.4% (BCI: 95.3% − 99.7%) for IFAT, PCR and RT-PCR respectively. The correlation between PCR and RT-PCR was positive and low in samples from both sampled population (0.63% vs 8.47%). These results suggest that diagnostic sensitivity of the studied tests is lower using field samples than using pure Cfv strains.

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lian Lian ◽  
Shuo Zhang ◽  
Zhong Wang ◽  
Kai Liu ◽  
Lihuan Cao

As the parcel delivery service is booming in China, the competition among express companies intensifies. This paper employed multinomial logit model (MNL) and latent class model (LCM) to investigate customers’ express service choice behavior, using data from a SP survey. The attributes and attribute levels that matter most to express customers are identified. Meanwhile, the customers are divided into two segments (penny pincher segment and high-end segment) characterized by their taste heterogeneity. The results indicate that the LCM performs statistically better than MNL in our sample. Therefore, more attention should be paid to the taste heterogeneity, especially for further academic and policy research in freight choice behavior.


2017 ◽  
Vol 78 (6) ◽  
pp. 925-951 ◽  
Author(s):  
Unkyung No ◽  
Sehee Hong

The purpose of the present study is to compare performances of mixture modeling approaches (i.e., one-step approach, three-step maximum-likelihood approach, three-step BCH approach, and LTB approach) based on diverse sample size conditions. To carry out this research, two simulation studies were conducted with two different models, a latent class model with three predictor variables and a latent class model with one distal outcome variable. For the simulation, data were generated under the conditions of different sample sizes (100, 200, 300, 500, 1,000), entropy (0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9), and the variance of a distal outcome (homoscedasticity, heteroscedasticity). For evaluation criteria, parameter estimates bias, standard error bias, mean squared error, and coverage were used. Results demonstrate that the three-step approaches produced more stable and better estimations than the other approaches even with a small sample size of 100. This research differs from previous studies in the sense that various models were used to compare the approaches and smaller sample size conditions were used. Furthermore, the results supporting the superiority of the three-step approaches even in poorly manipulated conditions indicate the advantage of these approaches.


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