Tuberculosis Incidence Trends from 1990 to 2017 Highlight Impact of Drug Resistance: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study

Abstract Objectives This study aimed to determine the global incidence trends of tuberculosis (TB) from 1990 to 2017.Methods Data was obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated with the age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) to estimate trends in incidence of TB, including multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB).Results Globally, the number of TB cases was 8965.81×103 in 2017, with a 9.42% increase since 1990. The ASIR for TB showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2017 (EAPC = −1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI]: −1.32 to −1.07). Meanwhile, decreasing trends were observed in 162 countries/territories, particularly in Ethiopia and China where EAPCs were −4.51 (95%CI: −5.22 to −3.80) and −4.21 (95%CI: −4.98 to −3.44), respectively. However, obvious increasing trends of MDR-TB cases occurred in areas with low and low-middle sociodemographic indexes (SDI), with EAPCs of 7.97 (95%CI: 2.47 to 13.75) and 6.30 (95%:1.17 to 11.68), respectively. The ASIR for XDR-TB showed pronounced increasing trends globally from 1991 to 2017, with an EAPC of 11.74 (95%CI: 7.50 to 16.16). The largest rising trends of XDR-TB were observed in Kyrgyzstan (EAPC = 31.06, 95%CI: 23.07 to 39.57), followed by Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan.Conclusions There was a decreasing trend for TB incidence worldwide, although it was more pronounced in specific countries and regions. However, the rapidly rising trends of MDR-TB and XDR-TB cases in low and low-middle SDI areas and countries may have an adverse impact on the global control of TB.

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Trends in burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in countries, regions, and worldwide from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-63071/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Zejin Ou ◽

Danfeng Yu ◽

Yuanhao Liang ◽

Wenqiao He ◽

Yongzhi Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Burden Of Disease ◽

Multidrug Resistant ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Global Burden ◽

Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Multidrug Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Mdr Tb ◽

Disease Study ◽

Increasing Trends ◽

Incidence Prevalence

Abstract Background This study aimed to estimate the trends of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), which can be used to inform health strategies.Methods Data were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the trends of MDR-TB burden from 1990 to 2017.Results Globally, the ASR of MDR-TB burden including incidence, prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) had pronounced increasing trends from 1990 to 1999, with the EAPCs were 17.63(95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.77 to 24.92), 17.57(95%CI: 11.51 to 23.95), 21.21(95%CI:15.96 to 26.69), and 21.90(95%CI: 16.55 to 27.50), respectively. Particularly, the largest increasing trends were seen in areas and countries of low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI). However, the trends in incidence, prevalence, death and DALYs of MDR-TB decreased globally from 2000 to 2017, with the respective EAPCs were −1.37(95%CI: −1.62 to −1.12), −1.32(95%CI: −1.38 to −1.26), −3.30(95%CI: −3.56 to −3.04) and −3.32(95%CI: −3.59 to −3.06). Decreasing trends of MDR-TB were observed in most regions and countries, particularly that of death and DALYs in Slovenia were −18.96(95%CI: −20.82 to −17.06) and −19.35 (95%CI: −21.10 to −17.55), respectively. Whereas the pronounced increasing trends of MDR-TB occurred in Papua New Guinea, Singapore, and Australia.Conclusions the ASR of incidence, prevalence, death and DALYs of MDR-TB showed decreasing trends from 2000 to 2017. However, the MDR-TB burden remains a substantial challenge to the TB control globally, and requires effective control strategies and healthcare.

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Trends in burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in countries, regions, and worldwide from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease study

Infectious Diseases of Poverty ◽

10.1186/s40249-021-00803-w ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Ze-Jin Ou ◽

Dan-Feng Yu ◽

Yuan-Hao Liang ◽

Wen-Qiao He ◽

Yong-Zhi Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Burden Of Disease ◽

Multidrug Resistant ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Global Burden ◽

Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Multidrug Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Mdr Tb ◽

Disease Study ◽

Increasing Trends ◽

Incidence Prevalence

Abstract Background Antituberculosis-drug resistance is an important public health issue, and its epidemiological patterns has dramatically changed in recent decades. This study aimed to estimate the trends of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), which can be used to inform health strategies. Methods Data were collected from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the trends of MDR-TB burden at global, regional, and national level from 1990 to 2017 using the linear regression model. Results Globally, the age-standardized rate (ASR) of MDR-TB burden including incidence, prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) had pronounced increasing trends from 1990 to 1999, with the EAPCs were 17.63 [95% confidence interval (CI): 10.77–24.92], 17.57 (95% CI 11.51–23.95), 21.21 (95% CI 15.96–26.69), and 21.90 (95% CI 16.55–27.50), respectively. Particularly, the largest increasing trends were seen in areas and countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI). However, the trends in incidence, prevalence, death and DALYs of MDR-TB decreased globally from 2000 to 2017, with the respective EAPCs were − 1.37 (95% CI − 1.62 to − 1.12), − 1.32 (95% CI − 1.38 to − 1.26), − 3.30 (95% CI − 3.56 to − 3.04) and − 3.32 (95% CI − 3.59 to − 3.06). Decreasing trends of MDR-TB were observed in most regions and countries, particularly that of death and DALYs in Slovenia were − 18.96 (95% CI − 20.82 to − 17.06) and -19.35 (95% CI − 21.10 to − 17.55), respectively. Whereas the pronounced increasing trends of MDR-TB occurred in Papua New Guinea, Singapore, and Australia. Conclusions The ASR of MDR-TB showed pronounced decreasing trends from 2000 to 2017. However, the MDR-TB burden remains a substantial challenge to the TB control globally, and requires effective control strategies and healthcare systems.

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Trends in burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in countries, regions, and worldwide from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-63071/v2 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Zejin Ou ◽

Danfeng Yu ◽

Yuanhao Liang ◽

Wenqiao He ◽

Yongzhi Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Burden Of Disease ◽

Multidrug Resistant ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Global Burden ◽

Tb Control ◽

Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Multidrug Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Mdr Tb ◽

Disease Study ◽

Increasing Trends

Abstract Background Antituberculosis-drug resistance is an important public health issue worldwide, and its epidemiological patterns has dramatically changed in recent decades. This study aimed to estimate the trends of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), which can provide an important reference to the strategies for TB control.Methods Data were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the trends of MDR-TB burden at global, regional, and national level from 1990 to 2017.Results Globally, the age-standardized rate (ASR)of MDR-TB burden including incidence, prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) had pronounced increasing trends from 1990 to 1999, with the respective EAPCs were 17.63(95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.77 to 24.92), 17.57(95%CI: 11.51 to 23.95), 21.21(95%CI:15.96 to 26.69), and 21.90(95%CI: 16.55 to 27.50). Particularly, the largest increasing trends were seen in areas and countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI). However, the trends in incidence, prevalence, death and DALYs of MDR-TB decreased globally from 2000 to 2017, with the respective EAPCs were −1.37(95%CI: −1.62 to −1.12), −1.32(95%CI: −1.38 to −1.26), −3.30(95%CI: −3.56 to −3.04) and −3.32(95%CI: −3.59 to −3.06). Decreasing trends of MDR-TB were observed in most regions and countries, particularly that of death and DALYs in Slovenia were −18.96(95%CI: −20.82 to −17.06) and −19.35 (95%CI: −21.10 to −17.55), respectively. Whereas increasing trends of MDR-TB occurred in Papua New Guinea, Singapore, and Australia.Conclusions The trends of MDR-TB pronouncedly decreased worldwide from 2000 to 2017. However, the MDR-TB burden remains a substantial challenge to the TB control globally, and requires effective control strategies and healthcare systems.

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Trends in burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in countries, regions, and worldwide from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-63071/v3 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Zejin Ou ◽

Danfeng Yu ◽

Yuanhao Liang ◽

Wenqiao He ◽

Yongzhi Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Burden Of Disease ◽

Multidrug Resistant ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Global Burden ◽

Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Multidrug Resistant Tuberculosis ◽

Mdr Tb ◽

Disease Study ◽

Increasing Trends ◽

Incidence Prevalence

Abstract Background Antituberculosis-drug resistance is an important public health issue, and its epidemiological patterns has dramatically changed in recent decades. This study aimed to estimate the trends of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), which can be used to inform health strategies.Methods Data were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the trends of MDR-TB burden at global, regional, and national level from 1990 to 2017.Results Globally, the age-standardized rate (ASR)of MDR-TB burden including incidence, prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) had pronounced increasing trends from 1990 to 1999, with the EAPCs were 17.63(95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.77 to 24.92), 17.57(95%CI: 11.51 to 23.95), 21.21(95%CI:15.96 to 26.69), and 21.90(95%CI: 16.55 to 27.50), respectively. Particularly, the largest increasing trends were seen in areas and countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI). However, the trends in incidence, prevalence, death and DALYs of MDR-TB decreased globally from 2000 to 2017, with the respective EAPCs were −1.37(95%CI: −1.62 to −1.12), −1.32(95%CI: −1.38 to −1.26), −3.30(95%CI: −3.56 to −3.04) and −3.32(95%CI: −3.59 to −3.06). Decreasing trends of MDR-TB were observed in most regions and countries, particularly that of death and DALYs in Slovenia were −18.96(95%CI: −20.82 to −17.06) and −19.35 (95%CI: −21.10 to −17.55), respectively. Whereas the pronounced increasing trends of MDR-TB occurred in Papua New Guinea, Singapore, and Australia.Conclusions The ASR of MDR-TB showed pronounced decreasing trends from 2000 to 2017. However, the MDR-TB burden remains a substantial challenge to the TB control globally, and requires effective control strategies and healthcare systems.

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The trends in global, regional, and national incidence of pneumoconiosis caused by different etiologies: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

10.21203/rs.2.17264/v1 ◽

2019 ◽

Author(s):

Peng Shi ◽

Xiaoyue Xing ◽

Shuhua Xi ◽

Hongmei Jing ◽

Jiamei Yuan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Incidence Rate ◽

Burden Of Disease ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Health Concern ◽

Global Burden ◽

Incidence Trends ◽

The World ◽

Disease Study ◽

Incident Cases

Abstract Pneumoconiosis has the potential to cause progressive and permanent physical disability. And continues to be one of major public health concern across the world. However, our literature searches identified a scarcity of data about global prevalence of pneumoconiosis. Accurate data on the incidence of pneumoconiosis is critical for health resource planning and health policy development. We therefore aimed to determine the pattern of pneumoconiosis incidence and temporal trends. Methods: Annual incident cases and age standardized incidence rates on pneumoconiosis etiology between 1990-2017 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. We calculate the average annual percentage changes of age standardized incidence rates by sex, region, and etiology to determine incidence trends of pneumoconiosis. Results: Globally, the number of pneumoconiosis cases increased 66.0% from 36,186 in 1990 to 60,055 in 2017. The overall age standardized incidence rate decreased by an average 0.6% (95% CI: 0.5%, 0.6%) per year in the same period. The age standardized incidence rate of silicosis, asbestosis, and other pneumoconiosis decreased between 1990 and 2017. The corresponding average annual percentage changes were -0.8%, -0.9%, and -0.5%, respectively. The age standardized incidence rate of asbestosis displayed an increasing trend. At the same time, we also found a significant negative association was found between average annual percentage changes and socio-demographic indexs when the socio-demographic index above 0.7. Conclusions: Pneumoconiosis remains a major occupational health illnesses in the world. Incidence patterns of pneumoconiosis caused by different etiologies were heterogeneous across regions and countries. We observed an unfavorable trend that asbestosis was predominant in countries with a high socio-demographic index, though we have attained great achievements in silicosis and coal workers’ pneumoconiosis prevention. The information in this study suggests that some countries should establish more targeted and specific strategies to forestall the increase in pneumoconiosis.

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Trends in the incidence of diabetes mellitus: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 and implications for diabetes mellitus prevention

10.21203/rs.2.16014/v3 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Jinli Liu ◽

Zhen-Hu Ren ◽

Hua Qiang ◽

Jine Wu ◽

Mingwang Shen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Burden Of Disease ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Public Health Issue ◽

Global Burden ◽

Common Chronic Disease ◽

Incidence Trends ◽

Disease Study ◽

Incident Cases

Abstract Backgroud: Diabetes mellitus is a common chronic disease and a severe public health issue. The incidence trends for type 1 diabetes (TIDM) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) have rarely been studied on a global scale. We aimed to determine the temporal and geographical trends of diabetes globally.Methods: Data on diabetes mellitus, including incidence, prevalence from 1990 to 2017 were obtained from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease study. We calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of diabetes mellitus according to sex, region, and disease type.Results: The worldwide incident cases of diabetes mellitus has increased by 102.9% from 11,303,084 cases in 1990 to 22,935,630 cases in 2017 worldwide, while the ASR increased from 233.58/100,000 persons (95% UI, 218.95–249.37) to 284.56/100,000 persons (95% UI, 262.17–309.71) in this period [EAPC=0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.79–0.96]. The global ASRs of T1DM and T2DM both demonstrated significant increase during 1990-2017, with EAPCs of 0.34 (95% CI:0.30–0.39) and 0.89 (95% CI:0.80–0.97), respectively. The ASR trends also varied considerably by regions and countries. The increase in ASR was greatest in high sociodemographic index regions (EAPC=1.05, 95% CI:0.92–1.17) and lowest in low-SDI regions (EAPC=0.79, 95% CI:0.71–0.88).Conclusions: Both the number of incident cases and ASR of diabetes mellitus increased significantly during 1990-2017 worldwide, but the temporal trends varied markedly across regions and countries.

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Trends in the incidence of diabetes mellitus: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 and implications for diabetes mellitus prevention

10.21203/rs.2.16014/v4 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Jinli Liu ◽

Zhen-Hu Ren ◽

Hua Qiang ◽

Jine Wu ◽

Mingwang Shen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Burden Of Disease ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Public Health Issue ◽

Global Burden ◽

Common Chronic Disease ◽

Incidence Trends ◽

Disease Study ◽

Incident Cases

Abstract Backgroud: Diabetes mellitus is a common chronic disease and a severe public health issue. The incidence trends for type 1 diabetes (TIDM) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) have rarely been studied on a global scale. We aimed to determine the temporal and geographical trends of diabetes globally.Methods: Data on diabetes mellitus, including incidence, prevalence from 1990 to 2017 were obtained from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease study. We calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of diabetes mellitus according to sex, region, and disease type.Results: The worldwide incident cases of diabetes mellitus has increased by 102.9% from 11,303,084 cases in 1990 to 22,935,630 cases in 2017 worldwide, while the ASIR increased from 233.58/100,000 persons (95% UI, 218.95–249.37) to 284.56/100,000 persons (95% UI, 262.17–309.71) in this period [EAPC=0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.79–0.96]. The global ASIRs of T1DM and T2DM both demonstrated significant increase during 1990-2017, with EAPCs of 0.34 (95% CI:0.30–0.39) and 0.89 (95% CI:0.80–0.97), respectively. The ASIR trends also varied considerably by regions and countries. The increase in ASIR was greatest in high sociodemographic index regions (EAPC=1.05, 95% CI:0.92–1.17) and lowest in low-SDI regions (EAPC=0.79, 95% CI:0.71–0.88).Conclusions: Both the number of incident cases and ASIR of diabetes mellitus increased significantly during 1990-2017 worldwide, but the temporal trends varied markedly across regions and countries.

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Trends in the incidence of diabetes mellitus: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 and implications for diabetes mellitus prevention

10.21203/rs.2.16014/v2 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Jinli Liu ◽

Zhen-Hu Ren ◽

Hua Qiang ◽

Jine Wu ◽

Mingwang Shen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Burden Of Disease ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Public Health Issue ◽

Global Burden ◽

Common Chronic Disease ◽

Incidence Trends ◽

Disease Study ◽

Incident Cases

Abstract Backgroud: Diabetes mellitus is a common chronic disease and a severe public health issue. The incidence trends for type 1 diabetes (TIDM) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) have rarely been studied on a global scale. We aimed to determine the temporal and geographical trends of diabetes globally.Methods: Data on diabetes mellitus, including incidence, prevalence from 1990 to 2017 were obtained from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease study. We calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of diabetes mellitus according to sex, region, and disease type.Results: The worldwide incident cases of diabetes mellitus has increased by 102.9% from 11,303,084 cases in 1990 to 22,935,630 cases in 2017 worldwide, while the ASR increased from 233.58/100,000 persons (95% UI, 218.95–249.37) to 284.56/100,000 persons (95% UI, 262.17–309.71) in this period [EAPC=0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.79–0.96]. The global ASRs of T1DM and T2DM both demonstrated significant increase during 1990-2017, with EAPCs of 0.34 (95% CI:0.30–0.39) and 0.89 (95% CI:0.80–0.97), respectively. The ASR trends also varied considerably by regions and countries. The increase in ASR was greatest in high sociodemographic index regions (EAPC=1.05, 95% CI:0.92–1.17) and lowest in low-SDI regions (EAPC=0.79, 95% CI:0.71–0.88). Conclusions: Both the number of incident cases and ASR of diabetes mellitus increased significantly during 1990-2017 worldwide, but the temporal trends varied markedly across regions and countries.

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Trends in the incidence of diabetes mellitus: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 and implications for diabetes mellitus prevention

10.21203/rs.2.16014/v5 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Jinli Liu ◽

Zhen-Hu Ren ◽

Hua Qiang ◽

Jine Wu ◽

Mingwang Shen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Burden Of Disease ◽

Temporal Trends ◽

Global Burden Of Disease ◽

Public Health Issue ◽

Global Burden ◽

Common Chronic Disease ◽

Incidence Trends ◽

Disease Study ◽

Incident Cases

Abstract Backgroud: Diabetes mellitus is a common chronic disease and a severe public health issue. The incidence trends for type 1 diabetes (TIDM) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) have rarely been studied on a global scale. We aimed to determine the temporal and geographical trends of diabetes globally.Methods: Data on diabetes mellitus, including incidence, prevalence from 1990 to 2017 were obtained from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease study. We calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of diabetes mellitus according to sex, region, and disease type.Results: The worldwide incident cases of diabetes mellitus has increased by 102.9% from 11,303,084 cases in 1990 to 22,935,630 cases in 2017 worldwide, while the ASIR increased from 233.58/100,000 persons (95% UI, 218.95–249.37) to 284.56/100,000 persons (95% UI, 262.17–309.71) in this period [EAPC=0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.79–0.96]. The global ASIRs of T1DM and T2DM both demonstrated significant increase during 1990-2017, with EAPCs of 0.34 (95% CI:0.30–0.39) and 0.89 (95% CI:0.80–0.97), respectively. The ASIR trends also varied considerably by regions and countries. The increase in ASIR was greatest in high sociodemographic index regions (EAPC=1.05, 95% CI:0.92–1.17) and lowest in low-SDI regions (EAPC=0.79, 95% CI:0.71–0.88). Conclusions: Both the number of incident cases and ASIR of diabetes mellitus increased significantly during 1990-2017 worldwide, but the temporal trends varied markedly across regions and countries.

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