A Computer Program for Estimation of Parameters of the Weibull Intensity Function and for the Cramer-Von Mises Goodness of Fit Test. Revised

1980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward F. Belbot
Author(s):  
Suhaila Jamaludin ◽  
Abdul Aziz Jemain

Data hujan harian dibahagikan kepada empat jenis rentetan hujan (jenis 1, 2, 3 dan 4). Taburan Gamma, Weibull, Kappa dan Gabungan Eksponen ialah empat taburan statistik yang diuji dalam memadankan data jumlah hujan harian di Semenanjung Malaysia. Parameter bagi setiap taburan dianggar dengan menggunakan kaedah kebolehjadian maksimum. Model dipilih berdasarkan nilai ralat yang minimum terhasil dari tujuh ujian kesesuaian model iaitu median bagi perbezaan nilai mutlak antara taburan empirik dengan taburan yang diuji, statistik fungsi empirik iaitu Kolmogorov-Smirnov D, Anderson Darling A2 dan Cramer-von-Mises W2 serta kaedah baru statistik fungsi empirik yang berasaskan kepada ujian nisbah kebolehjadian. Berdasarkan nilai ujian kesesuaian model, didapati taburan Gabungan Eksponen adalah yang paling sesuai dalam memadankan data jumlah hujan harian di Semenanjung Malaysia. Kata kunci: Jumlah hujan harian, ujian kesesuaian model, gabungan eksponen Daily rainfall data have been classified according to four rain types of sequence of wet days (Type 1, 2, 3 and 4). The Gamma, Weibull, Kappa and Mixed Exponential are the four distributions that have been tested to fit daily rainfall amount in Peninsular Malaysia. Parameter for each distribution were estimated using the maximum likelihood method. The selected model is chosen based on the minimum error produced by seven goodness-of-fit (GOF) tests namely the medium of absolute difference (MAD) between the empirical and hypothesized distributions, the traditional Empirical Distribution Function (EDF) Statistics which include Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic D, Anderson Darling statistic A2 and Cramer-von-Mises statistic W2 and the new method of EDF Statistic based on likelihood ratio statistic. Based on these goodness-of-fit test, the Mixed Exponential is found to be the most approriate distribution for describing the daily rainfall amount in Peninsular Malaysia. Key words: Dairy rainfall amount, goodness–of–fit test, mixed exponential


2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (6) ◽  
pp. 2133-2139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian T. Jolliffe ◽  
Cristina Primo

Abstract Rank histograms are often plotted to evaluate the forecasts produced by an ensemble forecasting system—an ideal rank histogram is “flat” or uniform. It has been noted previously that the obvious test of “flatness,” the well-known χ2 goodness-of-fit test, spreads its power thinly and hence is not good at detecting specific alternatives to flatness, such as bias or over- or underdispersion. Members of the Cramér–von Mises family of tests do much better in this respect. An alternative to using the Cramér–von Mises family is to decompose the χ2 test statistic into components that correspond to specific alternatives. This approach is described in the present paper. It is arguably easier to use and more flexible than the Cramér–von Mises family of tests, and does at least as well as it in detecting alternatives corresponding to bias and over- or underdispersion.


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Mayumi Naka ◽  
Ritei Shibata

In this paper, asymptotic distribution of Cram\'er-von Mises goodness-of-fit test statistic is investigated when contamination exists.<br />We first derive the asymptotic distribution of the Cram\'er-von Mises statistic when the observations are contaminated with noise as a mixture.<br />The result is extended to the case where the parameters are estimated by the minimum distance estimator,<br />which minimizes the Cram\'er-von Mises statistic.<br />In both cases the asymptotic distribution of the Cram\'er-von Mises statistic is given by that of the weighted infinite sum of non-central $\chi^2_1$ variables and the effect of contamination appears only in the non-centrality of the variables.<br />We also demonstrate the robustness of the goodness-of-fit test by Monte Carlo simulations when the parameters are estimated<br />by the minimum distance estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator.<br />Numerical experiments indicate that the use of the minimum distance estimator makes the test insensitive to contamination whereas the power is retained almost the same as that of the maximum likelihood estimator.


Author(s):  
Naz Saud ◽  
Sohail Chand

A class of goodness of fit tests for Marshal-Olkin Extended Rayleigh distribution with estimated parameters is proposed. The tests are based on the empirical distribution function. For determination of asymptotic percentage points, Kolomogorov-Sminrov, Cramer-von-Mises, Anderson-Darling,Watson, and Liao-Shimokawa test statistic are used. This article uses Monte Carlo simulations to obtain asymptotic percentage points for Marshal-Olkin extended Rayleigh distribution. Moreover, power of the goodness of fit test statistics is investigated for this lifetime model against several alternatives.


Author(s):  
Bushra Shamshad ◽  
Junaid Sagheer Siddiqui

This paper presents Hotelling T2 as a procedure for the testing of significance difference between the item response probabilities (ωij′s) of classes in a Latent Class Model (LCM). Parametric bootstrap technique is used in order to generate samples for ωij′s. These samples are based on the estimated parameters of 2-class latent model. The estimation of parameters in either situation is done using the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm through Maximum likelihood method. The hypothesis under consideration is whether the response probabilities (ωij′s) are equal against each item in both the classes. { H0 : ωi1 = ωi2. against H1 : =ωi1 ≠ ωi2}. If the test exhibits significant difference between response probabilities in both classes, it will be a clear indication of a presence of latent variable. We consider both training and testing data sets to develop the test. In order to apply Hotelling T2 test the basic assumptions of normality and homogeneity of variance are also checked. Chi-square goodness of fit test is used for assessing normal distribution to be good fitted on the hypothesized (bootstrap samples) based on 2-class latent model parameters for each data and Bartlett test to check heterogeneity of variances in ωij′s. Moreover, our procedure produces a minimum standard error of estimates as compared to those obtained through the package in R.Gui environment


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