A Climate Risk Assessment of Sovereign Bonds’ Portfolio

Author(s):  
Stefano Battiston ◽  
Irene Monasterolo
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 97-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. B. Ghile ◽  
M. Ü. Taner ◽  
C. Brown ◽  
J. G. Grijsen ◽  
Amal Talbi

2015 ◽  
Vol 153 (8) ◽  
pp. 1380-1393 ◽  
Author(s):  
U. B. NIDUMOLU ◽  
P. T. HAYMAN ◽  
Z. HOCHMAN ◽  
H. HORAN ◽  
D. R. REDDY ◽  
...  

SUMMARYClimate risk assessment in cropping is generally undertaken in a top-down approach using climate records while critical farmer experience is often not accounted for. In the present study, set in south India, farmer experience of climate risk is integrated in a bottom-up participatory approach with climate data analysis. Crop calendars are used as a boundary object to identify and rank climate and weather risks faced by smallhold farmers. A semi-structured survey was conducted with experienced farmers whose income is predominantly from farming. Interviews were based on a crop calendar to indicate the timing of key weather and climate risks. The simple definition of risk as consequence × likelihood was used to establish the impact on yield as consequence and chance of occurrence in a 10-year period as likelihood. Farmers’ risk experience matches well with climate records and risk analysis. Farmers’ rankings of ‘good’ and ‘poor’ seasons also matched up well with their independently reported yield data. On average, a ‘good’ season yield was 1·5–1·65 times higher than a ‘poor’ season. The main risks for paddy rice were excess rains at harvesting and flowering and deficit rains at transplanting. For cotton, farmers identified excess rain at harvest, delayed rains at sowing and excess rain at flowering stages as events that impacted crop yield and quality. The risk assessment elicited from farmers complements climate analysis and provides some indication of thresholds for studies on climate change and seasonal forecasts. The methods and analysis presented in the present study provide an experiential bottom-up perspective and a methodology on farming in a risky rainfed climate. The methods developed in the present study provide a model for end-user engagement by meteorological agencies that strive to better target their climate information delivery.


Energy Policy ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
pp. 598-604 ◽  
Author(s):  
James D. Ward ◽  
Steve H. Mohr ◽  
Baden R. Myers ◽  
Willem P. Nel

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chin Chieh Liu ◽  
Ching Pin Tung

<p>      Adaptation is an indispensable part of climate change impact, and risk assessment plays an important role between data arrangement and strategy planning. This study aims at developing a framework from risk assessment to information presentation, then applying to risk communication. This framework refers to Climate Risk Template, defining risk as to the integration of hazard, exposure and sensitivity; simultaneously, Climate Risk Template is an auxiliary tool basing on Climate Change Adaptation Six Steps(CCA6Steps), which is the systematic procedure to analyze risk and plan adaptation pathway. This study emphasized on landslide disaster as the key issue and selected community residents, roads as the protected targets. First of all, collate stimulated results of landslide potential evaluation and literature, cases, questionnaires which were probed into exposure and sensitivity. Next, establish a factors list of climate risk and giving weights to correlation factors by Entropy Method. Finally, use risk matrix to evaluate the risk value and present the results of risk assessment by infographic. For essentially helping on risk communication, this study proposes a framework to make the general public understand the causes of regional disaster risk and assists executive units to implement climate risk assessment and adaptation pathway planning. Eventually, the study will innovate a prototype of using this framework; therefore, users just have to write down the key issue, protected target and choose the composition factors of risk, then they can accomplish climate risk assessment and generate climate risk infographic by themselves.</p><p>Keywords: Climate risk template, Climate risk assessment, Risk communication, infographic</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iwen Liu ◽  
Ching-pin Tung

<p>The Financial Stability Board (FSB) published “Recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD)” in 2017 to assist companies in assessing climate-related risks and opportunities and financial disclosure. However, the integration between climate scenarios and the corporate risk management system and the financial quantification of climate-related risks are still the challenges for corporate practice. To collect the climate scenarios mentioned in TCFD and integrate the relevant factors in corporate operations, the study will use the framework of TCFD: Governance, Strategy, Risk management, Metrics and Targets, introduce the first three steps of the Climate Change Adaptation (CCA Steps): "identifying problems and establishing objectives", "assessing and analyzing current risk", "assessing and analyzing future risk", and use climate risk template which use  Hazard, Exposure and Vulnerability as risk assessment factors to establish a framework for the evaluation and analysis of risk. After establishing a complete method for climate risk and opportunity assessment, in response to the "financial disclosure", the study will link to the financial statement items, referring to related concepts such as “Value at Risk” and “stranded assets”, to strengthen the integrity and transparency of corporate financial disclosure. At last, the study will select a specific climate physical risk in a industry for case study by the analysis of literature, international reports and historical events and introduce a climate risk assessment framework to verify the practicality of this framework. The study's results will be applied to the risk management of business operations. At the same time, the framework of climate risk can assist companies to put climate change factors into their decisions, maintaining the sustainable competitiveness in a low-carbon economy.</p><p>Key words: climate risk assessment, TCFD, enterprise risk management</p>


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