Expert Political Risk Opinions and Banking System Returns: A Revised International Banking Market Model

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
John L. Simpson
Keyword(s):  
Banking System ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Market Model ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Banking Market

EXPERT POLITICAL RISK OPINIONS AND BANKING SYSTEM RETURNS EXPERT POLITICAL RISK OPINIONS AND BANKING SYSTEM RETURNS

2007 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
John Simpson
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Human Behavior ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Banking Systems ◽  
Social And Cultural Factors

Human behavior in banking and financial systems is in part made up of a complex mix of political, social and cultural factors. These factors are reflected in expert opinion based political risk scores. Market inefficiency is largely a result of anomalies in human behavior causing information asymmetries. A basic systemic market model is re-specified into a model for international banking systems, which controls for pure political risk. Samples of developed and developing banking systems are examined. Political risk factors and world banking returns are exogenous in models of countrybanking system returns. New political information assists in explaining banking system stock returns. The findings should be of interest to investors in banking stocks. Banking regulators may be assisted in decisions on appropriate levels of regulatory capital as a benchmark for banking systems. The model could help to anticipate financial crises.

Benchmarking and crosschecking international banking economic and regulatory capital

2005 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
John L. Simpson ◽  
John Evans
Keyword(s):  
Banking System ◽  
Performance Model ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Banking Systems ◽  
Loan Loss Provisions

The purpose of this paper is to provide banking regulators with another tool to crosscheck the appropriateness and consistency of levels of capital adequacy for banks. The process begins by examining banking systems and focuses on market risks and the systemic risks associated with growing global economic integration and associated systemic interdependence. The model provides benchmarks for economic and regulatory capital for international banking systems using country, regional and global stock‐market generated price index returns data. The benchmarks can then be translated to crosschecking capital levels for banks within those systems. For analytical purposes systems are assumed to possess a degree of informational efficiency and credit, liquidity and operational risks are held constant or at least assumed to be covered in loan loss provisions. An empirical study is included that demonstrates how market risk and systemic risk can be accounted for in a benchmark banking system performance model. Full testing of the model is left for future research. The paper merely proposes that such an approach is feasible and useful and it is in no way intended to be a replacement for the current Basel Accord.

scholarly journals Political risk and banking sector performance in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Adefemi A. Obalade ◽  
Babatunde Lawrence ◽  
Joseph Olorunfemi Akande
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Political Systems ◽  
Business Outcomes ◽  
Stage System ◽  
The Stability

Political risk is prevalent in Nigeria and tends to influence business outcomes and the stability of the banking system. As a result of this study, it was determined whether political risk matters to the performance of the banking sector in Nigeria. The effect of political risk on different banks’ performance measures, such as return on assets, return on invested capital, credit risk and stock price, were examined in a panel of 12 selected commercial banks for the period 2006–2018. Data was analyzed using a two-stage system of generalized method of moments. The results provided evidence that the effect of political risk on bank performance depends on the performance proxies. Specifically, political risk was found to be negatively related to banks’ returns on invested capital and positively related to deteriorating credit risk. Hence, it can be concluded that political risk induces poor banking system performance in Nigeria. The study provides a critical insight into the management of a country’s political systems in terms of their potential to create unfavorable conditions for banking systems to thrive.

scholarly journals COMPETITION OF TRANSNATIONAL BANKS: MAIN TRENDS AND WAYS OF DEVELOPMENT

2021 ◽  
pp. 151-157
Author(s):  
Надежда Константиновна Савельева ◽  
Татьяна Алексеевна Тимкина
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Competitive Advantages ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Statistical Research ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The World ◽  
Financial Transactions ◽  
Level Analysis

Статья посвящена проблемам сохранения конкурентных преимуществ коммерческих банков для осуществления финансовых операций на трансграничных рынках. Целью исследования является анализ основных тенденций развития деятельности транснациональных банков в условиях глобализации. Объектом исследования являются мировые лидеры международной банковской сферы. Научная новизна заключается в разработке основных направлений развития банковской системы на международном уровне, результатах анализа опыта лидирующих транснациональных банковских компаний в условиях пандемии The article is devoted to the problems of maintaining the competitive advantages of commercial banks for the implementation of financial transactions in cross-border markets. The aim of the study is to analyze the main trends in the development of the work of transnational banks in the context of globalization. The object of research is the world leaders of the international banking sector. In the process of research, the authors have analyzed theoretical and practical material used in general methods of scientific knowledge and statistical research. Scientific novelty lies in the development of the main directions for the development of the banking system at the international level, analysis of the experience of leading transnational banking companies in the context of a pandemic.

Competition Between Neobanks and Online Banks in the French Retail Banking Market and Reactions From Universal Banks

2021 ◽  
pp. 191-216
Author(s):  
Jean Michel Rocchi
Keyword(s):  
Survival Analysis ◽  
Population Ecology ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Retail Banking ◽  
The Other ◽  
The Core ◽  
Banking Market ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Retail Banks ◽  
Market Strategies

This chapter will provide an analysis of market moves, and innovation sources, from newcomers and incumbent players, based on core and periphery networks theory; and additional survival analysis and VSR model, based on organizational population ecology. The French market neobanks, which are a subpart of fintech, are dominantly set up by entrepreneurs. On the contrary, online banks usually have universal banks as shareholders. Does this difference matter regarding market strategies? Is innovation coming only from peripheral actors like online banks and moreover neobanks, or do large retail banks at the heart of the banking system try to integrate or promote it? The author will discuss these topics to conclude with mixed evidence. Hence, if neobanks, on one hand, tend to converge towards the core; universal banks, on the other hand, are growingly accepting peripheral actors.

scholarly journals Competition in the Brazilian loan market: an empirical analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 831-858 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudio R Lucinda
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Institutional Setting ◽  
Loan Market ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Banking Market ◽  
Time Periods ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

The aim of this paper is to review some of the existing tests for competition in Brazilian banking, as well as to propose an alternative. After the description of the institutional setting of the Brazilian Banking system on this period, the competition tests on the literature were reviewed, beginning with the test proposed by Panzar and Rosse (1987). The market does not seem to be in long-run equilibrium, implying only the market does not seem to find itself in collusive outcome. The next step was to try a new methodology, applied by Moreno, Martínez and Ruiz (2006) for the Spanish banking market. On this methodology, in which the assumption of equality of conduct parameters between firms and time periods is relaxed, the results indicate that, for some firms and in some time periods, a cooperative conduct in fact is present.

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