scholarly journals Does performance persistence exist in mutual and pension funds? Evidence from Turkey

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 326-339
Author(s):  
Tayfun Ozkan ◽  
Hakki Ozturk

The objective of this study is to investigate the performance persistence of Turkish mutual and pension funds. 310 mutual and 259 pension funds were analyzed between the period of 2010–2019 in order to determine if there is an evidence of performance persistence. In this study, a persistence rate is developed, and the skill ratio is used to crosscheck the results of the persistence rate. Furthermore, six different risk-adjusted return measures, such as Sharpe, Treynor, Information, Jensen’s alpha, Sortino, and Omega ratios are calculated to analyze whether funds also exhibit superior risk-adjusted returns. The results indicate that only 2% of funds demonstrate persistence above 50%, and 15 out of 20 fund categories do not have any funds that show persistence in 10 years. Most of the persistent funds have positive skill ratios, and it is observed that the persistence rate is effective. However, it cannot be stated that there is performance persistence in the Turkish fund management industry, since performance persistence is not evident for various fund types, so investors do not need to invest in the best funds of the previous year. Additionally, the empirical results associated with risk-adjusted performance analysis indicate that persistent funds also do not generally yield higher risk-adjusted returns. The lack of persistence in funds’ performance is a significant result for investors in their investment decisions, for fund managers in their human resource policies and bonus schemes, and for regulators in their policy decisions.

2019 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carl-Christian Trönnberg ◽  
Sven Hemlin

PurposeThe purpose of this study was to gain a better understanding of pension fund managers investment thinking when confronted with challenging investment decisions. The study focuses on the theoretical question of how dual thinking processes in experts’ investment decision-making emerge. This question has attracted interest in economic psychology but has not yet been answered. Here, it is explored in the context of pension funds.Design/methodology/approachThe sample included 22 pension fund managers. The authors explored their decision-making by applying the critical incident interview technique, which entailed collecting investment decisions that fund managers retrieved from recent memory (Flanagan, 1954). Questions concerned the investment situation, the decision-making process and the challenges and uncertainties the fund managers faced.FindingsMany of the 61 critical incidents examined concerned challenging (mostly stock) investments based on extensive analysis (e.g. reliance on external analysts for advice; analysis of massive amounts of hard company and stock market information; scrutiny of company reports and personal meetings with CEOs). However, fund managers to a high degree based their decisions on soft information judgments such as experience and qualitative judgements of teams. The authors found heuristics, intuitive thinking, biases (sunk cost effects) and social influences in investment decision-making.Research limitations/implicationsThe sample is small and not randomly selected.Practical implicationsThe authors suggest anti-bias training and better acquaintance with human forecasting limitations for pension fund managers.Originality/valuePension fund managers’ investment thinking has not previously been investigated. The authors show the types of investment situations in which analytical and intuitive thinking and biases occur.


Author(s):  
Diane-Laure Arjaliès ◽  
Philip Grant ◽  
Iain Hardie ◽  
Donald MacKenzie ◽  
Ekaterina Svetlova

Chapter 3 examines the mechanisms through which clients impact fund managers’ practices and vice versa. The discussion encompasses fixed income investment as well as investment in shares. In both fixed income and shares, clients can include both institutional investors (such as pension funds) and retail investors (i.e. private individuals, though often guided by financial advisers). Their reasons for investment vary, leading to different time-horizons on their decisions, different ways of measuring performance, and different forms of interaction with the rest of the investment chain. They often rely on various types of advisers: investment consultants, independent financial advisers, and fund-rating companies. Variations of those kinds among the clients influence fund managers’ investment decisions, whether intentionally or not. Thus, the chapter suggests that the client–fund manager relationship is not a simple principal–agent problem, but a multi-faceted, contextually dependent, malleable matter.


2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 75-81
Author(s):  
О. А. Bank

Mutual fund managers do not have full freedom in choosing investment strategies - they are limited both by the laws and by investment declarations of the funds. Investment strategy cannot be fully changed even in financial crisis but it only can be corrected. This fact could not be characterized as a disadvantage because different types of funds are efficient in different time even during the same economic recession. Mutual fund manager should rationally invest funds of their clients: it is better to keep the maximum possible part of the portfolio in cash and instruments with fixed income on the declining market and it is better to keep shares on the rising market. However the choice of bonds also as the choice of shares should pay respect for the features of these instruments during unfavorable economic conditions. Russian mutual fund management differs from fund management in other countries as in stable economic situation so in the circumstances of financial crisis.


2021 ◽  
pp. 001946622098702
Author(s):  
Swati Prasad ◽  
Ravi Kiran ◽  
Rakesh Kumar Sharma

This study covers the gender-wise analysis of how behavioural factors and socio-economic factors along with the level of financial literacy influence investment decisions of Indian retail investors. Equally pertinent is to understand that will it have a different influence and bearing on males and females. Multivariate technique partial least squares-structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM) has been applied to develop the model and analyse the results. The study used a structured questionnaire for collecting data from retail investors. The findings of PLS-SEM show that in both genders, behavioural factors, socio-economic factors and financial literacy factors significantly affect investment decisions. However, the findings demonstrate that for women investors, the model is more effective. This study may be useful for prospective fund managers as, in many earlier studies, women are considered to be risk aversive. The results demonstrate that there is a need to target women, and the scenario today is not similar to the pre-existing ones. JEL Classification: G110, G4


Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Łukasz Dopierała ◽  
Magdalena Mosionek-Schweda

The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of reforms introduced in the operation of Polish open pension funds on management style, risk exposure and related investment performance. The article analyzes the impact of the reformed regulations on the herd behavior of fund managers. In particular, we examined whether the elimination of the internal benchmark for fund evaluation impacts the elimination or reduction of herd behavior. We proposed a multi-factor market model to evaluate the performance of funds investing in various types of instruments. Moreover, we used panel estimation to directly take into account the impact of the internal benchmark on herd behavior. Our results indicate that highly regulated funds may slightly outperform passive benchmarks and their unregulated competitors. In the case of Polish open pension funds, limiting investments in Treasury debt instruments clearly resulted in increased risk and volatility of returns. However, it also raised competition between funds and decreased the herd behavior. Additionally, the withdrawal of the mechanism evaluating funds based on the internal benchmark was also important in reducing herd behavior.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yordanka Hristova ◽  
◽  
◽  

The article examines the growing threat of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the Bulgarian pension market. The applied investment regulatory approaches are considered an objective necessity and a prerequisite for making investment decisions in the context of a pandemic situation. The main trends of the return, realized by the pension funds for the previous and the current year, and its ratio to the alternative losses are indicated through an analysis of statistical data in the context of the first pensions granted to the insured persons of the universal pension funds.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Pagliaro

Renewing undergraduate education in the chemical sciences to foster creativity using research, visualization and connectivity resources has substantial benefits, but requires changes in the curriculum and teaching methodology as well as in conventional university teaching and academic human resource policies.


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