scholarly journals Senstivity of System Reliability Indices to Forecasted Load Uncertainty.(Dept.E)

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 61-70
Author(s):  
Mohamed Mohamed Tantawy
Keyword(s):  
System Reliability ◽  
Load Uncertainty ◽  
Reliability Indices

Bayesian Networks Application in Multi-State System Reliability Analysis

2013 ◽  
Vol 347-350 ◽  
pp. 2590-2595 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng Zhai ◽  
Shu Zhong Lin
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Network ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
System Reliability ◽  
Prior Probability ◽  
State System ◽  
Weak Links ◽  
Uncertain Reasoning ◽  
Reliability Modeling ◽  
Line System ◽  
Reliability Indices

Aiming at the limitations of traditional reliability analysis theory in multi-state system, a method for reliability modeling and assessment of a multi-state system based on Bayesian Network (BN) is proposed with the advantages of uncertain reasoning and describing multi-state of event. Through the case of cell production line system, in this paper we will discuss how to establish and construct a multi-state system model based on Bayesian network, and how to apply the prior probability and posterior probability to do the bidirectional inference analysis, and directly calculate the reliability indices of the system by means of prior probability and Conditional Probability Table (CPT) . Thereby we can do the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the multi-state system reliability, identify the weak links of the system, and achieve assessment of system reliability.

Evaluation of generation system reliability indices by fast transform techniques

1995 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 281-287
Author(s):  
S.R. Lakshmi ◽  
S.C. Tripathy ◽  
K.S.P. Rao ◽  
R. Balasubramianian
Keyword(s):  
System Reliability ◽  
Generation System ◽  
Reliability Indices ◽  
Fast Transform

scholarly journals Integrating the PV-Diesel Hybrid System for Reliability Improvement in Distribution System

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cho Cho Myint ◽  
Ohn Zin Lin ◽  
Soe Soe Ei Aung
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Distributed Generation ◽  
Hybrid System ◽  
System Reliability ◽  
Distribution System ◽  
Voltage Drop ◽  
Load Condition ◽  
Voltage Profile ◽  
Hydro Power ◽  
Reliability Indices

In Myanmar, as the main power generation is hydro power generation. the utility cannot supply sufficient power to customers during the dry season. Besides interruptions occur frequently due to aging system and lack of prospered protection. Therefore, reliability is an urgent issue in Myanmar. As a result of unbalance between generation and load, the distribution system is getting poor voltage profile, instability and high power losses in high load condition. According to network characteristics, the failure of a component always leads to consequence interruption in a radial distribution system.  Therefore, it is a must consideration to mitigate these challenges to enhance the system reliability. There are many techniques to solve the reliability problems such as reclosers, switching devices (manual and automated switches), system reconfiguration, feeder re-conducting and integration of distributed generation (DG). In this paper, system reliability assessment is evaluated in detail with the integration of the distributed generation such as PV-Diesel Hybrid System. The location of DG is chosen according to the expected energy not supply (EENS) and the voltage drop in proposed system. Next, the optimal sizing of DG is chosen depends on the penetration level of generator. Reliability indices can be evaluated depending on the failure rate(λ), repair time(r) and annual outage time(U) in Electrical Transient and Analysis Program (ETAP) software. The case study of this thesis is carried out in 33/11 kV network which is connected Kyatminton Substation, Kyaukse, Middle Myanmar.

scholarly journals Effect of Grid Instability on Power Generation System's Reliability

2020 ◽  
pp. 27-37
Author(s):  
Joseph Benedict Bassey ◽  
Isaac F. Odesola
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Power Plant ◽  
Failure Rate ◽  
System Reliability ◽  
Power Distribution ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Time To Failure ◽  
Generation System ◽  
Reliability Indices ◽  
Mean Time

Aims: Reliability assessment of power generation system may be performed with the concept of system adequacy, security or both. Grid being a major component in the power distribution chain is seen to have some influence on the state of the generation system reliability because of the perturbation that may arise from it. In this study, the generation system reliability is evaluated using both the system adequacy and security concept. Study Design: To capture the system security problems attributed to grid disturbance, the generation system is structured into two component systems (1 - generation component and 2 - transmission component) with a series arrangement. Methodology: The reliability indices such as, mean time to failure, mean time to repair, failure rate and repair rate are assessed on component bases and with respect to the entire generation system. Results: The effect of failure rate of the transmission component on the entire generation system failure rate was evaluated as 66.25%, 55.55%, 33.33%, 55.00% and 35.72% in year 2013, 2014, 2017 2018 and 2019 respectively for FIPL Power Plant and 52.94%, 82.35%, 61.38% and 100% effect was evaluated in the year 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019 respectively for GT5 of Omoku Power Plant. Conclusion: These results showed that there is a significant influence of grid disturbances on the reliability state of the two gas turbine power plants in Nigeria. Measures on possible reliability state improvement of the power generation systems were suggested to include training and retraining of technical personnel on the management of major equipment in the generation and transmission stations. 

scholarly journals Reliability and protection in distribution power system considering customer-based indices

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (4) ◽  
pp. 1198-1205
Author(s):  
J.N. Nweke ◽  
A.G. Gusau ◽  
L.M. Isah
Keyword(s):  
Power Supply ◽  
System Reliability ◽  
Distribution System ◽  
Network Performance ◽  
Test System ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Reliability Indices ◽  
Electric Power Supply ◽  
Utility Company ◽  
Distribution System Reliability

A stable and reliable electric power supply system is a pre-requisite for the technological and economic growth of any nation. Nigeria's power supply has been experiencing incessant power interruptions caused by a failure in the distribution system. This paper developed a system planning approach as part of the key mitigation strategies for improved reliability and protection of the distribution network. The developed algorithm is tested using 33kV feeder supplying electricity to Kaura-Namoda, Zamfara State,  Nigeria. A customer-based reliability index was used as a tool to evaluate the reliability assessment of the feeder test system. The result showed that alternative 3 gives better results in terms of improvement of the system average interruption duration index (SAIDI), which in turn gives the minimum interrupted energy. Also, it is found that a greater number of sectionalizing switches do not give better results. It is very important to place the sectionalizing switches at a strategic location. If it is located at such points that will facilitate to sectionalize the faulty sections faster and to make the supply available to the unfaulty part of the network. Hence the utility company should apply this mitigation algorithm for system reliability improvement, depending on their needs and requirements. Thus, utilities can optimize network performance and better serve customers by adopting mitigation strategies in addressing trouble-prone areas to achieve a stable and reliable supply Keywords: distribution system; reliability; reliability indices; system performance evaluation; protection system; mitigation algorithms and sectionalizing switches 

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