APPLICATION OF KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION TO IDENTIFY MOTORCYCLE THEFT HOT SPOTS IN KUCHING, SARAWAK

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norita Jubit ◽  
Tarmiji Masron ◽  
Azizan Marzuki
Keyword(s):  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Spatial Data ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
City Centre ◽  
Prevention Measures ◽  
Sector Boundary ◽  
Police Station ◽  
Road Data

Motorcycle theft is the most frequently reported cases worldwide, including in Malaysia. This study aims to identify the hot spot areas for motorcycle theft in Kuching. The spatial data include police station sector boundary, road data and latitud and longitude data while attribute data consists of motorcycle theft by year, address of the incident and time. Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) helps to find the hot spot areas of motorcycle theft. Motorcycle theft in Kuching has been reported as more frequent during the day at 54.8% and at 45% during the night from the year 2015 to 2017. Hot spot locations change by year and time. The study found that most of the hot spot areas of motorcycle theft were detected within the Sentral boundary. This indicates that the city centre is an area with a high density of motorcycle theft. This study can help authorities to improve the prevention measures for motorcycle theft while the findings can help in preventing motorcycle theft by police sector boundary.

scholarly journals Use of Spatial Analysis Techniques to Identify Statistically Significant Crash Hot Spots in Metropolitan Melbourne

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 36-58
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Hovenden ◽  
Gang-Jun Liu
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Hot Spot ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Spatial Dependency ◽  
Moran's I ◽  
Analysis Techniques ◽  
Global Moran’S I

Understanding where, when, what type and why crashes are occurring can help determine the most appropriate initiatives to reduce road trauma. Spatial statistical analysis techniques are better suited to analysing crashes than traditional statistical techniques as they allow for spatial dependency and non-stationarity. For example, crashes tend to cluster at specific locations (spatial dependency) and vary from one location to another (non-stationarity). Several spatial statistical methods were used to examine crash clustering in metropolitan Melbourne, including Global Moran’s I statistic, Kernel Density Estimation and Getis-Ord Gi* statistic. The Global Moran’s I statistic identified statistically significant clustering on a global level. The Kernel Density Estimation method showed clustering but could not identify the statistical significance. The Getis-Ord Gi* method identified local crash clustering and found that 15.7 per cent of casualty crash locations in metropolitan Melbourne were statistically significant hot spots at the 95 per cent confidence level. The degree, location and extent of clustering was found to vary for different crash categories, with fatal crashes exhibiting the lowest level of clustering and bicycle crashes exhibiting the highest level of clustering. Temporal variations in clustering were also observed. Overlaying the results with land use and road classification data found that hot spot clusters were in areas with a higher proportion of commercial land use and with a higher proportion of arterial and sub-arterial roads. Further work should investigate network based hot spot analysis and explore the relationship between crash clusters and influencing factors using spatial techniques such as Geographically Weighted Regression.

scholarly journals Author Correction: An extended Weight Kernel Density Estimation model forecasts COVID-19 onset risk and identifies spatiotemporal variations of lockdown effects in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenzhong Shi ◽  
Chengzhuo Tong ◽  
Anshu Zhang ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Zhicheng Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variations ◽  
Estimation Model

A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-021-01924-6

scholarly journals Identifying the density of grassland fire points with kernel density estimation based on spatial distribution characteristics

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 796-806
Author(s):  
Zhen Shuo ◽  
Zhang Jingyu ◽  
Zhang Zhengxiang ◽  
Zhao Jianjun
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density Estimation ◽  
Function Method ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Fire Occurrence ◽  
Distribution Characteristics ◽  
Fire Point ◽  
Spatial Distribution Characteristics ◽  
Grassland Fire

Abstract Understanding the risk of grassland fire occurrence associated with historical fire point events is critical for implementing effective management of grasslands. This may require a model to convert the fire point records into continuous spatial distribution data. Kernel density estimation (KDE) can be used to represent the spatial distribution of grassland fire occurrences and decrease the influences historical records in point format with inaccurate positions. The bandwidth is the most important parameter because it dominates the amount of variation in the estimation of KDE. In this study, the spatial distribution characteristic of the points was considered to determine the bandwidth of KDE with the Ripley’s K function method. With high, medium, and low concentration scenes of grassland fire points, kernel density surfaces were produced by using the kernel function with four bandwidth parameter selection methods. For acquiring the best maps, the estimated density surfaces were compared by mean integrated squared error methods. The results show that Ripley’s K function method is the best bandwidth selection method for mapping and analyzing the risk of grassland fire occurrence with the dependent or inaccurate point variable, considering the spatial distribution characteristics.

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