scholarly journals Study on Tsunami Simulation Method Including Building Shape, Collapse and Drift

2014 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. I_161-I_165
Author(s):  
Yuji KOZONO ◽  
Masaaki SAKURABA ◽  
Kazuya NOJIMA
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Method ◽  
Tsunami Simulation ◽  
Building Shape

scholarly journals Tsunami evacuation plans for future megathrust earthquakes in Padang, Indonesia considering stochastic earthquake scenarios

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ario Muhammad ◽  
Katsuichiro Goda ◽  
Nicholas A. Alexander ◽  
Widjo Kongko ◽  
Abdul Muhari
Keyword(s):  
Probabilistic Models ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Historical Event ◽  
Tsunami Simulation ◽  
Earthquake Scenarios ◽  
Megathrust Earthquakes ◽  
Evacuation Plans ◽  
Earthquake Source Parameters ◽  
Source Models

Abstract. This study develops tsunami evacuation plans in Padang, Indonesia, using a stochastic tsunami simulation method. The stochastic results are based on multiple earthquake scenarios for different magnitudes (Mw 8.5, 8.75, and 9.0) that reflect asperity characteristics of the 1797 historical event in the same region. The generation of the earthquake scenarios involves probabilistic models of earthquake source parameters and stochastic synthesis of earthquake slip distributions. In total, 300 source models are generated to produce comprehensive tsunami evacuation plans in Padang. The tsunami hazard assessment results show that Padang may face significant tsunamis causing the maximum tsunami inundation height and depth of 15 m and 10 m, respectively. A comprehensive tsunami evacuation plan, including horizontal evacuation area maps, assessment of temporary tsunami evacuation shelters, and integrated horizontal-vertical evacuation time maps, has been developed based on the stochastic tsunami simulation results. The evacuation plans highlight that comprehensive mitigation policies can be produced from the stochastic tsunami simulation against the future tsunamigenic events.

Power of Modified Brown-Forsythe and Mixed-Model Approaches in Split-Plot Designs

Methodology ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Livacic-Rojas ◽  
Guillermo Vallejo ◽  
Paula Fernández ◽  
Ellián Tuero-Herrero
Keyword(s):  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Statistical Power ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
Covariance Structure ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Repeated Measures Design ◽  
Fixed And Random Effects ◽  
Split Plot ◽  
High Level

Abstract. Low precision of the inferences of data analyzed with univariate or multivariate models of the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) in repeated-measures design is associated to the absence of normality distribution of data, nonspherical covariance structures and free variation of the variance and covariance, the lack of knowledge of the error structure underlying the data, and the wrong choice of covariance structure from different selectors. In this study, levels of statistical power presented the Modified Brown Forsythe (MBF) and two procedures with the Mixed-Model Approaches (the Akaike’s Criterion, the Correctly Identified Model [CIM]) are compared. The data were analyzed using Monte Carlo simulation method with the statistical package SAS 9.2, a split-plot design, and considering six manipulated variables. The results show that the procedures exhibit high statistical power levels for within and interactional effects, and moderate and low levels for the between-groups effects under the different conditions analyzed. For the latter, only the Modified Brown Forsythe shows high level of power mainly for groups with 30 cases and Unstructured (UN) and Autoregressive Heterogeneity (ARH) matrices. For this reason, we recommend using this procedure since it exhibits higher levels of power for all effects and does not require a matrix type that underlies the structure of the data. Future research needs to be done in order to compare the power with corrected selectors using single-level and multilevel designs for fixed and random effects.

New Simplified Low Cost Simulation Method for SME Manufacturing System

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 206
Author(s):  
Tawfik Benabdallah ◽  
Nor Nait Sadi ◽  
Mustapha Kamel Abdi
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing System ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Cost Simulation

Combination of Support Vector Machine and K-Fold cross-validation for prediction of long-term degradation of the compressive strength of marine concrete

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 120-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunxiang Qian ◽  
Wence Kang ◽  
Hao Ling ◽  
Hua Dong ◽  
Chengyao Liang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Cross Validation ◽  
Concrete Strength ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Influence Degree ◽  
Fold Cross Validation

Support Vector Machine (SVM) model optimized by K-Fold cross-validation was built to predict and evaluate the degradation of concrete strength in a complicated marine environment. Meanwhile, several mathematical models, such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Decision Tree (DT), were also built and compared with SVM to determine which one could make the most accurate predictions. The material factors and environmental factors that influence the results were considered. The materials factors mainly involved the original concrete strength, the amount of cement replaced by fly ash and slag. The environmental factors consisted of the concentration of Mg2+, SO42-, Cl-, temperature and exposing time. It was concluded from the prediction results that the optimized SVM model appeared to perform better than other models in predicting the concrete strength. Based on SVM model, a simulation method of variables limitation was used to determine the sensitivity of various factors and the influence degree of these factors on the degradation of concrete strength.

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