scholarly journals Using the WRF Model to Refine NCEP CFSv2 Reanalysis Atmospheric Profile: A Southern Brazil Test Case

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucas Ribeiro Diaz ◽  
Silvia Beatriz Alves Rolim ◽  
Daniel Caetano Santos ◽  
Pâmela Suélen Käfer ◽  
Nájila Souza da Rocha ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (3) ◽  
pp. 971-985 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sang-Hun Park ◽  
Joseph B. Klemp ◽  
Jung-Hoon Kim

Abstract Although a terrain-following vertical coordinate is well suited for the application of surface boundary conditions, it is well known that the influences of the terrain on the coordinate surfaces can contribute to increase numerical errors, particularly over steep topography. To reduce these errors, a hybrid sigma–pressure coordinate is formulated in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model, and its effects are illustrated for both an idealized test case and a real-data forecast for upper-level turbulence. The idealized test case confirms that with the basic sigma coordinate, significant upper-level disturbances can be produced due to numerical errors that arise as the advection of strong horizontal flow is computed along coordinate surfaces that are perturbed by smaller-scale terrain influences. With the hybrid coordinate, this artificial noise is largely eliminated as the mid- and upper-level coordinate surfaces correspond much more closely to constant pressure surfaces. In real-data simulations for upper-level turbulence forecasting, the WRF Model using the basic sigma coordinate tends to overpredict the strength of upper-air turbulence over mountainous regions because of numerical errors arising as a strong upper-level jet is advected along irregular coordinate surfaces. With the hybrid coordinate, these errors are reduced, resulting in an improved forecast of upper-level turbulence. Analysis of kinetic energy spectra for these simulations confirms that artificial amplitudes in the smaller scales at upper levels that arise with the basic sigma coordinate are effectively removed when the hybrid coordinate is used.


2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 5603-5641 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. C. Teixeira ◽  
A. C. Carvalho ◽  
T. Luna ◽  
A. Rocha

Abstract. Through the years, the advances in satellite technology made feasible the acquisition of information about the Earth surface, such as elevation and land use with great detail and resolution. This information can be included in numerical atmospheric models, updating them and providing a more detailed lower boundary, which in turn can improve the results of events forced by it. Given this, this work aims to study the sensitivity of the Weather Research and Forecast model to three different topography datasets as well as two different land use datasets in an extreme precipitation event. A test case study in which topography driven precipitation was dominant over Madeira Island was considered which triggered several flash floods and mudslides in the southern parts of the island. Model results show higher model skill in precipitation over Madeira leeward and in the windward wind flow, in spite of the non significant enhancement on the overall results with higher resolution datasets of topography and land use.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2009-2025 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. C. Teixeira ◽  
A. C. Carvalho ◽  
M. J. Carvalho ◽  
T. Luna ◽  
A. Rocha

Abstract. The advances in satellite technology in recent years have made feasible the acquisition of high-resolution information on the Earth's surface. Examples of such information include elevation and land use, which have become more detailed. Including this information in numerical atmospheric models can improve their results in simulating lower boundary forced events, by providing detailed information on their characteristics. Consequently, this work aims to study the sensitivity of the weather research and forecast (WRF) model to different topography as well as land-use simulations in an extreme precipitation event. The test case focused on a topographically driven precipitation event over the island of Madeira, which triggered flash floods and mudslides in the southern parts of the island. Difference fields between simulations were computed, showing that the change in the data sets produced statistically significant changes to the flow, the planetary boundary layer structure and precipitation patterns. Moreover, model results show an improvement in model skill in the windward region for precipitation and in the leeward region for wind, in spite of the non-significant enhancement in the overall results with higher-resolution data sets of topography and land use.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonardo Calvetti ◽  
Augusto José Pereira Filho

Quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) were obtained from ensembles of the weather and research forecasting (WRF) model for the Iguaçu river watershed (IRW) in southern Brazil. Thirty-two rainfall events between 2005 and 2010 were simulated with ten configurations of WRF. These rainfall events range from local to synoptic scale convection and caused a significant increase in the level of the Iguaçu river. In the average, the ensembles yielded up to 20% better skill than single WRF forecasts for the events analyzed. WRF ensembles also allow estimating the predictability through the dispersion of the forecasts providing relevant information for decision-making. Phase errors of ensemble forecasts are larger than amplitude errors. More complex microphysics parameterizations yielded better QPFs with smaller phase errors. QPFs were fed to IRW hydrological model with similar phase and amplitude errors. It is suggested that lagged QPFs might reduce phase errors.


Author(s):  
Carlos Zubaran ◽  
Katia Foresti ◽  
Marina Verdi Schumacher ◽  
Aline Luz Amoretti ◽  
Lucia Cristina Muller ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 93 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-44
Author(s):  
Larry Schweikart ◽  
Lynne Pierson Doti

In Gold Rush–era California, banking and the financial sector evolved in often distinctive ways because of the Gold Rush economy. More importantly, the abundance of gold on the West Coast provided an interesting test case for some of the critical economic arguments of the day, especially for those deriving from the descending—but still powerful—positions of the “hard money” Jacksonians.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document