scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG (STUDY KASUS CHINA-INDONESIA).

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Ririn Martini Rezki ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati ◽  
Mike Triani

This research to analyze the influence of macro economic variables impact on Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia. The influence of China’s economic growth, Indonesia’s economic growth, interest rates, inflation and exchange rates against Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) China in Indonesia in the long term and short term. Type of this research is descriptive research, the secondary data use form time series data, from 2001Q1 – 2016Q4, taken  from agencies and related institution, the analysis using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) to see the influence in a long term and impact in the short term. This research show that Indonesia’s economic growth of China’s economic growth and inflation is have a significant effect in the long term Chinas’s FDI in Indonesia. Variable economic growth of Indonesia’s, interest rates, inflation, exchange rate in the short term influence China’s Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia. How ever in the long term interest rates and exchange rate do not influence significantly, to China’s FDI in Indonesia.

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Yuliarti Yuliarti ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Melti Roza Adry

The purpose of this research to analyze the long-term effects and short-term shocks of internal factors (inflation, economic growth, Indonesian interest rates) and external factors (economic openness, foreign interest rates, exchange rates) to foreign direct investment in Indonesia. The effects and impacts of these shocks will form the basis for decision-making and policy-setting in achieving optimal economic growth. This study uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) method to see the long-term and short-term effects of internal and external factors on foreign direct investment in Indonesia. The data used time series data from fisrt quarterly in 2000 to fourth quarterly in 2016. In more detail, ECM used to analyze short-term shocks. The results show that in the short term the internal factor of inflation caused shocks to foreign direct investment and in the long run, the variable of inflation and economic growth have a significant effect on foreign direct investment. External factors such as: economic openness, foreign interest rate and exchange rate in the short run cause shocks to foreign direct investment, and in the long term the openness of economy and exchange rate have a significant influence.


Author(s):  
Sadia Bibi ◽  
Syed Tauqeer Ahmad ◽  
Hina Rashid

This study focuses on empirical analysis to find out the role of trade openness, inflation, imports, exports, real exchange rate and foreign direct investment in enhancing economic growth in Pakistan. The analysis based on time series data for the period 1980 to 2011. This paper uses ADF; PP and DF-GLS tests to find out stationarity of the variables and Co-integration and DOLS (Dynamic Ordinary Least Square) techniques have been used for the estimation. Co integration results indicated the long run relationship among the variables. However, negative impact of trade openness can be overcome by producing import substitutes and creating conditions for trade surplus. Furthermore, foreign direct investment and trade are considered vital elements that improve the influence of economic growth.  


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-74
Author(s):  
Saif Alhakimi

This research paper aims to empirically analyze the impact of FDI on the long-term economic growth of Egypt. An empirical model was developed to explain the aggregate output, including total labor force, capital stock, foreign direct investment, government expenditure, and the real exchange rate. Annual time-series data from 1990–2013 were then used to estimate the model. Prior to calculating this estimation, the properties of the time series were diagnosed, and an error-correction model was developed and assessed. The overall results suggest that foreign direct investment makes a positive, yet weak and insignificant, contribution to the long-term economic growth of Egypt. This finding warrants further investigation to explore the possible reasons behind it, such as the degree of spillover that FDI has on economic growth and its impact on employment in areas like job creation, wage structure, research, and development.


Author(s):  
Akidi, Victor ◽  
Tubotamuno, Boma ◽  
Obayori, Joseph Bidemi

This paper empirically examined the effects of selected external sector aggregates on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2016. Time series data on Real Gross Domestic Product as proxy for economic growth, and on Imports, Exports, Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment were collected from secondary sources. The data sets were analyzed using descriptive statistics, unit root test, co-integration test and error correction technique of model estimation. The result of the analysis revealed that Imports, Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment negatively related with economic growth while Exports positively related with economic growth in Nigeria within the reviewed period. Also, except Exchange Rate all the other explanatory variables – Imports, Exports and Foreign Direct Investment did not impact significantly on economic growth in Nigeria within the period of study. Based on these findings, the study recommends that government should encourage export diversification, especially the non-oil sector exports. This can be achieved through value addition in both the agriculture and manufacturing sub-sectors output.


Author(s):  
Dat Tho Tran ◽  
Van Thi Cam Nguyen

This study aims at investigating the impact of globalization on economic growth in the case of Vietnam. Empirical analysis is done by using time series data for the period from 1995 to 2014. The paper tested the stationary cointegration of time series data and utilized the error correction modeling technique to determine the short run relationships among economic growth, globalization, foreign direct investment, balance of trade and exchange rate variables. Then, the long run relationship between economic growth and the variables representing economic integration were estimated by ordinary least square. The results show that globalization, measured by the KOF index, promotes economic growth and Vietnam has gained from integrating into the global economy. The overall index of globalization had positively and significantly impacted the economic growth in Vietnam. The results also indicated that economic globalization had a significantly positive effect on economic growth in the period examined. The study further revealed that foreign direct investment and the exchange rate affect economic growth positively whereas balance of trade affects economic growth negatively.


Author(s):  
Nashwa Maguid Hayel

Abstract: The achievement of EG and development is considered the core objective for both Developing Countires (DCs) and Least Developed Countries (LDCs), so countries try to get adequate funding to achieve this goal through optimal macroeconomic policies and different strategies. Countries prefer other mechanisms with less burden and cost to achieve economic growth, such as FDI flows. International development-oriented institutions such as WB and IMF recommend and consider FDI flows are the most important factors of the modern technology transfer, management, and know-how, which is necessarily needed in the local investment projects in poor countries, so FDI represents optimal external sources of growth. The objective of this study is to explain the impact of FDI on the EG of Djibouti. To achieve this objective the study used a secondary annual time series data for the period 1985-2019 by the method of Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The study results showed that FDI in the case of Djibouti tends to be statistically insignificant effects and a limited impact on Djibouti‘s EG, Moreover,other factors such as the Human Development Index(HDI), and Gross Fixed Capital Formation(GFCF), Trade Openness(TOP) shows significant effects on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Finally, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has no significance in the EG of Djibouti. The findings provide critical information to Djibouti policy decision-makers to make an informed decision with regard to attracting investment sectors and policies in encouraging foreign investors to invest in the country. KEYWORDS: Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, Djibouti, Empirical Analysis.


Author(s):  
Mohamed Isse Ibrahim

Foreign direct investment is a critical source of external instruments for financing development for Turkey, FDI can contribute to technology diffusion, Economic growth, Employment generation and Sustainable development. However; the Objective of this research is to examine whether foreign direct investment as an external source of financing effects economic growth in Turkey, based on time series data from 2003 to 2016 during the Erdoğan administration. This study employed Harrod-domar growth model using under OLS method. The paper considerate main variables foreign direct investment, Exchange rate and labor force. Based on empirically investigated the study confirmed that foreign direct investment and Labor force has a positive significant relationship to economic growth in Turkey while exchange rate has a negative significant relationship to economic growth in Turkey. So this paper recommends that movement of Turkey should promote policies encourage and creation of a good microeconomic and macroeconomic a friendly environment and utilization of the careful of loose monetary policy to economic performance.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-68
Author(s):  
Firdaus Jufrida ◽  
Mohd. Nur Syechalad ◽  
Muhammad Nasir

This study aims to analyze the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic investment on Indonesian economic growth. The data used was time series data on Indonesian economy from year. Furthermore, the analysis was conducted with quantitative method using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method with multiple regression model. The result shows that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has a positive but not significantly affected Indonesia economic growth, while Domestic Investment has a positive significant effect on Indonesian economic growth. Based on the research results, it is recommended that the Indonesia government has to maintain the stability of economic variables that can stimulate foreign and domestic investment in order to achieve sustainable economic growth.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh investasi asing langsung (FDI) dan investasi domestik pada pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series pada perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun. Selanjutnya, analisis dilakukan dengan metode kuantitatif dengan menggunakan metode regresi Ordinary Least Square (OLS) dengan model regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) memiliki positif tetapi tidak pertumbuhan ekonomi secara signifikan mempengaruhi Indonesia, sedangkan PMDN memiliki efek positif yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, disarankan agar pemerintah Indonesia harus menjaga stabilitas variabel ekonomi yang dapat merangsang investasi asing dan domestik dalam rangka mencapai pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Reenu Kumari ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir ◽  
Sharjeel Saleem ◽  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Bilal Ahmed Abbasi ◽  
...  

PurposeThis study examines the long-term and causal relationship among foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, trade openness and economic growth from India.Design/methodology/approachThis study has used annual time series data from the period 1985–2018 and applied the Johansen cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR) model.FindingsThe results of Johansen's cointegration confirm no long-term relationship among all the above three variables. Further, the results of VAR Granger causality indicate that FDI causes economic growth and economic growth causes FDI, which confirms the bi-directional causality. In contrast, this study found that there is no bi-directional causality between trade openness and economic growth.Social implicationsThrough this study, the government could take the decisions related to foreign investment after adopting more trade openness because the study results revealed that if India follows more trade openness, then how FDI will flow (upward and downward). With impulse analysis, researchers, government and policymakers take the decision-related FDI inflows for the forthcoming ten years after 2018.Originality/valueThis study has found the most exciting results from the impulse functions of FDI inflows, trade openness and economic growth, which showed the situation of these three variables as increase and decrease in the forthcoming ten years.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina Septriani Putri ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni

Abstract : This study examined and analysis the effect of remittances, foreigndirect investment, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia in the long run andshort run. This study using Error Correction Model (ECM) method and using theannual time series data from 1989 to 2018. This study found that: (1) remittancehave an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in the long run and shortrun,(2)foreign direct investment have a significant positive impact on economicgrowth in the long run and short run, (3) import have an insignificant positiveimpact on economic growth both in the long run and short run. To increase theeconomic growth in the future, this study suggests the government to decresingimports of consume goods and increasing the inflow of capital goods, rawmaterial goods, remittances and foreign direct investment.Keyword : Remittance, Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Economic Growth andECM


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