scholarly journals The Causal Nexus Between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Indonesia: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivia Tanaya ◽  
Suyanto Suyanto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Causal Nexus

The nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth has long been among the most debated issues in macroeconomics. Some studies find a positive link between the two factors, but others find no evidence. This current research fills the gap by analysing the causal nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Indonesia for the period 1970-2018. Indonesia as a developing country is one of the largest recipients of FDI flow; hence the study on the impact of FDI on the economic growth is very much important. This current research employs a contemporary time-series procedure, involving several unit-root tests namely Augmented-Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Phillips-Perron (PP), Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS), and Lee-Strazicich (LS), an Auto-Regressive-Distributed-Lag (ARDL) bounds-testing method for cointegration, and Granger causality test. The findings provide evidence of long-run and short-run causal direction from GDP to FDI. In contrast, FDI generates only a short-run relationship on GDP. The Granger causality test confirms the finding in ARDL that there is a unidirectional causality running from GDP to FDI.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-80
Author(s):  
Shiva Prasad Pokharel ◽  
Bishnu Prasad Pokharel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Causality Test

 This paper aims to investigate the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Nepal for the period 2008/09 to 2017/18 A.D. yearly data. It evaluated the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) performance and the trends of FDI and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) in Nepal. To demonstrate the relationship between Nepalese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) Multiple-Regression-Model has been applied along with various econometrics techniques such as Unit-Root Test, Granger-Causality Test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). GDP in this model is used as dependent variable whereas FDI and GFCF are measured as independent variables. According to the results, Unit Root Test indicated that all the variables included in the model were not stationary at level except FDI, whereas GDP and GFCF are stationary at first difference. The model is overall significant with the positive and significant relationship of GDP, FDI and GFCF. Result also indicate a good fit for the model with R2=86%. The Granger Causality Test revealed that there was no causality between the variables since all p-value obtained are more than 5%. Based on the empirical result of this paper, policy recommendation proposed that for Nepal to generate more foreign direct investment, hard work should be made at solving problems of government involvement in business; relative closed economy; corruption; weak public institutions; and poor external image, and political instability.

scholarly journals Government Spending and Economic Growth in Ghana: Evidence from Granger Causality Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 50-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucy Anning ◽  
Wang Haisu ◽  
Joshua Sunday Riti
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

In spite of the diverse major issues affecting the economy of Ghana over the years, the economy continues to experience a downward spiral in its economic growth. Taking into account three opining views regarding government spending and economic growth, this study sets to investigate the causal nexus fractious and economic growth in Ghana. We apply the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to co-integration and the vector error correction model (VECM)-Granger causality test to evaluate both long- and short-run parameters including the direction of causation with data spanning from 1980 and 2015.The empirical results show evidence of co-integration for the existence of a long-run relationship between the dependent and independent variables. The Granger causality tests, in addition, indicated causal independence between government spending and economic growth within the time framework of the study in the economy of Ghana. Government spending has a cause effect on economic growth in Ghana. However, government spending channeled into a more fractious use with the building of resilience and infrastructural development that are self-liquidating if encouraged will enhance economic activities in the short run and also propel growth in the long run in the Ghana.

scholarly journals GROWTH EFFECTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND FINANCIAL DEEPENING IN NIGERIA (1981-2018)

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 49-67
Author(s):  
Gbenga F. BABARINDE ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Growth Effects ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Money Velocity

This study investigates growth effects of foreign direct investment and financial deepening in Nigeria for the period 1981-2018. Data employed for this study were obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Development Indicators. Pairwise granger causality test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were employed in the data analysis. Empirical results show that foreign direct investment (FDI) has positive significant effect on economic growth (GDP) in Nigeria both in the long and short runs. Financial deepening measured as broad money supply as a ratio of GDP (broad money velocity) has positive significant effect on GDP in Nigeria in the long run but the position is reversed to negative non-significant in the short run. In the long run, financial deepening indicator-credit to private sector as a ratio of GDP-, has negative non-significant effect on GDP in Nigeria while its influence is absent in the short run model. Findings also reveal a unidirectional causality from FDI to GDP. Likewise, unidirectional causality flows from GDP to each of the two financial deepening indicators, thus lending credence to the demand-following hypothesis. This study concludes that foreign direct investment and financial deepening have positive growth effects in Nigeria with causality flowing from foreign direct investment to economic growth and the latter granger-causing financial deepening in Nigeria. To boost economic growth, there is a need for Nigeria’s government to further develop the financial system and implement policies to stimulate FDI inflows to the country.

scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Bangladesh Economy: a Time Series Analysis from 1972 to 2013

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rumana Rashid ◽  
Sk. Sharafat Hossen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on economic growth and examines the causality between FDI and economic growth in Bangladesh during 1972-2013. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), export performance (EXP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) are considered to capture the objective of the study. The study methodology includes some systematic steps. As the data used in the study is time-series in nature, the author employs unit root tests, and in this case, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) tests are used. Then Johansen’s cointegration test, Granger causality test, regression with Newey-West Standard Error and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are applied. By using the ADF and PP test the study reveals that the variables of four-time series are integrated of I (1) i.e. they are stationary at first difference. Regression analysis result demonstrates that FDI has a positive effect on economic growth. The Granger Causality test discloses that there is a unidirectional relationship between FDI and economic growth. But the VECM estimation finds that in the long run FDI negatively affects economic growth.

Relationships between Financial Development, Trade Openness, and Economic Growth

2015 ◽  
pp. 183-196
Author(s):  
Fahri Seker ◽  
Murat Cetin ◽  
Birol Topcu ◽  
Gamze Yıldız Seren
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The aim of this chapter is to investigate the cointegration and causal relationship between financial development, trade openness, and economic growth in Turkey for the period of 1980-2012. To analyze the data, the bounds testing and Johansen-Juselius approaches to cointegration and Granger causality test based on vector error-correction model are employed. The cointegration tests suggest that there is a long-run relationship between the variables. The Granger causality test reveals long-run bidirectional causality between trade openness and economic growth. The findings also indicate unidirectional causality running from financial development to trade openness and economic growth in the long run as well as a bi-directional causality between financial development and economic growth in the short run. The results support supply-leading and trade-led growth hypotheses. Therefore, it can be suggested that Turkey can accelerate its economic growth by improving its financial systems and encouraging foreign trade.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Asian-African Conference Countries, 2000-2014

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 09-16
Author(s):  
Malik Cahyadin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Test Results ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Causality Test

Objective - This study analyses the relationship between FDI, TO, GE and EG based on data collected from 79 member countries of the AAC. Today, the AAC has becomes an urgent forum for member countries as it strives to manifest the economic development and prosperity of Asian and African countries. Methodology/Technique - This study uses correlation and the Granger Causality test to analyse data which were extracted from the World Bank database during the period of between 2000– 2014. Findings - The test results showed that the correlation of FDI, TO, GE may be correlated weakly, moderately, and strongly against EG. However, the Granger Causality test results indicated that not all variables have causality. In that regard, member countries of the AAC should pay more attention towards promoting economic growth through FDI, TO and GE. Novelty - The findings of this study can be used by policy makers and economists in the respective member countries of the AAC to design an economic strategy that encourages domestic economic growth. Type of Paper: Empirical/Review Keywords: Macroeconomy, AAC, Correlation, Causality test, Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure, Economic Growth.

scholarly journals Exploring the linkages of Foreign Direct Investment in Spain since 1970’s: an ARDL approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-54
Author(s):  
Verónica Cañal Fernández ◽  
Julio Tascón Fernández ◽  
María Gómez Martín
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

This paper analyzes the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), exports and economic growth in Spain using annual time series data for the period 1970 to 2016. To examine these linkages the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration for the long-run is applied. The results confirm a long-run relationship among the examined variables. The Granger causality test indicates a strong unidirectional causality between FDI and exports with direction from FDI to exports. Besides, the results for the relationship between FDI and economic growth are interesting and indicate that there is no significant Granger causality from FDI to economic growth and vice-versa.

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