scholarly journals Financial and Economic Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment - A Panel Estimation Study of the ASEAN-5 Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 103-131
Author(s):  
Geetha Subramaniam ◽  
◽  
Ratneswary Rasiah ◽  
Doris Padmini Selvaratnam ◽  
Jayalakshmy Ramachandran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Market Size ◽  
Panel Estimation ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run

ASEAN's strength stems from its diversity, which generates a plethora of diverse market opportunities. Over the last few decades, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has risen significantly as a major source of international capital transfer, but the COVID-19 pandemic had a detrimental effect on FDI flows, with the outlook for ASEAN remaining highly unpredictable and contingent on the length of the crisis, the efficacy of policy efforts to encourage investment and to mitigate the economic consequences of the pandemic. This study examines the long-run relationships and short-run dynamic interactions between FDI and its determinants comprising of market size, trade openness, stock market capitalisation and financial development over the period 1970 to 2019. The study applies the dynamic heterogeneous panel estimation techniques of Mean Group (MG), Pooled Mean Group (PMG) and Dynamic Fixed Effects (DFE) to analyse a set of macro panel data of the ASEAN-5 countries, to establish the possible relationships between these variables. An analysis of the results reveals the existence of a long-run causality between FDI and its predictors, indicated by the significant error correction terms for the models tested in this study. There is evidence that market size and stock market capitalization significantly contribute to FDI, with market size being the most dominant contributor. Interestingly, the study also reveals that trade openness and financial development are not significant in determining FDI in the selected countries. The study concludes with an examination of policy implications and also sheds some light on the outlook of FDI in ASEAN-5 post Covid 19. Keywords: foreign direct investment, financial development, pooled mean group, ASEAN-5

THE NEXUS BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH, STOCK MARKET DEPTH, TRADE OPENNESS, AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: THE CASE OF ASEAN COUNTRIES

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (03) ◽  
pp. 461-493 ◽  
Author(s):  
RUDRA P. PRADHAN ◽  
MAK B. ARVIN ◽  
JOHN H. HALL
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Depth ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Tax Holidays

Many studies have investigated the causal relationship between economic growth and the depth in the stock market, between economic growth and trade openness, or between economic growth and foreign direct investment. Advancing on earlier work, this paper uses vector error-correction and cointegration techniques in order to establish whether there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between all four variables. We consider a sample of 25 ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) countries which are studied over the period 1961–2012. Our analysis, which combines various strands of the literature, establishes the direction of causality between the variables. Policy recommendations include the encouragement of mutual fund investment by smaller investors to increase stock market depth as well as methods to increase foreign direct investment, such as tax holidays.

scholarly journals The Real Exchange Rate-Foreign Direct Investment Controversy in South Africa: An Application of ARDL Approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 207
Author(s):  
Ahmed Mohamed Dahir ◽  
Fuaziah Mahat ◽  
A. N. Bany-Ariffin ◽  
Nazrul Hisyam Ab Razak
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Size ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

This paper examines the relationship between real exchange rate and foreign direct investment. We apply autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing method to estimate short and long-run relationships between the series in South Africa over the period of 1987-2016. The results reveal long-run cointegration relationships among variables are confirmed, implying real exchange rate, domestic market size stimulate the foreign direct investment in the long run. Furthermore, there is significant Granger unidirectional causality foreign direct investment to real exchange rate in short and long run and from market size to trade openness in a short run. This finding further suggests that the exchange rate instability are likely to be substantially harmful to a positive effect of FDI and should be avoided in South Africa.

scholarly journals Effects of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Returns in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 56-70
Author(s):  
Adeleke Gabriel Aremo ◽  
Olabode Eric Olabisi ◽  
Oyinlola O. Adeboye
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The paper empirically examines the effects of selected macroeconomic variables on stock market returns in Nigeria within the period 1985 and 2014 with a view to determining the macro-factors determining stock market returns in Nigeria. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach was employed to examine both the short and long-run effects of selected macroeconomic variables on stock market returns using annual time series data spanning 1985 to 2014. The findings show that both foreign direct investment inflows and external debt do not have significant impact on stock market returns in Nigeria while money supply and trade openness have significant positive effect on stock market returns in the long-run. The annual speed of adjustment towards equilibrium is 91 per cent.  The causality results show two-way causality between the nominal stock market returns and foreign direct investment inflows, while one-way causality runs from nominal stock market returns to trade openness.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Financial Development: New Evidence from Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-112
Author(s):  
Abdul Majeed ◽  
Ping Jiang ◽  
Mahmood Ahmad ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Judit Olah
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Impact

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is seen as a prerequisite for gaining and maintaining competitiveness. Simultaneously, the relationship between FDI and financial development (FD) has important implications for the researched economy and its competitiveness. This domain has not been sufficiently investigated, with diverse and contradictory findings evident in the literature. Therefore, this study investigates the effect of FDI on FD for the selected 102 Belt and Road Initiative countries on four continents: Asia, Europe, Africa, and Latin America. Based on data from 1990 to 2017, a set of quantitative techniques, including feasible generalized least squares, and augmented mean group techniques, were used in this study. Our findings indicate that FDI, trade openness, government consumption, and inflation have a statistically significant relationship with FD. FDI, trade openness, and government consumption increased FD in Asia, Europe, and Latin America but decreased in Africa. Inflation shows a negative influence on FD in all continents. Furthermore, the Dumitrescu–Harlin panel causality test confirms a two-way causality relationship among FDI, trade openness, and FD in Asia and Europe. In contrast, a unidirectional relationship exists between FDI and FD in Latin America. The income-wise results reveal that low- and middle-income countries attract more FDI than high-income countries due to high factor costs. These empirical results provide new insights for policymakers, presenting several policy implications for FD competitiveness in the reference regions.

scholarly journals Nexus Between Financial Development, FDI, Globalization, Energy Consumption and Environment: Evidence From BRI Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Lu ◽  
Muhammad Imran ◽  
Abdul Haseeb ◽  
Shah Saud ◽  
Mengyun Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Belt And Road

This study explores the nexus between foreign direct investment, financial development, energy consumption, economic growth and globalization for a selected panel of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries over the period 1990–2016. After employing appropriate panel unit root tests, the Westerlund co-integration test, the DSUR long-run panel estimation approach and the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test, the results reveal a significant long-run relationship among the analyzed variables. The DSUR results show that energy consumption is boosted by 0.023 and 0.790% when a 1% rise occurs in foreign direct investment and economic growth. A 1% increase in financial development and globalization reduces energy consumption by 0.049 and 0.621%, respectively. We also found bidirectional relationships of energy consumption with financial development and foreign direct investment with globalization for the selected sample of our study. A unidirectional causal relationship exists, moving from energy consumption towards both financial development and foreign direct investment. An increase in FDI, the introduction of energy-efficient technology, and development of the financial sector lead to sustainable economic growth. The findings reveal the need to formulate policies that promote energy efficiency among Belt and Road (BR) countries. The policy implications of this study are presented in the Conclusion.

Foreign Direct Investment and International Trade in WAEMU- Panel Causality and Long-term Relationship Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-212
Author(s):  
Ousseini Amadou Maiga ◽  
Issoufou Oumarou ◽  
Salifou Kigbajah Coulibaly
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Relationship Analysis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Short Run

Abstract Using panel data from 1990 to 2016, this paper examines the Granger causality and long-run relationship between foreign direct investment, and trade (imports, exports, and trade openness) in the West African economic and monetary union (WAEMU). This study will determine the link between international trade and foreign direct investment to the policymakers. The study follows the short-run causality, cointegration, and long-run approach. The Granger causality tests that there is causality between trade and FDI. The analysis uses Kao and Pedroni method which reveal the existence of cointegration between trade and FDI. The long-run effect tests suggested that foreign direct investment has a positive long-run effect increasing export WAEMU. The tests also indicate that foreign direct investment has a positive long-run effect spurring import and leads to more trade openness in WAEMU. Additionally, the long run estimation indicates that FDI induces to more trade openness in WAEMU. Moreover, the analysis indicates also that export and import have a positive and significant long-run effect on foreign direct investment. Furthermore, the estimation indicates that trade openness has a positive and significant impact on attracting more foreign investment in WAEMU. We explored the economic and policy implications of our analyses in the conclusions.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Link Between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment: Empirical Evidence from Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-206
Author(s):  
Mekuanent Tesega ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an important source of external financing and an important factor for the economic development of a country. FDI is highly important especially for developing countries as it brings modern technologies and management skills in addition to narrowing the financial gaps. In this sense the knowledge of what determines FDI will have a tremendous significance. With the objective of empirically determining the long-run and short-run relationships between financial development, trade openness and FDI inflows in Ethiopia this study employed the ARDL model. The findings indicated that private sector credit, M2 and trade openness have a positive and significant influence on FDI inflows in the long-run while M2, and trade openness has a positive and significant influence on FDI in the short-run too. Current period private sector credit had no impact on FDI while the one period lag of it has a positive significant effect on FDI. Likewise, the causality test results disclose the presence of bi-directional causal relationships between private sector credit and FDI, and between M2 and trade openness. Furthermore, the findings indicate a one direction Granger cause from M2 to FDI. Policy makers are advised to consider trade openness and financial development measures in their quest for more FDI inflow. Keywords: FDI, trade openness, financial development, ARDL, Ethiopia

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Financial Development and Economic Growth Evidence from Saudi Arabia

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Najeeb Muhammad Nasir ◽  
Mohammed Ziaur Rehman ◽  
Nasir Ali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Saudi Arabian ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Resources ◽  
Integration Test

This study is an effort to explain and establish a relationship among foreign direct investment, financial development and economic growth in Saudi Arabian context for the period of 1970 to 2015 by employing Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and modified Granger Casualty Models. The result of Johansen co-integration test illustrates that no long run co-integration can be established among the variables. VAR has established a link between economic growth, financial development and foreign direct investment. The Granger causality test also confirms that economic growth causes foreign direct investment and financial development which is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth towards foreign direct investment and financial development. No significant causality can be observed empirically between foreign direct investment and financial development. This feature can be attributed to the fact that Saudi Arabian economy is still heavily dependent on its oil resources which is the driving force behind growth. Impulse Response Function has been utilized in order to observe the response to the shocks among the variables.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment - Domestic Investment Nexus: Evidence from India

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-275
Author(s):  
Abraham Babu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Reform Period

The relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic investment is intriguing. An important question arises - does foreign direct investment crowd in or crowd out domestic investment? This paper examines this nexus in the post-1991 period in India, which is also considered as the post-reform period. It is during this era; the above-mentioned topic gains more impetus as the economy opened up for further foreign inflows. The time period taken for the paper was from 1990-91 to 2014-15. The data series were checked for stationarity and the presence of long run relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic investment was analysed using cointegration test. Thereafter, the vector error correction model was estimated. The results clearly show that foreign direct investment crowds out domestic investment in India in the post reform period. The findings have significant policy implications because there is a substituting relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic investment in India.

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