THE NEXUS BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH, STOCK MARKET DEPTH, TRADE OPENNESS, AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: THE CASE OF ASEAN COUNTRIES

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (03) ◽  
pp. 461-493 ◽  
Author(s):  
RUDRA P. PRADHAN ◽  
MAK B. ARVIN ◽  
JOHN H. HALL
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Depth ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Tax Holidays

Many studies have investigated the causal relationship between economic growth and the depth in the stock market, between economic growth and trade openness, or between economic growth and foreign direct investment. Advancing on earlier work, this paper uses vector error-correction and cointegration techniques in order to establish whether there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between all four variables. We consider a sample of 25 ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) countries which are studied over the period 1961–2012. Our analysis, which combines various strands of the literature, establishes the direction of causality between the variables. Policy recommendations include the encouragement of mutual fund investment by smaller investors to increase stock market depth as well as methods to increase foreign direct investment, such as tax holidays.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

scholarly journals How Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economy of Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 1641-1653
Author(s):  
Noreen Safdar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Time Span ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Growth Of Economy

This study is intended to find out how and to what extent FDI and trade openness affect the growth of economy in Pakistan for time span 1980-2018. To examine influence of FDI and trade openness, GDP was used by way of dependent variable whereas FDI, trade openness, exchange rate, and inflation are also taken as independent variables. The ARDL technique is employed in following study to estimate short-run and long-run results. This study concludes that TO have a positive momentous influence on GDP in both long and short run. While Foreign Direct Investment has an optimistic but irrelevant influence on GDP in Pakistan which demonstrates that TO has a more progressive influence on GDP of Pakistan than FDI. Other variables labor force and inflation harm economic growth while the exchange rate affects GDP positively. It is suggested by the study to enhance economic growth, govt should focus on liberalization of trade by reducing tariffs, customs duties, and other types of taxes on exports to enhance the economic growth of Pakistan.

Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from India

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Brajaballav Pal
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Government

This paper examines the relationship among GDP, foreign direct investment and trade openness for India using time series data from 2001 to 2016. In this study unit root test is used to solve the problem of stationery and to determine the order of integration between the variables. Johnson co-integration test suggests that there is a long run equilibrium relationship among the variables by considering relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Trade Openness (TO). The result indicates that trade openness exerts influence on foreign direct investment. The government and policy makers should take up strategies to attract foreign investment so as to promote economic growth.

scholarly journals The Impact of FDI on Economic Growth in Case of Romania

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Alina Mihaela Ciobanu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Main Determinants ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

Foreign direct investment flows had increased worldwide over the last decades and many specialists think that there is a strong correlation among trade, FDI, labor force, and economic growth in the receiving countries. Based on available statistical data, we will examine the effects of FDI on GDP growth and the causality relations between GDP, trade openness, labor force, and FDI in case of Romania for the last decades. The ARDL bound testing approach is used to study the existence of a long-run relationship between FDI, trade, labor, and economic growth. Then the error-correction based Granger causality test is used to test the direction of causality between the variables. The results revealed that there is cointegration among the variables when real GDP and foreign direct investment are the dependent variables. Foreign direct investment, trade openness, and labor force are the main determinants of economic growth in the long run in Romania. In addition, the increase of gross domestic product, exports, imports and labor force promote foreign direct investment in the long run.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 90-97
Author(s):  
Sani Ali Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
National Income ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

The economic development performance can be used to measure the economic growth of a given country. In economic analysis, a country can attain economic growth through the growth in national income measurement. However, there were rigorous discussions on the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth and continued to be a topic of discussion on the contemporary economy. This paper serves as an extension to the previous empirical studies on the issue by providing some evidence from time series data for the period 1971 to 2013 of Nigeria. The primary aim of this study is to analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth of Nigeria taking trade openness, Gross Fixed Capital Formation and human capital as control variables. To investigate the long run equilibrium relationship, Johansen and Juselius co-integration approach is analyzed, while the speed of adjustment in the short run is analyzed through the use of VECM method. In Nigeria, FDI, GFCF and HK have long run relationship with economic growth. However, the coefficient of ECM in Nigeria is statistically significant at 1% level of significance. Thus, 10.8% of the adjustment is achieved due to the correction of the adjustment speed in a year.

scholarly journals Financial and Economic Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment - A Panel Estimation Study of the ASEAN-5 Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 103-131
Author(s):  
Geetha Subramaniam ◽  
◽  
Ratneswary Rasiah ◽  
Doris Padmini Selvaratnam ◽  
Jayalakshmy Ramachandran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Market Size ◽  
Panel Estimation ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run

ASEAN's strength stems from its diversity, which generates a plethora of diverse market opportunities. Over the last few decades, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has risen significantly as a major source of international capital transfer, but the COVID-19 pandemic had a detrimental effect on FDI flows, with the outlook for ASEAN remaining highly unpredictable and contingent on the length of the crisis, the efficacy of policy efforts to encourage investment and to mitigate the economic consequences of the pandemic. This study examines the long-run relationships and short-run dynamic interactions between FDI and its determinants comprising of market size, trade openness, stock market capitalisation and financial development over the period 1970 to 2019. The study applies the dynamic heterogeneous panel estimation techniques of Mean Group (MG), Pooled Mean Group (PMG) and Dynamic Fixed Effects (DFE) to analyse a set of macro panel data of the ASEAN-5 countries, to establish the possible relationships between these variables. An analysis of the results reveals the existence of a long-run causality between FDI and its predictors, indicated by the significant error correction terms for the models tested in this study. There is evidence that market size and stock market capitalization significantly contribute to FDI, with market size being the most dominant contributor. Interestingly, the study also reveals that trade openness and financial development are not significant in determining FDI in the selected countries. The study concludes with an examination of policy implications and also sheds some light on the outlook of FDI in ASEAN-5 post Covid 19. Keywords: foreign direct investment, financial development, pooled mean group, ASEAN-5

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (IV) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

scholarly journals The Causality between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Botswana: A Multivariate Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 8
Author(s):  
Erasmus L Owusu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Savings

<p><em>The paper empirically investigates the short and long-run causal relationship between</em> <em>foreign direct investment, credit to the private sector, trade openness, gross national expenditure and economic growth in Botswana. In doing this, the paper employs multivariate Granger-Causality within an ARDL-bounds approach to co-integration and unrestricted error correction model (UECM). The paper finds that FDI inflow does not spur economic growth but rather, it is economic growth which promotes FDI inflow, credit to the private sector, trade and national expenditure. However, the paper finds</em> <em>a bi-directional relationship between FDI inflow and credit to the private sector both in the short and the long runs. Thus, policies should be targeted at improving the investment climate for existing domestic and foreign investors through infrastructure development and that external capital inflow should be complemented by domestic savings and investors on other to boost economic growth in Botswana.</em></p>

Financial depth and the trade openness-economic growth nexus

2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-45
Author(s):  
Rudra P. Pradhan ◽  
Mak Arvin ◽  
John H. Hall ◽  
Sara E. Bennett ◽  
Sahar Bahmani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to shed light on the age-old trade-and-economic-growth controversy. The authors do so by utilizing the data relating to the G-20 countries between 1988 and 2013. Design/methodology/approach The authors seek to establish the formal statistical links between openness to trade and economic growth in the context of interactions with financial depth, gross capital formation, and foreign direct investment. The authors use a panel vector autoregressive model to obtain the estimates. The authors check for the robustness of the results. Findings The authors find that all the variables are cointegrated. That is, there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables. Moreover, trade openness, financial depth, gross capital formation, and foreign direct investment are all causative factors for the economic growth of the G-20 countries in the long run. At the same time, the short-run results demonstrate that there is a myriad of causal links between these variables. Practical implications The decision makers in the G-20 countries wishing to encourage economic growth in the long run should pay close attention to trade openness, financial depth, gross capital formation, and foreign direct investment inflows to their countries. Originality/value The authors study an important group of countries over a long span of time, using advanced panel data techniques. The results demonstrate that future studies on economic growth that do not simultaneously consider trade openness, financial depth, foreign direct investment, and gross capital formation will offer biased or misguided results.

scholarly journals Effects of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Returns in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 56-70
Author(s):  
Adeleke Gabriel Aremo ◽  
Olabode Eric Olabisi ◽  
Oyinlola O. Adeboye
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The paper empirically examines the effects of selected macroeconomic variables on stock market returns in Nigeria within the period 1985 and 2014 with a view to determining the macro-factors determining stock market returns in Nigeria. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach was employed to examine both the short and long-run effects of selected macroeconomic variables on stock market returns using annual time series data spanning 1985 to 2014. The findings show that both foreign direct investment inflows and external debt do not have significant impact on stock market returns in Nigeria while money supply and trade openness have significant positive effect on stock market returns in the long-run. The annual speed of adjustment towards equilibrium is 91 per cent.  The causality results show two-way causality between the nominal stock market returns and foreign direct investment inflows, while one-way causality runs from nominal stock market returns to trade openness.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document