A Simplified Probability Model of Error of Measurement
A model of variability in measurement which does not employ the concepts of “true score” and “error score” is presented. Reference to an observed score random variable, X, together with the usual axioms of probability, is shown to be a satisfactory basis for derivation of results of the classical test theory which relate observable quantities. In addition, reliability formulas such as the KR 20 and KR 21 are obtained by construction of the observed score random variable over a sample space of outcomes of a testing procedure and assignment of probabilities to outcomes. The approach is consistent with trends in psychological theory toward objectively defined constructs and avoids redundancy in derivations, as well as connotations which arise from reference to “true values” and “errors.” The present model is shown to be consistent with a relativistic, as opposed to an absolutistic, conception of measurement.