scholarly journals The Use of Statistical Inference in the Water Supply Network Managing Operation Process

2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 221-244
Author(s):  
Izabela Piegdoń

Abstract Based on operational data concerning the dates of failure of the water supply network, a mean time to failure was performed. The calculations were performed for the main network, distribution network and water supply connections. The hypothesis about exponential working time between failures was verified using the Pearson test (χ2). The presented analyses provide an attitude of further analyses related to modelling the work of renovation and repair teams, associated with the selection of their appropriate number, and also to ensure the required level of safety and reliability of water supply to the consumers.

Author(s):  
AVINASH SAXENA ◽  
SHRISHA RAO

Degradation analysis is used to analyze the useful lifetimes of systems, their failure rates, and various other system parameters like mean time to failure (MTTF), mean time between failures (MTBF), and the system failure rate (SFR). In many systems, certain possible parallel paths of execution that have greater chances of success are preferred over others. Thus we introduce here the concept of probabilistic parallel choice. We use binary and n-ary probabilistic choice operators in describing the selections of parallel paths. These binary and n-ary probabilistic choice operators are considered so as to represent the complete system (described as a series-parallel system) in terms of the probabilities of selection of parallel paths and their relevant parameters. Our approach allows us to derive new and generalized formulae for system parameters like MTTF, MTBF, and SFR. We use a generalized exponential distribution, allowing distinct installation times for individual components, and use this model to derive expressions for such system parameters.


2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-197
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Malinowska ◽  
Ryszard Hejmanowski ◽  
Janusz Rusek

Abstract The research presented in this paper is basically focused on two objectives. Firstly, the selection of parameters affecting the water supply network damage. The causes of failures were selected from a population of tens of breakdown cases and then classified in view of their importance. Secondly, attention was paid to the selection of the most suitable linguistic model which could be commonly used for selecting factors which generate failures. Finally a Mamdani-based model could be worked out as a system possessing best generalization qualities. This model can create bases for an adaptative decision system which can show the type of water supply-sewage network, depending on continuous surface strains due to the mining activity.


2018 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 00140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Izabela Piegdoń ◽  
Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak

Many phenomena are characterized by unevenness and variability in time, so-called periodic fluctuations, of which seasonal variations are a special case. In water supply systems, the failures of water pipes are also characterized by unevenness during the year. Seasonality is especially evident when the failures are analysed at particular times of the year. The main purpose of this paper is to present the problems of failures in water supply network caused by seasonal changes, to determine seasonal indicators and to give an example of the system failure analysis for the selected city of south-eastern Poland. The analysis was based on actual operational data obtained from water supply company.


2011 ◽  
Vol 110-116 ◽  
pp. 2497-2503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zdenek Vintr ◽  
Michal Vintr

Rolling bearings are usually considered to be non-repaired items the reliability of which is characterized by mean time to failure, or so called basic rating life. Reliability describes these parameters well in case the bearings are used in operation up to the very time the failure occurs, or during the time corresponding with basic rating life. In case of railway applications the bearings are often used in large groups and are preventively replaced after much shorter operating time as compared with their basic rating life. In the article there is a model which enables us to describe the bearings reliability in this specific case and to specify a number of failures which might be expected from a group of bearings during operating time, or to determine mean operating time between failures of bearings.


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