scholarly journals The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the New Economy: Evidence from Turkey (1997-2006)

2007 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atilla Cifter ◽  
Alper Ozun

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the New Economy: Evidence from Turkey (1997-2006)This study aimed to test the money base, money supply, credit capacity, industrial production index, interest rates, inflation and real exchange rate data of Turkey during the years 1997 - 2006. These were tested through the monetary transmission mechanism and passive money hypothesis, using the vector error correction model-based causality test. Empirical findings showed that the passive money supply hypothesis of the new Keynesian economy is supported in part by accommodationalist views and differs from those of structuralist and liquidity preference theories. However, the monetary transmission mechanism has established that long-term money supply only affects general price levels, while production is influenced by interest rates in the new period of the Turkish economy. Empirical findings show that in this new period, interest transmission mechanisms are at the forefront.

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Dina Cakmur Yildirtan ◽  
Selin Sarili

Monetary transmission mechanism is the mechanism which shows  in what ways and what extent interaction between the real economy-monetary policy, impacts aggregate demand and production. While transmission channels or mechanisms traditionally classified they divided into three categories; interest rates, Exchange rates and other asset prices.In this study to test the existence of the European debt crisis by the monetary transmission mechanism, 15 members of European Union country by using annual (2002-2014) data set were included into study. We use panel unit root tests to analyze whether the variables in the model are stationary or not. For the countries included in the study, panel causality tests developed by Granger is applied. Panel Vector Autoregressive Model has been estimated and results of Impulse-Response Analysis and Variance Decomposition have been interpreted.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-91
Author(s):  
Prince Umor C. Agundu ◽  
Waleru Henry Akani

The potency of monetary transmission channels anchors the process by which interest rate movements and other cardinal aggregates influence critical financial fundamentals in an economy. This study, thus, examines dynamism of the monetary transmission mechanism with focus on the causality of interest rate and market capitalization in the Nigerian economy. Time series data covering a period of 36 years (1981 - 2015) were extracted from publications of monetary authorities and related agencies, including annual reports of Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) in the country. Facilitated by E-Views software, the analytical proceedings generated the required statistical outcomes in terms of coefficient of correlation (r), coefficient of determination (R2), t-statistic, and F-statistic. Granger causality test was also conducted to clearly establish the direction of causality between the focal variables. Essentially, the null hypothesis is rejected as probability of the F-statistic is less than the specified 0.05 level of significance. The granger causality test statistics run from four interest rate components to the operational capital market fundamental (with F-statistics of 5.758, 5.540, 4.209,and5.656; as well as  probability values of 0.008, 0.009, 0.002, and 0.009 respectively). In view of the analytical outcomes, it is recommended that interest rate components be efficiently synergized to boost investors’ confidence and further drive monetary policy dynamics towards greater financial system vitality and sustainability in Nigeria.


2003 ◽  
Vol 48 (02) ◽  
pp. 113-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
WEE BENG GAN ◽  
LEE YING SOON

This paper evaluates the monetary policy response of Malaysia's central bank and the nature of monetary transmission mechanism in the 1990s when the exchange rate was on a managed float and the capital account was open. Structural vector autogression analysis is employed to evaluate how the central bank sets short term interest rates taking into consideration the constraints faced in adjusting the policy instrument to shocks to the economy. The impulse response functions and the variance decomposition indicate that the central bank preferred to use foreign exchange intervention rather than interest rate to stabilize the ringgit exchange rate. The results suggest that a sustained high level of interest rates would have caused a prolonged and deep contraction in output during the East Asian financial crisis.


1995 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 11-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
John B Taylor

This paper provides an overview of the monetary transmission mechanism describing the impact of changes in monetary policy on real GDP. Changes in financial market prices--including long-term interest rates and exchange rates--are the main vehicle for the transmission of policy. The framework incorporates rational expectations and policy rules. It is empirical and appears to fit the facts well.


2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Reiter ◽  
Tommy Sveen ◽  
Lutz Weinke

Abstract Once New Keynesian (NK) theory is combined with a standard model of lumpy investment, the resulting framework loses its ability to generate a realistic monetary transmission mechanism. This is the puzzle uncovered in Reiter, Sveen, and Weinke [Reiter, M., T. Sveen, and L. Weinke. 2013. “Lumpy Investment and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism.” Journal of Monetary Economics 60: 821–834.]. The simple economic reason behind it is the unrealistically large interest rate elasticity of investment, as implied by the standard theory of lumpy investment. In order to address this puzzle we develop a NK model featuring fully flexible investment combined with a financial friction. This model is used to isolate the quantitative importance of the financial friction for the monetary transmission mechanism.


2004 ◽  
Vol 187 ◽  
pp. 93-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter McAdam ◽  
Julian Morgan

This paper examines the effects of changes in Euro Area interest rates using macroeconomic models. It examines the results of a harmonised monetary policy simulation at the Euro Area level using the National Institute of Economic and Social Research's Global Economic Model (NiGEM) and the European Central Bank's Area Wide Model (AWM). Comparison is also drawn with the aggregate results from Euro Area National Central Bank models as reported in van Els et al. (2001). Overall, the results across the different models are broadly consistent with what might be regarded as the stylised facts of the monetary transmission mechanism. That is to say that, following a policy tightening, there is an initial fall in output consisting of a more pronounced investment response and a less pronounced consumption response. This output fall is accompanied by protracted price dynamics.


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