LEO constellation orbital debris threat assessment - A case study

2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Fudge
Author(s):  
Fang Deng ◽  
◽  
Xinan Liu ◽  
Zhihong Peng ◽  
Jie Chen

With the development of low-level data fusion technology, threat assessment, which is a part of high-level data fusion, is recognized by an increasing numbers of people. However, the method to solve the problem of threat assessment for various kinds of targets and attacks is unknown. Hence, a threat assessment method is proposed in this paper to solve this problem. This method includes tertiary assessments: information classification, reorganization, and summary. In the tertiary assessments model, various threats with multi-class targets and attacks can be comprehensively assessed. A case study with specific algorithms and scenarios is shown to prove the validity and rationality of this method.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 485-499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mattia Previtali ◽  
Chiara Stanga ◽  
Thomas Molnar ◽  
Lore Van Meerbeek ◽  
Luigi Barazzetti

Author(s):  
Jason Yan ◽  
Shenwei Zhang ◽  
Shahani Kariyawasam ◽  
Dongliang Lu ◽  
Tammie Matchim

Abstract Crack or crack-like anomaly is one of the major threats to the safety and structural integrity of oil and gas transmission pipelines. The crack threat is usually managed by hydrostatic test or regular in-line inspection (ILI). For a given crack ILI pipeline tally, operators need to identify critical anomalies, determine appropriate response time, and whether pressure restriction (derate) is required. Traditionally, a deterministic approach is used to determine the mitigation plan based on characteristic values of pipe properties, conservative crack sizing and crack growth rate, and further considering a minimum required safety factor. This study introduces a reliability-based approach to make the mitigation decision with full details. The annual probability of failure (POF) is evaluated for each reported crack anomaly by Monte Carlo simulation technique considering all the uncertainties associated with pipe geometry, material properties, crack size measurement, and assessment model error explicitly. Both environmental and cyclic fatigue load driven crack growth are considered following API RP 1176. A reliability-based mitigation threshold is proposed and calibrated against the deterministic minimum required safety factor for maintaining the system to a consistent safety level. Two case studies were conducted to demonstrate the advantages of the reliability-based assessment approach in this paper. Case Study #1 considers an NPS 20 transmission gas pipeline with more than 2000 ILI reported crack anomalies. Compared to the deterministic approach using conservative characteristic values, the reliability-based approach can reduce the number of required mitigation activities significantly without compromising safety. Case Study #2 assumes a severe crack defect on an NPS 34 liquid pipeline to demonstrate the impact of fatigue driven crack growth on POF. The POF of crack anomalies can be compared and combined with other threats, e.g. external corrosion, to evaluate the quantitative risk throughout pipeline systems. The proposed framework in this study could be used by operators to improve the crack assessment programs.


2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 433-437
Author(s):  
Terri-ann Goodwin ◽  
Tim J. Lowry ◽  
Carla Meurk ◽  
Darren Neillie

Objective: Delusional disorder (DD) is well recognised, but its treatment is controversial. This article presents a case study that highlights the therapeutic benefits associated with assertive biopsychosocial treatment of DD. Method: The literature on pharmacological and psychological treatments for DD is briefly reviewed, and a case example from the Queensland Fixated Threat Assessment Centre is given to illustrate a comprehensive biopsychosocial treatment framework. Results: Combined pharmacological and psychosocial intervention resulted in stabilisation and improvement in mental state for the case described. Conclusions: There is an emergent evidence base for an assertive biopsychosocial approach to treating DD. The case study demonstrates that a range of therapeutic goals is achievable.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (72) ◽  
pp. 66-79
Author(s):  
Raluca LUȚAI ◽  
Marius GRAD

Abstract: In the last decades the issue of national security has become more transparent and a subject of interest for the common citizen. Much scholarly attention is paid to how people perceive national security and issues related to it. However, we know very little about what young citizens, members of generation Z, believe about this aspect. This paper addresses this gap in the literature and analyzes how young citizens perceive subjects related to national security. It uses Romania as a single-case study and semi-structured interviews conducted in January 2021-March 2021 with young citizens coming from different socio-demographic profiles, to explain the variation in how they understand national security. The paper seeks to test the explanatory power of several variables such as knowledge about contemporary events, media exposure and threat assessment. The paper also controls for several socio-demographic characteristics such as age, gender, education and medium of residence. The findings indicate that citizens’ perceptions are influenced by a combination of general attitudes towards the political system and society, the education factor and specific attitudes about potential threats.Keywords: Generation Z; security perception, Romania, national security.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 121-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah Goodrum ◽  
Andrew J. Thompson ◽  
Kyle C. Ward ◽  
William Woodward

Author(s):  
Troy E. McEwan ◽  
Rajan Darjee

The Problem Behaviour Program (PBP) in Melbourne, Australia, is a specialist service that provides assessment and treatment to people who engage in violence, stalking, harmful sexual behavior, fire-setting, or other problem behaviors, regardless of the presence or absence of clients’ mental illness. The purpose of the PBP is to provide comprehensive and evidence-based assessment of, advice about, and treatment for people presenting with these difficult and sometimes frightening behaviors. Given the nature of the clientele, staff expertise in threat assessment, as well as risk assessment more generally, is a key requirement for working in the PBP. This chapter describes the establishment and function of the clinic and the underlying model of care, governance structure, and staffing profile. A detailed case study of a client referred because of concern about the potential for serious sexual violence is used to show how threat and risk assessment is essential to the functioning of the PBP and how such assessment can inform effective intervention for a range of problematic and harmful behaviors.


2014 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 102-129
Author(s):  
ALBERTO MARTÍN ÁLVAREZ ◽  
EUDALD CORTINA ORERO

AbstractUsing interviews with former militants and previously unpublished documents, this article traces the genesis and internal dynamics of the Ejército Revolucionario del Pueblo (People's Revolutionary Army, ERP) in El Salvador during the early years of its existence (1970–6). This period was marked by the inability of the ERP to maintain internal coherence or any consensus on revolutionary strategy, which led to a series of splits and internal fights over control of the organisation. The evidence marshalled in this case study sheds new light on the origins of the armed Salvadorean Left and thus contributes to a wider understanding of the processes of formation and internal dynamics of armed left-wing groups that emerged from the 1960s onwards in Latin America.


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