scholarly journals REMITTANCE VOLATILITY AND HEALTH SECTOR PERFORMANCE: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 111
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Busuyi Oguntomi ◽  
Sunday Osahon Igbinedion
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Health Sector ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Life Expectancy At Birth ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
Education Status ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

For the past three decades the world has witnessed an unprecedented rise in remittance. This upsurge has necessitated researches in its potential impacts on the various facets of development. In spite of the surging interest on the impact of remittance, there has been paucity of researches on the impact of remittance volatility on health outcomes. This study therefore seeks to investigate the nexus between remittance volatility and life expectancy at birth within the Nigeria context, utilizing the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) for the period 1981 to 2018. Findings suggest that while remittance volatility has statistically significant negative impact on life expectancy in the long-run, it was however positive but insignificant in the short-run. Other factors such as income, education status and public health expenditure were also found to be major determinants of life expectancy in Nigeria. Given that remittances are largely susceptible to external shocks, and are beyond the control of policy makers in the recipient countries, relevant measures should be put in place in the home front to significantly cushion the negative impact of such fluctuations on life expectancy in the long-run.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, External Debt, and Balance of Payment: A Causality Analysis for Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Mahmud Mostafa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
Short Run

The purpose of this study is to analyze the causal relationship of external debt and balance of payment with foreign direct investment (FDI) in Bangladesh for the period of 1980 to 2017 through the application of Johansen Cointegration technique, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and Granger Causality approach. Results of cointegration and VECM indicate a significant long-run relationship between dependent (FDI) and independent variables (external debt and balance of payment). External debt is found to have a significant negative impact on FDI in the long-run, but it is found insignificant in the short-run. In contrast, the balance of payment has a significant positive effect on FDI both in the long-run and short-run. Results of the Granger causality test reveal that there exists bidirectional short-run causality between the balance of payment and FDI; that is, both the balance of payment and FDI affect each other. But no unidirectional or bidirectional short-run causality is found between external debt and FDI. Keywords: FDI, external debt, balance of payment, cointegration, VECM, causality

scholarly journals The Long-Run Effects of Attending an Elite School: Evidence from the United Kingdom

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 150-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damon Clark ◽  
Emilia Del Bono
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
School Attendance ◽  
Labor Market Outcomes ◽  
Market Outcomes ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Elite School ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact ◽  
School Assignment

This paper estimates the impact of elite school attendance on long-run outcomes including completed education, income, and fertility. Our data consist of individuals born in the 1950s and educated in a UK district that assigned students to either elite or non-elite secondary schools. Using instrumental variables methods that exploit the school assignment formula, we find that elite school attendance had large impacts on completed education. Surprisingly, there are no significant effects on most labor market outcomes except for an increase in female income. By contrast, we document a large and significant negative impact on female fertility. (JEL I21, I24, I26, J13, J16, J24, J31)

scholarly journals Effect of Money Supply on Economic Growth: A Comparative Study of Nigeria and Ghana

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

The effect of money supply in enhancing economic growth in Nigeria and Ghana is investigated in this study. The major objectives of the study are to establish the joint and individual influences of money supply mechanisms on economic growth in Nigeria and Ghana. The study employs data from 2009 to 2018 and uses Ordinary Least Squares regression technique for analysis of the data. The findings reveal that broad money supply (M2) has an insignificant negative influence on RGDP in Nigeria, but in Ghana the impact is significant and positive. Broad money supply (M3) exerts insignificant positive influence on RGDP in Nigeria, but significant negative impact on RGDP in Ghana while credit to private sectors (CPS) has insignificant positive influence on RGDP in both Nigeria and Ghana. The study among others suggests that the Monetary Authorities in the two countries should come up with monetary policy strategies that will help drive the economy better and such policies should consider M2 and CPS more as their contributions are necessary for economic expansion that lead to more output and employment.

scholarly journals Modelling the impact of oil price fluctuations on food price in high and low-income oil exporting countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (No. 10) ◽  
pp. 458-468
Author(s):  
Chen Ding ◽  
Umar Muhammad Gummi ◽  
Shan-bing Lu ◽  
Asiya Muazu
Keyword(s):  
Least Squares ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Markets ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Oil exporting economies were the most hit by the recent oil price shock that spills on the food market in an increasingly volatile macroeconomic environment. This paper examines and compares sub-samples [before crisis <br />(2000 Q1–2013 Q1) and during crisis (2013 Q2–2019 Q4)] as to the impact of oil price on food prices in high- and low-income oil-exporting countries. We found an inverse relationship between oil and food prices in the long run based on full samples and sub-samples in high-income countries. The story is different during the crisis period: in low-income countries and all the countries combined, oil and food prices co-move in the long run as measured by the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS). Our findings suggest that economic structure and uncertain events (crises) dictate the behaviour and relationship between food and oil markets. Food and oil prices may drift away in the short-run, but market forces turn them toward equilibrium in the long-run. Moreover, low-income countries are indifferent in both periods due to limited capacity to balance the increasing demand for and supply of food items.

scholarly journals Repercussions of COVID-19 on the Indian stock market

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (S1) ◽  
pp. 1495-1509
Author(s):  
Dhananjay Ashri ◽  
Bibhu Prasad Sahoo ◽  
Ankita Gulati ◽  
Irfan UL Haq
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Daily Returns

The present paper determines the repercussions of the coronavirus on the Indian financial markets by taking the eight sectoral indices into account. By taking the sectoral indices into account, the study deduces the impact of virus outbreak on the various sectoral indices of the Indian stock market. Employing Welch's t-test and Non-parametric Mann-Whitney U test, we empirically analysed the daily returns of eight sectoral indices: Nifty Auto, Nifty FMCG, Nifty IT, Nifty Media, Nifty Metal, Nifty Oil and Gas, Nifty Pharma, and Nifty Bank. The results unveiled that pandemic had a negative impact on the automobile, FMCG, pharmaceuticals, and oil and gas sectors in the short run. In the long run, automobile, oil and gas, metals, and the banking sector have suffered enormously. The results further unveiled that no selected indices underperformed the domestic average, except NIFTY Auto. 

Foreign Direct Investment, Financial Development, and Economic Growth Nexus in Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
pp. 056943452093867
Author(s):  
Md. Noman Siddikee ◽  
Mohammad Mafizur Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This article aims to explore the short- and long-run impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), financial development (FD), capital formation, and the labor forces on the economic growth of Bangladesh. We applied the Granger causality test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for this study. The World Bank data for the period of 1990–2018 are taken into account for the analysis. Our findings suggest, in the long run, capital formation has a positive impact, and in the short run, it has a negative impact on gross domestic product (GDP) implying a lack of higher efficiency is persisting in capital management. Similarly, labor forces have an insignificant impact in the short run and a negative impact in the long run on GDP, which confirms the presence of a huge number of unskilled laborers in the economy with inefficient allocation. The impact of FD is found tiny positive in the short run but large negative in the long run on GDP indicating vulnerability of banking sector. These also confirm fraudulence and inefficient use of the domestic credit supplied to the private sector. The impact of FDI is approximately null both in the short and long run, indicating Bangladesh fails to achieve the long-term benefits of FDI. Finally, this study suggests using FDI more in the capital intensive project of the public–private partnership venture than infrastructural development only and also improving the credit management policy of the banking sector. JEL Classifications: F21, F43, J21

DOES FISCAL DEFICIT CROWD OUT PRIVATE CORPORATE SECTOR INVESTMENT IN INDIA?

2016 ◽  
Vol 64 (05) ◽  
pp. 1201-1224 ◽  
Author(s):  
RANJAN KUMAR MOHANTY
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Corporate Sector ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Financing Pattern ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the impact of fiscal deficit and its financing pattern on private corporate sector investment in India, for the period from 1970–1971 to 2012–2013. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Models, the study finds that fiscal deficit crowds out private investment both in the long run and in the short run. The results also show that internal (domestic) financing of fiscal deficit has significant negative impact on private investment but external (foreign) financing of fiscal deficit has insignificant effect. In the short run, availability of bank credit plays a more important role in investment decision making than the rate of interest in India. The study suggests that government should maintain the fiscal deficit within a sustainable level by reducing its unnecessary non-developmental expenditure, subsidies etc. The government should restructure its financing pattern of fiscal deficit since internal financing has a significant negative impact on private investment.

PUBLIC EXTERNAL DEBT AND ITS IMPACT ON EXCHANGE RATE IN NIGERIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-39
Author(s):  
Aigbedion Marvelous ◽  
◽  
Iyakwari Baba ◽  
Mairana Audu ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Foreign Reserve ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Level Of Significance ◽  
The Impact

The study is an attempt to empirically examine the impact of public external debt on exchange rate in Nigeria. The nature of data for this study is secondary data and the major source of data is the Statistical Bulletin published annually by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) December, 2018.The study used Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) tools of analysis in the investigation of the impact and relationship among the economic variables. The long and short run results confirmed that public external debt has impact on exchange rate in Nigeria. However, based on the probability value at the short run all independent variables were statistically significant in explaining variation in Exchange Rate in Nigeria except Foreign Reserve in Nigeria (FRN) at 5 percent level of significance. While, at the long run the External Debt in Nigeria (EXDTN), Debt Service Payment in Nigeria (DSPN) and Foreign Reserve in Nigeria (FRN) Foreign Reserve in Nigeria (FRN) was statistically significant in explaining the variation in Exchange Rate in Nigeria (EXCHR) at 5 percent level of significance. Therefore, the study recommends that Government should increase the mechanism to check and control the allocation and implementation of public funds in Nigeria to reduce deficit budget and exchange rate in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Impact of Terrorist Attacks on Foreign Exchange Rate: Case Study of Turkish Lira versus Pound Sterling

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mansoor Maitha ◽  
Jehar Mustofa ◽  
Ugur Gok
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Terrorist Attack ◽  
Terrorist Attacks ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Turkish Lira

In this study the impact of terrorist attacks on exchange rate is estimated. Particularly, the study focuses on Turkish terrorist attacks and its implication on Turkish lira versus pound sterling exchange rate. In order, to find the causal effect the study employed Autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) bound testing approach as an estimation technique. Accordingly, the analysis reveals that terrorist attack has a negative impact on the exchange rate in both short and long-run. However, the negative effect of terrorism tends to be small in both the short-run and long-run. More precisely, terrorist attack depreciates the exchange rate between Turkish lira and pound sterling by approximately 0.00072 in the next trading day. The long-term effect also shows that terrorist attack depreciates the exchange rate on average by 0.00212.

scholarly journals Fragility of State in Central African Republic: An Econometric Approach to Efficiency Understanding

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 681-697
Author(s):  
Yapatake Kossele Thales Pacific
Keyword(s):  
Central African Republic ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The State ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Control Of Corruption

A fragile state contributes to the underdevelopment of the nation and its consequences can be very devastating on the state’s cohesion, characterized by a high level of corruption which led the country to an incessant political instability and the continuous presence of foreign troops. 1 This article used the vector autoregresssion (VAR) model covering the period of 2005–2015 to examine the impact of control of corruption on the fragility of the state in the Central African Republic (CAR). The results show that control of corruption is significant and has a negative impact on the fragility of the state in the short run. The impulse response shows a negative impact of control of corruption in the short run but a positive impact in the long run on the fragility of the state. The policy implications of this fragility are that the CAR must pursue better governance as well as in the investment choices. Unless the CAR leaders and citizens recognize their own fragility, things can only get worse.

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