scholarly journals Macroeconomic Indicators and Stock Market Development on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from ASEAN Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 271
Author(s):  
Endah Dewi Purnamasari ◽  
Budi Setiawan ◽  
Muhammad Bahrul Ulum
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
The Impact

ASEAN region takes benefit from a great financial integration; however, this region has been subjected to external economic shock. This study focused on analyzing the impact of macroeconomic indicators and stock market development on economic growth in ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, The Philippines, and Vietnam) for the period from 2008 to 2018. The panel data was employed to determine how market capitalization, turnover ratio, real interest rate, and inflation have impact on economic growth in ASEAN. This study revealed that all stock market development variables have positive impact on economic growth, but the correlation between real interest rate and inflation was negative. As a result, this study recommends that ASEAN authorities should focus on stock market development as well as control macroeconomic variables prudently to boost economic growth

scholarly journals The impact of stock market development on economic growth: A GMM approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 74-81
Author(s):  
Toan Ngoc Bui ◽  
Thu-Trang Thi Doan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
The Impact

This study investigated the impact of stock market development (SMD) on economic growth (EG) among emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) in Asia. The data sample includes eight Asian EMDEs (China, Indonesia, India, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) from 2008 to 2019. These countries share several similarities, so this ensures reliability of the results. Regarding the analysis, the generalized method of moments (GMM) is used for the estimation. The results show that SMD exerts a positive impact on EG. This finding confirms the importance of SMD in improving efficient capital accumulation and allocation, and also allows investors to reduce risks and increase liquidity, which will boost EG. Further, the significant influence of domestic credit (DC), control of corruption (CC), and inflation (INF) on EG is also highlighted. These findings are valuable empirical evidence that greatly contributes to reinforcing the suitability of classical economic growth theories, especially the theory of endogenous growth. They are also essential to EMDEs in Asia. Accordingly, the EMDEs should develop effective policies to improve the stock market’s scale, which contributes substantially to the development of EG. Moreover, these economies need to pursue many appropriate policies in sync, such as stimulating SMD, improving governance effectiveness and implementing effective macroeconomic policies. Acknowledgment This study was funded by the Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City (IUH), Vietnam (grant number: 21/1TCNH01).

scholarly journals The dynamics of bond market development, stock market development and economic growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (49) ◽  
pp. 119-147
Author(s):  
Rudra P. Pradhan ◽  
Mak B. Arvin ◽  
Neville R. Norman ◽  
Sahar Bahmani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development

Purpose The paper investigates whether Granger causal relationships exist between bond market development, stock market development, economic growth and two other macroeconomic variables, namely, inflation rate and real interest rate. The study aims to expand the domain of economic growth by including a more in-depth analysis of the possible impact that bond market and stock market development has on economic growth than is normally found in the literature. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses a panel data set of the G-20 countries for the period 1991-2016. It uses a panel vector auto-regression model to reveal the nature of any Granger causality among the five variables. Findings The paper provides empirical insights that both bond market development and stock market development are cointegrated with economic growth, inflation rate and real interest rate. The most robust result from the panel Granger causality test is that bond market development, stock market development, inflation rate and real interest rate are demonstrable drivers of economic growth in the long run. Research limitations/implications Because of the chosen research approach, the research results may lack theoretical foundations. Therefore, perhaps the more fully grounded interactive findings of this study can inspire theorists to fill the missing gap. Practical implications This paper includes lessons for policymakers in the G-20 countries seeking to stimulate economic growth in the long run and how they need to ensure greater stability of the interest rate and inflation rate as well as fully developing their financial markets, as both bond markets and stock markets are obvious drivers of economic growth. Originality/value This paper fulfills an identified need to study causal relationships between bond market development, stock market development, economic growth and two other macroeconomic variables, i.e. inflation rate and real interest rate.

scholarly journals The Impact of Stock Market Development on Economic Growth: The Case of Botswana

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Ishmael Radikoko ◽  
Shadreck A. Mutobo ◽  
Mphoeng Mphoeng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Strong Positive Correlation ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impacts of the stock market development on economic growth using Botswana as a case study. The study uses times series data covering a decade from 2006 to 2016. The method of analysis used is the Auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds model. The stock market capitalization ratio (MCR) was used as a proxy for market size while value of shares traded ratio (ST) and Turnover ratio (TR) were used as a proxy for liquidity, collectively representing stock market development. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate was used to represent economic growth .The results show that market capitalization and turnover ratio have a negative correlation with economic growth, while the value of shares traded has a strong positive correlation with economic growth. This result implies that liquidity has propensity to stimulate economic growth in Botswana. The results of this study also found that there exists no causality relationship between stock market development and economic growth. The government should make policies that boost the interest of domestic investors in Botswana as this might spur investors’ interest and boost stock market activity which will improve liquidity and therefore stimulate economic growth.

On the linkage between stock market development and economic growth in emerging market economies

2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 363-381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pramod Kumar Naik ◽  
Puja Padhi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this study is to empirically examine the impact of stock market development on the economic growth for a panel of 27 emerging economies using annual data over the period from 1995 to 2012. Design/methodology/approach – A second-generation panel unit root test developed by Pesaran (2007) has been used to test the stationary properties of the data series. To achieve the study objectives and to mitigate the endogeneity problem that exists in the given model, the authors use a dynamic panel “system GMM” estimator. The authors also use a heterogeneous panel causality test proposed by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) to examine the direction of causality among the variables. Findings – The empirical findings indicate that stock market development significantly contributes to economic growth. Further, a unidirectional causality running from stock market development to economic growth has been found. This finding is consistent with the supply-leading hypothesis. Besides stock market development, it is also evident that macroeconomic variables, such as investment ratio, trade openness and exchange rates, have significant impact on economic growth. Research limitations/implications – The findings suggest that a well-functioning stock market, a more globalized economy and increasing aggregate investment can potentially foster the economic growth in those emerging economies. Originality/value – Unlike other studies, this study constructs three alternate composite indices along with the individual indicators of stock market development and applies robust panel econometric techniques to establish more reliable results.

scholarly journals RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT, BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE CEE COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 118-126
Author(s):  
Lidiya Yemelyanova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Stock Market Capitalization

The stock markets of most CEE countries have been actively developing and improving over the past decades but they still do not belong to the developed markets according to MSCI classification, the financial systems of these countries tends towards the bank-oriented type. Does the level of stock market development affect economic growth in CEE countries and do these countries need to develop their stock markets accordingly? The purpose of this article is to identify the direction of the causal link between stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The subject of the research is the relationship between the stock market development, banking sector development and economic growth in the CEE countries. Methodology. The research is based on the annual data for two time periods 1999-2012 and 1999-2015 for the 8 and 5 CEE countries, respectively. The study is based on the Granger causality test and linear regression models. According to results of the research the stock market development plays an important role in attracting foreign direct investment and economic growth in CEE countries in the long-run period. There are revealed the channels of indirect influence of the stock market capitalization on the economic growth. Stock market capitalization has impact on the banking sector and gross capital formation, which in turn have impact on the economic growth of CEE countries. There is the impact of both the stock market and the banking sector development on the economic growth in CEE countries during 1999-2015. However, the impact of the stock market size on the economic growth is positive and the impact of domestic credit to private sector is negative. Practical implications. The study proves the reasonable need for the CEE countries to move towards further development of the stock market, improving the market infrastructure and institutional environment in order to expand the size of the stock market and thereby contribute to the economic growth of this countries. Value/originality. The obtained conclusion about the role of the stock market in economic growth and attraction of FDI is of great importance both for Ukraine and other countries with similar trajectory of economic development in general and similar historical aspects of the origin of stock markets in particular and should be taken into account by state leaders when making decisions on the need to create conditions for development of such element of the country’s financial system as the stock market.

scholarly journals Stock Market Development And Economic Growth: The Case Of Mauritius

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Baboo M Nowbutsing ◽  
M. P. Odit
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Financial Health ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Two Measures ◽  
The Impact

Stock market is an indicator of an economy financial health. It indicates the mood of investors in a country. As such, stock market development is an important ingredient for growth. The stock exchange of Mauritius is fairly new compared to many countries. This paper examines the impact of stock market development on growth in Mauritius. A time series econometric investigation is conducted over the period 1989 -20067. We analyse both the short run and long run relationship by constructing an ECM. Two measures of stock market development namely size and liquidity are used. We define size as the share of market capitalization over GDP and liquidity as volume of share traded over GDP. We found that stock market development positively affect economic growth in Mauritius both in the short run and long run.

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