scholarly journals Multi-Attribute Decision-Making Method Based on Prospect Theory in Heterogeneous Information Environment and Its Application in Typhoon Disaster Assessment

Author(s):  
Ruipu Tan ◽  
Wende Zhang ◽  
Lehua Yang ◽  
Shengqun Chen
2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 3413-3439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruipu Tan ◽  
Wende Zhang

 Trapezoidal fuzzy neutrosophic decision making plays an important role in decision-making processes with uncertain, indeterminate, and inconsistent information. In this paper, we propose a new multi-attribute decision-making method based on decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL), fuzzy distance, and linear assignment method (LAM), and we express evaluation values as the trapezoidal fuzzy neutrosophic numbers (TrFNNs). First, attribute weights are obtained using the DEMATEL method and the new fuzzy distance of TrFNNs based on graded mean integration representation is defined. Then, alternatives are ranked using the LAM in operations research. In addition, we make two comparative analyses in the end to illustrate the feasibility and rationality of our method. Finally, an illustrative example about typhoon disaster assessment is presented to show the advantages of the proposed method.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruipu Tan ◽  
Lehua Yang ◽  
Shengqun Chen ◽  
Wende Zhang

PurposeThe Chinese believe that “man will conquer the sky” and “fighting with the sky brings endless joy”. Considering that disaster assessment can be regarded as a two-person, zero-sum game problem between nature and human beings, this paper proposes a multi-attribute decision-making method based on game theory and grey theory in a single-value neutrosophic set environment. Due to the complexity and uncertainty of the decision-making environment, the method builds a decision matrix based on single-valued neutrosophic numbers.Design/methodology/approachFirst, the authors use the single-value neutrosophic information entropy to calculate the attribute weights and the weighted decision matrix. Second, the optimal mixed strategy method based on linear programming solves the optimal mixed strategy for both sides of the game so that the expected payoff matrix can be obtained. Finally, grey correlation analysis is used to obtain the closeness coefficient of each alternative based on the expectation payoff matrix to identify the ranking result of the alternative.FindingsAn example is used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, and its rationality is verified through a comprehensive comparison and analysis of the various aspects.Practical implicationsThe proposed decision-making method can be applied to typhoon disaster assessment. Such assessment results can provide intelligent decision support to the relevant disaster management departments, thereby reducing the negative impact of typhoon disasters on society, stabilizing society and improving people's happiness. Further, the method can be used for decision-making, recommendation and evaluation in other fields.Originality/valueThe proposed method uses single-value neutrosophic numbers to solve the information representation problem of decision-making in a complex environment. Under a new perspective, game theory is used to handle the decision matrix, while grey relational analysis converts inexact numbers to exact numbers for comparison and sorting. Thus, the proposed method can be used to make reasonable decisions while preserving information to the extent possible.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 264
Author(s):  
Sha Fu ◽  
Xi-Long Qu ◽  
Ye-Zhi Xiao ◽  
Hang-Jun Zhou ◽  
Guo-Bing Fan

Focusing on risky decision-making problems taking the interval number of normal distribution as the information environment, this paper proposes a decision-making method based on the interval number of normal distribution. Firstly, the normalized matrix based on the decision maker’s attitude is obtained through analysis and calculation. Secondly, according to the existing properties of standard normal distribution, the risk preference factors of the decision makers are considered to confirm the possibility degree of each scheme. The possibility degree is then used for establishing a possibility degree matrix and, consequently, sequencing of all schemes is conducted according to existing theories of possibility degree meaning and the value size of possibility degree. Finally, the feasibility and validity of this method is verified through calculation example analysis.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 424-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ye Li ◽  
Dongxing Zhang

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to propose a dynamic multi-attribute decision-making method based on the prospect theory for dealing with the dynamic multi-attribute decision-making problem with three-parameter interval grey number. Design/methodology/approach First, the kernel and comparison rule of three-parameter interval grey numbers are defined, which are the basis of collecting and sorting grey numbers. Next, the prospect value function is determined in view of the decision-making information with different time points as the reference points. Then, an optimal model for solving the attribute weight and time weight is constructed based on the grey entropy principle. Findings The paper provides a dynamic grey interrelation decision method based on the prospect theory with three-parameter interval grey number, and the example analysis shows that the method proposed in this paper has validity and rationality. Research limitations/implications If we have a better understanding of the weights of different reference points, it is possible to receive a more reasonable expression for the comprehensive prospect utility value function. Practical implications The paper provides a grey interrelation decision method based on the prospect theory, which can help the decision maker deal with the dynamic multi-attribute decision-making problems under the uncertain environment. Originality/value The paper proposes the kernel and ranking method of three-parameter interval grey number, and uses different time points as the reference points to define the prospect value function. Furthermore, this paper structures a dynamic grey interrelation decision method with three-parameter interval grey number based on the prospect theory.


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