Possible Correlation between COVID-19 Contagion and Y-DNA Haplogroup R1b
In this work, the linear correlation between the initial growth rate of COVID-19 contagion and the average Y-DNA haplogroup percentages in different countries is computed. In the case of haplogroup R1b, a positive correlation with high confidence level is found. Utilizing the maximum R1b percentages in place of the average ones, a more significant result is obtained. Considering an extended R1b data set, correlations with even higher confidence level are found (p-values 3.94E-7 and 2.40E-9, respectively). Repeating the same procedure for the initial growth rate of deaths, similar results are obtained (p-values 9.17E-11 and 2.18E-12, respectively). Furthermore, the correlation of haplogroup R1b with cases and deaths per capita is calculated over a five-month period, obtaining comparable results (e.g. p-value 2.45E-17 on April 10th). The difference between the correlation with maximum R1b percentages and the correlation with average ones is decreasing over time. Finally, assuming the possible involvement of R1b carriers, three scenarios are outlined according to their passive or active role in the spread of the virus.