Cloud-edge collaboration based transferring prediction of building energy consumption

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Jinping Zhang ◽  
Xiaoping Deng ◽  
Chengdong Li ◽  
Guanqun Su ◽  
Yulong Yu

Building energy consumption (BEC) prediction often requires constructing a corresponding model for each building based historical data. However, the constructed model for one building is difficult to be reused in other buildings. Recent approaches have shown that cloud-edge collaboration architecture is promising in realizing model reuse. How to complete the reuse of cloud energy consumption prediction models at the edge and reduce the computational cost of the model training is one of the key issues that need to be solved. To handle the above problems, a cloud-edge collaboration based transferring prediction method for BEC is proposed in this paper. Specifically, a model library stored prediction models for different types of buildings is constructed based the historical energy consumption data and the long short-term memory (LSTM) network in the cloud firstly; then, the similarity measurement strategies of time series with different granularity are given, and the model to be transferred from the model library is matched by analyzing the similarity between observation data uploaded to the cloud and the historical data collected in the cloud; finally, the fine-tuning strategy of the matching prediction model is given, and this model is fine-tuned at the edge to achieve its reuse in concrete application scenarios. Experiments on practical datasets reveal that compared with the prediction model which doesn’t utilize the transfer strategy, the proposed prediction model has better performance according to MAE and RMSE. Experimental results also confirm that the proposed method effectively reduces the computational cost of the network training at the edge.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Bingqian Fan ◽  
Xuanxuan Xing

Building energy consumption prediction plays an important role in realizing building energy conservation control. Limited by some external factors such as temperature, there are some problems in practical applications, such as complex operation and low prediction accuracy. Aiming at the problem of low prediction accuracy caused by poor timing of existing building energy consumption prediction methods, a building energy consumption prediction and analysis method based on the deep learning network is proposed in this paper. Before establishing the energy consumption prediction model, the building energy consumption data source is preprocessed and analyzed. Then, based on the Keras deep learning framework, an improved long short-term memory (ILSTM) prediction model is built to support the accurate analysis of the whole cycle of the prediction network. At the same time, the adaptive moment (Adam) estimation algorithm is used to update and optimize the weight parameters of the model to realize the adaptive and rapid update and matching of network parameters. The simulation experiment is based on the actual dataset collected by a university in Southwest China. The experimental results show that the evaluation indexes MAE and RMSE of the proposed method are 0.015 and 0.109, respectively, which are better than the comparison method. The simulation experiment proves that the proposed method is feasible.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Yan Zhang ◽  
Huiping Wang ◽  
Yi Wang

Based on the existing grey prediction model, this paper proposes a new grey prediction model (the fractional discrete grey model, FDGM (1, 1, t α )), introduces the modeling mechanism and characteristics of the FDGM (1, 1, t α ), and uses three groups of data to verify its effectiveness compared with that of other grey models. This paper forecasts the building energy consumption in China over the next five years based on the idea of metabolism. The results show that the FDGM (1, 1, t α ) can be transformed into other grey models through parameter setting changes, so the new model has strong adaptability. The FDGM (1, 1, t α ) is more reliable and effective than the other six compared grey models. From 2018 to 2022, the total energy consumption levels of civil buildings, urban civil buildings, and civil buildings specifically in Beijing will exhibit steady upward trends, with an average annual growth rate of 2.61%, 1.92%, and 0.78%, respectively.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Soo Lim ◽  
Gon Kim

Building automation systems is becoming more vital, especially in regard to reduced building energy consumption. However, the accuracy of such systems in calculating building thermal loads is limited as they are unable to predict future thermal loads based on prevailing environmental factors. The current paper therefore seeks to improve the understanding of the interactions between outdoor meteorological data and building energy consumption through a statistical analysis. Using weather data collected by the Korean Meteorological Agency (KMA) over a period of three years (2011–2014), prediction models that are able to predict heating thermal loads considering the time-lag phenomenon are developed. In addition, the study develops different prediction models for buildings of different sizes. The results confirm the existence of the time-lag phenomenon: the heating load experienced by a building at a given time is better explained by a regression model developed using the climatic conditions that existed two hours before. As such, conventional building simulation programs must endeavor to include time-lag as well as Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) data as important factors in the prediction of building heating loads.


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