scholarly journals Large-scale forest landscape model, design, validation, and application in management of oak decline

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Wenjuan Wang
Keyword(s):  
Forest Inventory ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Basal Area ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Forest Landscape ◽  
Oak Decline ◽  
Model Predictions ◽  
Forest Landscape Model ◽  
Landis Pro

Forest landscape models (FLMs) have increasingly become important tools for exploring forest landscape changes by predicting forest vegetation dynamics over large spatial scales. However, two challenges confronting FLMs have persisted: how to simulate fine, site-scale processes while making large-scale (landscape and regional) simulation feasible, and how to fully take advantage of extensive U.S. Forest Service Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data to initialize and constraint model parameters. In this dissertation, first, a new FLM, LANDIS PRO was developed. In LANDIS PRO, forest succession and dynamics are simulated by incorporating species-, stand-, and landscape-scale processes by tracking number of trees by species age cohort. Because stand-scale resource competition is achieved by implementing rather than simulating the emergent properties of stand development, LANDIS PRO is computationally efficient, which makes large-scale simulation feasible. Since model parameters and simulation results are comparatively straightforward to forest inventory data, current intensive forest inventory data can be directly applied for model initialization and to constrain model parameters. Validation of FLMs is essential to ensure users’ confidence in model predictions and achieve reliable management decision making. To date, validation of FLMs has been limited due to lack of suitable data. However, recent advances in FLMs, together with increasingly available spatiotemporal data make FLM validation feasible. In this dissertation, second, I proposed a framework for validating forest landscape projections from LANDIS PRO using Forest Inventory Analysis (FIA) data. The proposed framework incorporated data assimilation techniques to constrain model parameters and the initial state of the landscape by verifying the initialized landscape and iteratively calibrating the model parameters. The model predictions were rigorously validated against independent FIA data at multiple scales, and the long-term natural successional pattern was also verified against empirical studies. Results showed model predictions were able to capture much of the variation overtime in species basal area and tree density at stand-, landtype- , and landscape-scales. Subsequent long-term predictions of natural succession patterns were consistent with expected changes in tree species density of oak-dominated forests in the absence of disturbance. Lastly, I used LANDIS PRO, a forest landscape model that includes stand-scale species density and basal area to evaluate the potential landscape-scale effects of alternative harvest methods (thinning, clearcutting and group selection) on oak decline mitigation. Projections indicated that forest harvesting can be effective in mitigating oak decline. Group selection and clearcutting were the most effective methods in the management of oak decline in the short-term (20 years) and mid-term (50 years), respectively. However, in the long-run (100 years), there was no significant difference predicted among the three methods.

scholarly journals A large-scale forest landscape model incorporating multi-scale processes and utilizing forest inventory data

Ecosphere ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 4 (9) ◽  
pp. art106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen J. Wang ◽  
Hong S. He ◽  
Martin A. Spetich ◽  
Stephen R. Shifley ◽  
Frank R. Thompson III ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Forest Inventory ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Forest Landscape ◽  
Landscape Model ◽  
Inventory Data ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Forest Inventory Data ◽  
Forest Landscape Model

scholarly journals The Magnetized Disk-Halo Transition Region of M51

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (A30) ◽  
pp. 319-322 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Kierdorf ◽  
S. A. Mao ◽  
A. Fletcher ◽  
R. Beck ◽  
M. Haverkorn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Transition Region ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Very Large Array ◽  
X Band ◽  
Model Predictions ◽  
The Galaxy ◽  
Linearly Polarized ◽  
Grand Design ◽  
Different Depths

AbstractAn excellent laboratory for studying large scale magnetic fields is the grand design face-on spiral galaxy M51. Due to wavelength-dependent Faraday depolarization, linearly polarized synchrotron emission at different radio frequencies gives a picture of the galaxy at different depths: Observations at L-band (1 – 2 GHz) probe the halo region while at C- and X-band (4 – 8 GHz) the linearly polarized emission probe the disk region of M51. We present new observations of M51 using the Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array (VLA) at S-band (2 – 4 GHz), where previously no polarization observations existed, to shed new light on the transition region between the disk and the halo. We discuss a model of the depolarization of synchrotron radiation in a multilayer magneto-ionic medium and compare the model predictions to the multi-frequency polarization data of M51 between 1 – 8 GHz. The new S-band data are essential to distinguish between different models. Our study shows that the initial model parameters, i.e. the total regular and turbulent magnetic field strengths in the disk and halo of M51, need to be adjusted to successfully fit the models to the data.

scholarly journals Developing Species-Age Cohorts from Forest Inventory and Analysis Data to Parameterize a Forest Landscape Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Richard H. Odom ◽  
W. Mark Ford
Keyword(s):  
Tree Species ◽  
Forest Inventory ◽  
Sugar Maple ◽  
Stand Age ◽  
Forest Landscape ◽  
Landscape Model ◽  
Forest Stands ◽  
Forest Inventory And Analysis ◽  
Fort Drum ◽  
Forest Landscape Model

Simulating long-term, landscape level changes in forest composition requires estimates of stand age to initialize succession models. Detailed stand ages are rarely available, and even general information on stand history often is lacking. We used data from USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) database to estimate broad age classes for a forested landscape to simulate changes in landscape composition and structure relative to climate change at Fort Drum, a 43,000 ha U.S. Army installation in northwestern New York. Using simple linear regression, we developed relationships between tree diameter and age for FIA site trees from the host and adjacent ecoregions and applied those relationships to forest stands at Fort Drum. We observed that approximately half of the variation in age was explained by diameter breast height (DBH) across all species studied (r2 = 0.42 for sugar maple Acer saccharum to 0.63 for white ash Fraxinus americana). We then used age-diameter relationships from published research on northern hardwood species to calibrate results from the FIA-based analysis. With predicted stand age, we used tree species life histories and environmental conditions represented by ecological site types to parameterize a stochastic forest landscape model (LANDIS-II) to spatially and temporally model successional changes in forest communities at Fort Drum. Forest stands modeled over 100 years without significant disturbance appeared to reflect expected patterns of increasing dominance by shade-tolerant mesophytic tree species such as sugar maple, red maple (Acer rubrum), and eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis) where soil moisture was sufficient. On drier sandy soils, eastern white pine (Pinus strobus), red pine (P. resinosa), northern red oak (Quercus rubra), and white oak (Q. alba) continued to be important components throughout the modeling period with no net loss at the landscape scale. Our results suggest that despite abundant precipitation and relatively low evapotranspiration rates for the region, low soil water holding capacity and fertility may be limiting factors for the spread of mesophytic species on excessively drained soils in the region. Increasing atmospheric temperatures projected for the region could alter moisture regimes for many coarse-textured soils providing a possible mechanism for expansion of xerophytic tree species.

Windthrow following four harvest treatments in an Engelmann spruce - subalpine fir forest in southern interior British Columbia, Canada

1999 ◽  
Vol 29 (10) ◽  
pp. 1547-1556 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J Huggard ◽  
Walt Klenner ◽  
Alan Vyse
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Basal Area ◽  
Random Trees ◽  
Abies Lasiocarpa ◽  
Ecological Processes ◽  
Individual Tree ◽  
Subalpine Fir ◽  
Engelmann Spruce ◽  
Lower Height

We used transect surveys at a large-scale experimental site at Sicamous Creek, B.C., to measure the effects of five treatments on windthrow: 10-ha clearcuts, arrays of 1-ha patch cuts, arrays of 0.1-ha patch cuts, individual-tree selection cuts, and uncut controls. We also examined edge effects and conditions predisposing trees to windthrow. Windthrow of subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt.) in the 2.7 years following harvesting increased from 0.6% of basal area per year in uncut forest to 0.8-1.8% per year in harvested treatments, with highest rates in individual tree selection units and lowest rates in 0.1-ha patch-cut arrays. Engelmann spruce (Picea engelmannii Parry ex Engelm.) showed similar patterns of windthrow but lower rates (0.2-0.7% of basal area per year in harvested treatments). Windthrow was concentrated near north and east edges of 1-ha and 10-ha openings but was dispersed throughout the more uniform treatments. Windthrown trees did not differ from random trees in diameter but had lower height/diameter ratios, probably reflecting the greater windthrow observed in subxeric sites on complex, elevated topography. The rates and distribution of windthrow in different harvest treatments have implications for ecological processes, salvage, long-term windthrow potential, and mitigation possibilities.

scholarly journals Thermal–hydraulic–mechanical (THM) behaviour of a large-scale in situ heating experiment during cooling and dismantling

2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (10) ◽  
pp. 1169-1195 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Sánchez ◽  
A. Gens ◽  
L. Guimarães
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Element Formulation ◽  
Model Predictions ◽  
Engineered Barriers ◽  
Heating Test ◽  
High Level ◽  
Fully Coupled ◽  
Clay Barrier

A geological disposal facility for high-level radioactive waste (HLW) encompasses both natural (host rock) and (generally clay-based) engineered barriers. Many processes can influence, either positively or negatively, the effectiveness of the safety functions of isolation and retardation. This paper focuses on the analysis of a large-scale heating test when subjected to cooling and subsequent partial dismantling. The experiment reproduces the conditions of an HLW repository at full scale under realistic conditions. Key thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical (THM) variables, such as temperature, relative humidity, stresses, and fluid pressures, were measured in the clay barrier and surrounding rock. The experimental observations recorded during the cooling down and clay barrier excavation are analyzed in light of a fully coupled THM finite element formulation. This analysis has provided the opportunity to explore the behaviour of the clay and natural barriers under conditions very relevant for the repository performance but not analyzed previously. Overall, the model predictions are quite satisfactory when compared against experimental observations. Furthermore, model predictions for a period of 20 years, including the transient phase induced by the partial dismantling, are also presented. This additional analysis has allowed a better understanding of the effect of thermal gradient on long-term clay hydration.

scholarly journals Prediction of Long-Term Health Risk from Radiocesium Deposited on Ground with Consideration of Land-Surface Properties

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4424
Author(s):  
Hiroshi Yasuda
Keyword(s):  
Effective Dose ◽  
Dose Rate ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Specific Information ◽  
Radiation Dose Rate ◽  
Terrestrial Environment ◽  
Chronic Radiation

After the Fukushima Daiichi accident, there have been long controversial discussions on “how safe is safe?” between the authorities and the residents in the affected area. This controversy was partly attributable to the way the authorities made a judgement based on the annual effective dose rate; meanwhile, many of the local residents have serious concerns about future consequences for their health caused by chronic radiation exposure, particularly of small children. To settle this controversy, the author presents an approach based on long-term cancer risk projections of female infants, i.e., the most radiosensitive group, following land contamination by radiocesium deposition into ground with different surface conditions; the land was classified into three categories on the basis of decaying patterns of radiation dose rate: “Fast”, “Middle”, and “Slow”. From the results of analyses with an initial dose rate of 20 mGy per year, it was predicted that the integrated lifetime attributable risk (LAR) of cancer mortality of a female person ranged by a factor of 2 from 1.8% (for the Fast area) to 3.6% (for the Slow area) that were clearly higher than the nominal risk values derived from effective dose estimates with median values of environmental model parameters. These findings suggest that accurate site-specific information on the behavioral characteristics of radionuclides in the terrestrial environment are critically important for adequate decision making for protecting people when there is an event accompanied by large-scale radioactive contamination.

scholarly journals LONG-TERM RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OAK DECLINE AND SHRUB GROWTH DYNAMICS IN AN HUNGARIAN OAK FOREST, 1972-2017

AGROFOR ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamás MISIK ◽  
Imre KÁRÁSZ
Keyword(s):  
Growth Dynamics ◽  
Basal Area ◽  
Tree Density ◽  
Oak Forest ◽  
Oak Decline ◽  
Shrub Layer ◽  
Cornus Mas ◽  
Oak Trees ◽  
Oak Tree

Long-term structural dynamics of shrub layer of temperate oak forest communities were not extensively reported in published studies. The serious oak decline was first reported in 1979-80 and nowadays 63.0% of canopy oak trees died in a forest stand. The data were used to obtain (1) quantitative information on shrub layer growth, including height (H) and shoot diameter (DSH) condition and basal area (BA) values; (2) structural information on foliage cover rate of the shrub layer, mean cover of some shrub species; (3) comprehensive description from the ecological processes in the shrub layer in the last 45 years and our objective was (4) to analyze the possible effects of oak decline on the shrub growth dynamics. The following measurements were carried out in the 48 × 48 m plot: shoot height, shoot diameter, basal area and foliage cover of each individuals in the high shrub layer. Correlation analysis confirmed that significant positive relations were between mean H, mean DSH of the dominant woody species (Acer campestre, Acer tataricum and Cornus mas) and oak tree density between 1972 and 2017. The decreasing oak tree density did not show detectable impact to the co-dominant shrubs growth. There was a low significant association between number of oak trees and basal area of high shrub layer. Finally, there was a statistically significant interaction between mean cover of A. campestre and C. mas and oak trees. The findings of the study indicate that forest responded to oak decline with significant structural rearrangement in the shrub layer.

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