scholarly journals A Four Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation Framework for Wind Energy Potential Estimation

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elias D. Nino-Ruiz ◽  
Juan C. Calabria-Sarmiento ◽  
Luis G. Guzman-Reyes ◽  
Alvin Henao

In this paper, we propose a Four-Dimensional Variational (4D-Var) data assimilation framework for wind energy potential estimation. The framework is defined as follows: we choose a numerical model which can provide forecasts of wind speeds then, an ensemble of model realizations is employed to build control spaces at observation steps via a modified Cholesky decomposition. These control spaces are utilized to estimate initial analysis increments and to avoid the intrinsic use of adjoint models in the 4D-Var context. The initial analysis increments are mapped back onto the model domain from which we obtain an estimate of the initial analysis ensemble. This ensemble is propagated in time to approximate the optimal analysis trajectory. Wind components are post-processed to get wind speeds and to estimate wind energy capacities. A matrix-free analysis step is derived from avoiding the direct inversion of covariance matrices during assimilation cycles. Numerical simulations are employed to illustrate how our proposed framework can be employed in operational scenarios. A catalogue of twelve Wind Turbine Generators (WTGs) is utilized during the experiments. The results reveal that our proposed framework can properly estimate wind energy potential capacities for all wind turbines within reasonable accuracies (in terms of Root-Mean-Square-Error) and even more, these estimations are better than those of traditional 4D-Var ensemble-based methods. Moreover, large variability (variance of standard deviations) of errors are evidenced in forecasts of wind turbines with the largest rate-capacity while homogeneous variability can be seen in wind turbines with the lowest rate-capacity.

Author(s):  
Ighball Baniasad Askari ◽  
Lina Baniasad Askari ◽  
Mohammad Mehdi Kaykhah

Wind data collected of the three synoptic sites for the period of Jul 2006 to Jun 2008 at the height of 40 m has been used to study the wind characteristics, monthly and annual wind energy potential for three agricultural districts in Kerman ( 30°15/N, 56°58/E ), Iran. Two statistical methods (Meteorological and Weibull) have been applied to determine the wind characteristics. Wind energy density, mean wind speeds and wind speed directions have been investigated. A technical assessment has been done and the electricity generation from five different wind turbines having capacity of (26 kW, 100 kW, 300 kW, 600 kW and 660 kW) has been calculated. The results show that all the locations studied are not suitable for electric wind application in a large-scale.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2110438
Author(s):  
Carlos Méndez ◽  
Yusuf Bicer

The present study analyzes the wind energy potential of Qatar, by generating a wind atlas and a Wind Power Density map for the entire country based on ERA-5 data with over 41 years of measurements. Moreover, the wind speeds’ frequency and direction are analyzed using wind recurrence, Weibull, and wind rose plots. Furthermore, the best location to install a wind farm is selected. The results indicate that, at 100 m height, the mean wind speed fluctuates between 5.6054 and 6.5257 m/s. Similarly, the Wind Power Density results reflect values between 149.46 and 335.06 W/m2. Furthermore, a wind farm located in the selected location can generate about 59.7437, 90.4414, and 113.5075 GWh/y electricity by employing Gamesa G97/2000, GE Energy 2.75-120, and Senvion 3.4M140 wind turbines, respectively. Also, these wind farms can save approximately 22,110.80, 17,617.63, and 11,637.84 tons of CO2 emissions annually.


Author(s):  
O. O. Ajayi ◽  
R. O. Fagbenle ◽  
J. Katende

In this chapter, the authors present the result of a study carried out to develop a pre-assessment model that can be used to carry out a preliminary study on the availability of wind energy resources of a site. 21 years’ (1987 – 2007) monthly average wind speeds for 18 locations in Nigeria were used to create the simple constitutive model. The locations span across the six geopolitical zones of the nation with three stations from each zone. Various statistical procedures were employed in the development of the model. The outcome gave an empirical model, which if employed, will lead to determining the modest range of wind energy potential of a site. Further, the results from this model were compared with those from the well-established two-parameter Weibull statistical distribution function and found to be reasonably adequate. Thus with this model, decision on site selection for complete assessment can be made without much rigour.


2017 ◽  
Vol 208 ◽  
pp. 1232-1245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Ulazia ◽  
Jon Sáenz ◽  
Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegui ◽  
Santos J. González-Rojí ◽  
Sheila Carreno-Madinabeitia

This article analyzes the climatic features of the Bukhara region – the southern-eastern part of Uzbekistan. The wind and solar potential of the region and the prospects of its utilization were evaluated. In recent years, wind and solar energy has been analyzed worldwide. The potential for the use of solar radiation in the region was analyzed. Accordingly, when the solar photovoltaic batteries in the region are used (coefficient of efficiency-18%), the technical potential of the region is 41 TWh/year. Wind speeds and wind energy potential data were collected over eight years (2011-2018) and were calculated using the monthly wind speed data measured every 30 minutes at a height of 10m. During the estimation of wind energy potential we were used two parameters Weibull and Rayleigh distribution functions. The density power and energy values of the wind flow at various heights were evaluated using the extrapolation method. In accordance with that, on height of 10m it makes 41.19 W/m2 and 361.48 kWh/m2, on height of 50m 117.23 W/m2 1026.96 kWh/m2, and on height of 100m 192.76 W/m2, 1688.59 kWh/m2. The wind energy gross, technical and economic potential of the region has been evaluated. In addition, the potential and prospects of using hybrid (wind and solar) power stations for the supply of uninterrupted and reliable power supply to consumers in the region were analyzed


2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 418-425

<p>Today&#39;s world requires a change in how the use of different types of energy. With declining reserves of fossil fuels for renewable energies is of course the best alternative. Among the renewable energy from the wind can be considered one of the best forms of energy can be introduced. Accordingly, most countries are trying to identify areas with potential to benefit from this resource.</p> <p>The aim of this study was to assess the potential wind power in Sahand station of Iran country. Hourly measured long term wind speed data of Sahand during the period of 2000-2013 have been statistically analyzed. In this study the wind speed frequency distribution of location was found by using Weibull distribution function. The wind energy potential of the location has been studied based on the Weibull mode. The results of this study show that mean wind speed measured at 10 m above ground level is determined as 5.16 m/s for the studied period. This speed increases by, respectively, 34.78 % and 41.21 %, when it is extrapolated to 40 and 60 m hub height.</p> <div> <p>Long term seasonal wind speeds were found to be relatively higher during the period from January to September. At the other hand, higher wind speeds were observed between the period between 06:00 and 18:00 in the day. These periods feet well with annual and daily periods of maximum demand of electricity, respectively.&nbsp;</p> </div> <p>&nbsp;</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 192 ◽  
pp. 03058
Author(s):  
Chamlong Prabkeao ◽  
Akapot Tantrapiwat

A study on wind powered water pumping system aimed for agriculture was carried out in the middle part of Thailand. In this alluvial plain, wind energy potential was determined by making a survey on 21 observation sites. The survey was made in a period of one year, and it has shown that this region locates in a clam climate zone with average wind speeds at about 2 m/s. A wind turbine-water pumping system was installed and evaluated for its performance and efficiency. The result has shown a linear relationship between water discharge capability and the wind speeds. Due to the type of turbine and low wind speed in this region, the system efficiency turned out to be minimal, yet it was practical because the wind power was free. A simple cost analysis from the survey data also has shown that using a wind turbine in this region will be worthwhile when it can be operated for about two decades.


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