scholarly journals Using Hepatocellular Carcinoma Tumor Burden Score to Stratify Prognosis after Liver Transplantation

Cancers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 3372
Author(s):  
Dimitrios Moris ◽  
Brian I. Shaw ◽  
Lisa McElroy ◽  
Andrew S. Barbas

Liver transplantation (LT) remains a mainstay of treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Tumor factors such as size and number of tumors define eligibility for LT using the Milan criteria. The tumor burden score (TBS) incorporates both tumor number and size into a single continuous variable and has been used to differentiate prognosis among patients undergoing resection for HCC. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the ability of the TBS to predict overall and recurrence-free survival in patients undergoing LT for HCC. The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) was used to analyze all liver transplants for HCC, with initial tumor size data from 2004 to 2018. There were 12,486 patients in the study period. In the unadjusted analyses, patients with a high TBS had worse overall (p < 0.0001) and recurrence-free (p < 0.0001) survival. In the adjusted analyses, a high TBS was associated with a greater hazard ratio (HR) of death (HR = 1.21; 95%CI, [1.13–1.30]; p < 0.001) and recurrence (HR = 1.49; 95%CI [1.3–1.7]; p < 0.001). When we superimposed the TBS on the Milan criteria, we saw that a higher TBS was associated with a higher hazard of recurrence at values that were either all within (HR = 1.20; 95%CI, [1.04–1.37]; p = 0.011) or variably within (HR = 1.53; 95%CI, [1.16–2.01]; p = 0.002) the Milan criteria. In conclusion, the TBS is a promising tool in predicting outcomes in patients with HCC after LT.

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-206
Author(s):  
Modan Yang ◽  
Winyen Tan ◽  
Xinyu Yang ◽  
Jianyong Zhuo ◽  
Zuyuan Lin ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND: Precise recipient selection optimizes the prognosis of liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the most commonly used biomarker for diagnosis and prognosis of HCC in the clinical context. As a crucial molecule in methionine cycle, homocysteine (Hcy) level has been proved to be related to HCC progression and metastasis. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to explore the prognostic capacity of pre-transplant serum Hcy level in LT for HCC. METHODS: This study retrospectively enrolled 161 HCC patients who had underwent LT from donation after cardiac death (DCD) in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University from 2015.01.01 to 2018.09.01. Pre-transplant serum Hcy level was incorporated into statistical analysis together with other clinical parameters and pathological features. RESULTS: From an overall perspective, significant difference was observed in Hcy level between recurrence (n= 61) and non-recurrence group (n= 100) though subsequent analysis showed unsatisfactory predicting performance. In the whole cohort, multivariate analysis showed that lnAFP (p= 0.010) and Milan criteria (MC, p< 0.001) were independent risk factors of HCC recurrence after LT. MA score based on MC and lnAFP performed well in predicting post-LT tumor recurrence with the AUROC at 0.836 (p< 0.001) and 3-year recurrence-free survival rate at 96.8% (p< 0.001) in the low risk group (n= 69). According to the clinical practice, serum concentration lower than 20 μg/L is considered as normal range of AFP. Elevated pre-transplant serum AFP (> 20 μg/L) predicts high HCC recurrence after LT. We further divided the 161 recipients into AFP- group (n= 77, AFP ⩽ 20 μg/L) and AFP+ group (n= 84, AFP > 20 μg/L). MA score was still well presented in the AFP+ group and the AUROC for tumor recurrence was 0.823 (p< 0.001), whereas the predicting accuracy was reduced in AFP- group (AUROC: 0.754, P< 0.001). After subsequent analysis, we found that elevated pre-transplant Hcy level (> 12.75 μmol/L) predicted increased tumor recurrence risk in AFP- group. The 3-year recurrence-free survival rates were 92.0% and 53.7% (p< 0.001) in low Hcy subgroup (n= 40) and high Hcy subgroup (n= 37) respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that Hcy (p= 0.040) and Milan criteria (p= 0.003) were independent risk factors for post-transplant tumor recurrence in AFP- group. Further combination of Hcy level and Milan criteria identified a subgroup of AFP- recipients with acceptable outcomes even though beyond Milan criteria (3-year recurrence-free survival rate: 77.7%, p< 0.001). CONCLUSION: As a classic predictor in HCC prognosis, AFP performed well in our study cohort when combined with Milan criteria. Homocysteine was an effective prognostic biomarker in LT for AFP- hepatocellular carcinoma. In recipients exceeding Milan criteria, acceptable post-transplant outcome could be seen in those with low Hcy and AFP level.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 170-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. R. Limaye ◽  
R. Cabrera

170 Background: The Milan criteria are utilized to predict outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who undergo liver transplantation (LT). Though the survival of these patients has significantly improved since the adoption of these criteria, the risk of recurrence after LT is as high as 20 percent. One limitation of the Milan criteria is the lack of any estimation of tumor biology. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a peripheral surrogate for tumor biology. The predictive power of the NLR has been demonstrated for several solid tumors, and early evidence points to a role in HCC. We hypothesize that the NLR is predictive of overall survival and recurrence-free survival in patients with HCC who undergo LT. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis of adult patients undergoing LT for HCC between 2000 and 2008 at our institution. We defined an elevated NLR as a ratio of five or greater. Results: We identified 160 patients who underwent LT for HCC, 28 of whom had an elevated NLR. Seventeen subjects experienced recurrent HCC during the study period. The cumulative survival for subjects with an elevated NLR (1-year cumulative survival 70% ± 0.08, 3-year cumulative survival 48% ± 0.09, 5-year cumulative survival 38% ± 0.11) was significantly lower than for subjects with a normal NLR (1-year survival 80% ± 0.04, 3-year survival 75% ± 0.04, 5-year survival 68% ± 0.06). On univariate analysis, seven factors (including an elevated NLR) predicted decreased overall and recurrence-free survival. However, after multivariate analysis, only three factors (including elevated NLR) remained significant as predictors of overall survival. Additionally, multivariate analysis revealed that an elevated NLR was the only significant independent predictor of recurrence-free survival. Conclusions: Preoperative NLR is a powerful independent predictor of overall survival and recurrence-free survival in patients undergoing LT for HCC. Measurement of NLR could serve as a useful and easily obtained adjunct to the MELD score and Milan criteria when evaluating this patient population and determining which patients will gain the most survival benefit from transplant. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (17) ◽  
pp. 3932
Author(s):  
Pierluigi Toniutto ◽  
Elisa Fumolo ◽  
Ezio Fornasiere ◽  
Davide Bitetto

The Milan criteria (MC) were developed more than 20 years ago and are still considered the benchmark for liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the strict application of MC might exclude some patients who may receive a clinical benefit of LT. Several expanded criteria have been proposed. Some of these consider pretransplant morphological and biological variables of the tumor, others consider post-LT variables such as the histology of the tumor, and others combine pre- and post-LT variables. More recently, the HCC response to locoregional treatments before transplantation emerged as a surrogate marker of the biological aggressiveness of the tumor to be used as a better selection criterion for LT in patients beyond the MC at presentation. This essential review aims to present the current data on the pretransplant selection criteria for LT in patients with HCC exceeding the MC at presentation based on morphological and histological characteristics of the tumor and to critically discuss those that have been validated in clinical practice. Moreover, the role of HCC biological markers and the tumor response to downstaging procedures as new tools for selecting patients with a tumor burden outside of the MC for LT is evaluated.


Cancers ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 419
Author(s):  
Tsuyoshi Shimamura ◽  
Ryoichi Goto ◽  
Masaaki Watanabe ◽  
Norio Kawamura ◽  
Yasutsugu Takada

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third highest cause of cancer-related mortality, and liver transplantation is the ideal treatment for this disease. The Milan criteria provided the opportunity for HCC patients to undergo LT with favorable outcomes and have been the international gold standard and benchmark. With the accumulation of data, however, the Milan criteria are not regarded as too restrictive. After the implementation of the Milan criteria, many extended criteria have been proposed, which increases the limitations regarding the morphological tumor burden, and incorporates the tumor’s biological behavior using surrogate markers. The paradigm for the patient selection for LT appears to be shifting from morphologic criteria to a combination of biologic, histologic, and morphologic criteria, and to the establishment of a model for predicting post-transplant recurrence and outcomes. This review article aims to characterize the various patient selection criteria for LT, with reference to several surrogate markers for the biological behavior of HCC (e.g., AFP, PIVKA-II, NLR, 18F-FDG PET/CT, liquid biopsy), and the response to locoregional therapy. Furthermore, the allocation rules in each country and the present evidence on the role of down-staging large tumors are addressed.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3730
Author(s):  
Berend R. Beumer ◽  
Roeland F. de Wilde ◽  
Herold J. Metselaar ◽  
Robert A. de Man ◽  
Wojciech G. Polak ◽  
...  

For patients presenting with hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria, either liver resection or liver transplantation can be performed. However, to what extent either of these treatment options is superior in terms of long-term survival is unknown. Obviously, the comparison of these treatments is complicated by several selection processes. In this article, we comprehensively review the current literature with a focus on factors accounting for selection bias. Thus far, studies that did not perform an intention-to-treat analysis conclude that liver transplantation is superior to liver resection for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. In contrast, studies performing an intention-to-treat analysis state that survival is comparable between both modalities. Furthermore, all studies demonstrate that disease-free survival is longer after liver transplantation compared to liver resection. With respect to the latter, implications of recurrences for survival are rarely discussed. Heterogeneous treatment effects and logical inconsistencies indicate that studies with a higher level of evidence are needed to determine if liver transplantation offers a survival benefit over liver resection. However, randomised controlled trials, as the golden standard, are believed to be infeasible. Therefore, we suggest an alternative research design from the causal inference literature. The rationale for a regression discontinuity design that exploits the natural experiment created by the widely adopted Milan criteria will be discussed. In this type of study, the analysis is focused on liver transplantation patients just within the Milan criteria and liver resection patients just outside, hereby ensuring equal distribution of confounders.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walid El Moghazy ◽  
Samy Kashkoush ◽  
Glenda Meeberg ◽  
Norman Kneteman

Background. We aimed to assess incidentally discovered hepatocellular carcinoma (iHCC) over time and to compare outcome to preoperatively diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma (pdHCC) and nontumor liver transplants.Methods.We studied adults transplanted with a follow-up of at least one year. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.Results.Between 1990 and 2010, 887 adults were transplanted. Among them, 121 patients (13.6%) had pdHCC and 32 patients (3.6%) had iHCC; frequency of iHCC decreased markedly over years, in parallel with significant increase in pdHCC. Between 1990 and 1995, 120 patients had liver transplants, 4 (3.3%) of them had iHCC, and only 3 (2.5%) had pdHCC, while in the last 5 years, 263 patients were transplanted, 7 (0.03%) of them had iHCC, and 66 (25.1%) had pdHCC (P<0.001). There was no significant difference between groups regarding patient survival; 5-year survival was 74%, 75.5%, and 77.3% in iHCC, pdHCC, and non-HCC groups, respectively (P=0.702). Patients with iHCC had no recurrences after transplant, while pdHCC patients experienced 17 recurrences (15.3%) (P=0.016).Conclusions.iHCC has significantly decreased despite steady increase in number of transplants for hepatocellular carcinoma. Patients with iHCC had excellent outcomes with no tumor recurrence and survival comparable to pdHCC.


HPB ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 168-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Andreou ◽  
Safak Gül ◽  
Andreas Pascher ◽  
Wenzel Schöning ◽  
Hussein Al‐Abadi ◽  
...  

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