scholarly journals A Method for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Particle Filter Using Kendall Rank Correlation Coefficient

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 4183
Author(s):  
Diju Gao ◽  
Yong Zhou ◽  
Tianzhen Wang ◽  
Yide Wang

With the wide application of lithium batteries, battery fault prediction and health management have become more and more important. This article proposes a method for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries to avoid a series of safety problems caused by continuing to use the battery after reaching its service life threshold. Since the battery capacity is not easy to obtain online, we propose that some measurable parameters should be used in the battery discharge cycle to estimate battery capacity. Then, the estimated capacity is used to replace the measured value of the particle filter (PF) based on the Kendall rank correlation coefficient (KCCPF) to predict the RUL of the lithium batteries. Simulation results show that the proposed method has high prediction accuracy, stability, and practical value.

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (19) ◽  
pp. 3678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianfei Sun ◽  
Bizhong Xia ◽  
Yifan Liu ◽  
Yongzhi Lai ◽  
Weiwei Zheng ◽  
...  

The prognosis of lithium-ion batteries for their remaining useful life is an essential technology in prognostics and health management (PHM). In this paper, we propose a novel hybrid prediction method based on particle filter (PF) and extreme learning machine (ELM). First, we use ELM to simulate the battery capacity degradation trend. Second, PF is applied to update the random parameters of the ELM in real-time. An extreme learning machine prognosis model, based on particle filter (PFELM), is established. In order to verify the validity of this method, our proposed approach is compared with the standard ELM, the multi-layer perceptron prediction model, based on PF (PFMLP), as well as the neural network prediction model, based on bat-particle filter (BATPFNN), using the batteries testing datasets of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Ames Research Center. The results show that our proposed approach has better ability to simulate battery capacity degradation trends, better robustness, and higher Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prognosis accuracy than the standard ELM, the PFMLP, and the BATPFNN under the same conditions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 13333
Author(s):  
Shaheer Ansari ◽  
Afida Ayob ◽  
Molla Shahadat Hossain Lipu ◽  
Aini Hussain ◽  
Mohamad Hanif Md Saad

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction for lithium-ion batteries has received increasing attention as it evaluates the reliability of batteries to determine the advent of failure and mitigate battery risks. The accurate prediction of RUL can ensure safe operation and prevent risk failure and unwanted catastrophic occurrence of the battery storage system. However, precise prediction for RUL is challenging due to the battery capacity degradation and performance variation under temperature and aging impacts. Therefore, this paper proposes the Multi-Channel Input (MCI) profile with the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) algorithm to predict RUL for lithium-ion batteries under the various combinations of datasets. Two methodologies, namely the Single-Channel Input (SCI) profile and the MCI profile, are implemented, and their results are analyzed. The verification of the proposed model is carried out by combining various datasets provided by NASA. The experimental results suggest that the MCI profile-based method demonstrates better prediction results than the SCI profile-based method with a significant reduction in prediction error with regard to various evaluation metrics. Additionally, the comparative analysis has illustrated that the proposed RNN method significantly outperforms the Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN), Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), Function Fitting Neural Network (FNN), and Cascade Forward Neural Network (CFNN) under different battery datasets.


2016 ◽  
Vol 39 (10) ◽  
pp. 1537-1546 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohong Su ◽  
Shuai Wang ◽  
Michael Pecht ◽  
Peijun Ma ◽  
Lingling Zhao

Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries plays a significant role in various devices and many researchers have focused on lithium-ion battery reliability and prognosis. A particle filter (PF) is an effective filter for estimation and prediction of time series data where model structure is available. The prediction accuracy of a PF depends on two key factors: parameter initialization and the state equation. In this paper, parameters are estimated using a PF and two empirical exponential models, i.e. the exponential model and improved exponential model, are used to track the battery capacity degradation; each model uses a different state equation. Experiments were performed to compare prediction accuracy using the related parameters estimation model with that using the capacity decline model; this paper compares the effects of the different state equations on the lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction. The experimental results show the merits of the capacity decline model based on particle filtering. The capacity decline model PF is more suitable for estimating the battery capacity trend in the long term.


Actuators ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 234
Author(s):  
Zhuqing Wang ◽  
Qiqi Ma ◽  
Yangming Guo

The Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is of great concern for the reliability and safety of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles (EVs), but the prediction precision is still unsatisfactory due to the unreliable measurement and fluctuation of data. Aiming to solve these issues, an adaptive sliding window-based gated recurrent unit neural network (GRU NN) is constructed in this paper to achieve the precise RUL prediction of LIBs with the soft sensing method. To evaluate the battery degradation performance, an indirect health indicator (HI), i.e., the constant current duration (CCD), is firstly extracted from charge voltage data, providing a reliable soft measurement of battery capacity. Then, a GRU NN with an adaptive sliding window is designed to learn the long-term dependencies and simultaneously fit the local regenerations and fluctuations. Employing the inherent memory units and gate mechanism of a GRU, the designed model can learn the long-term dependencies of HIs to the utmost with low computation cost. Furthermore, since the length of the sliding window updates timely according to the variation of HIs, the model can also capture the local tendency of HIs and address the influence of local regeneration. The effectiveness and advantages of the integrated prediction methodology are validated via experiments and comparison, and a more precise RUL prediction result is provided as well.


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