scholarly journals Assessment on Temporal and Spatial Variation Analysis of Extreme Temperature Indices: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Basin

Author(s):  
Guangxun Shi ◽  
Peng Ye

Extreme temperature change is one of the most urgent challenges facing our society. In recent years, extreme temperature has exerted a considerable influence on society and the global ecosystem. The Yangtze River Basin is not only an important growth belt of China’s social and economic development, but also the main commodity grain base in China. The purpose of this study is to study the extreme temperature indices in the Yangtze River Basin. In this study, the Mann–Kendall nonparametric test and R/S analysis method are used to analyze the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of major extreme temperature indices in the Yangtze River Basin from 1970 to 2014. The main conclusions are drawn as follows: (1) The occurrence of cold days (TX10), cold nights (TN10), ice days (ID), and frost days (FD) decrease at a rate of −0.66–−2.5 d/10a, respectively, while the occurrence of warm days (TX90), warm nights (TN90), summer days (SU), and tropical nights (TR) show statistically significant increasing trends at a rate of 2.2–4.73 d/10a. (2) The trends of the coldest day (TXn), coldest night (TNn), warmest day (TXx), warmest night (TNx), and diurnal temperature range (DTR), range from −0.003 to 0.5 °C/10a. (3) Spatially, the main cold indices and warm indices increase and decrease the most in the upper and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin. (4) DTR and TN90 show no abrupt changes; the main cold indices changed abruptly in the 1980s and the main warm indices changed abruptly in the late 1990s and early 2000s. (5) The extreme temperature indices are affected by the atmospheric circulation and urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River Basin. Relative indices and absolute indices will continue to maintain the present trend in the future. In short, the main cold indices of extreme temperature indices show a decreasing trend, the main warm indices of extreme temperature indices show an increasing trend, and cold indices and warm indices will continue to maintain the present trend in the future in the Yangtze River Basin. Extreme temperature has an important impact on agriculture, social, and economic development. Therefore, extreme temperature prediction and monitoring must be strengthened to reduce losses caused by extreme temperature disasters and to promote the sustainable development in Yangtze River Basin.

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 731
Author(s):  
Zhuoqing Hao ◽  
Jixia Huang ◽  
Yantao Zhou ◽  
Guofei Fang

The Yangtze River Basin is among the river basins with the strongest strategic support and developmental power in China. As an invasive species, the pinewood nematode (PWN) Bursaphelenchus xylophilus has introduced a serious obstacle to the high-quality development of the economic and ecological synchronization of the Yangtze River Basin. This study analyses the occurrence and spread of pine wilt disease (PWD) with the aim of effectively managing and controlling the spread of PWD in the Yangtze River Basin. In this study, statistical data of PWD-affected areas in the Yangtze River Basin are used to analyse the occurrence and spread of PWD in the study area using spatiotemporal visualization analysis and spatiotemporal scanning statistics technology. From 2000 to 2018, PWD in the study area showed an “increasing-decreasing-increasing” trend, and PWD increased explosively in 2018. The spatial spread of PWD showed a “jumping propagation-multi-point outbreak-point to surface spread” pattern, moving west along the river. Important clusters were concentrated in the Jiangsu-Zhejiang area from 2000 to 2015, forming a cluster including Jiangsu and Zhejiang. Then, from 2015–2018, important clusters were concentrated in Chongqing. According to the spatiotemporal scanning results, PWD showed high aggregation in the four regions of Zhejiang, Chongqing, Hubei, and Jiangxi from 2000 to 2018. In the future, management systems for the prevention and treatment of PWD, including ecological restoration programs, will require more attention.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3023
Author(s):  
Jinghua Xiong ◽  
Shenglian Guo ◽  
Jiabo Yin ◽  
Lei Gu ◽  
Feng Xiong

Flooding is one of the most widespread and frequent weather-related hazards that has devastating impacts on the society and ecosystem. Monitoring flooding is a vital issue for water resources management, socioeconomic sustainable development, and maintaining life safety. By integrating multiple precipitation, evapotranspiration, and GRACE-Follow On (GRAFO) terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) datasets, this study uses the water balance principle coupled with the CaMa-Flood hydrodynamic model to access the spatiotemporal discharge variations in the Yangtze River basin during the 2020 catastrophic flood. The results show that: (1) TWSA bias dominates the overall uncertainty in runoff at the basin scale, which is spatially governed by uncertainty in TWSA and precipitation; (2) spatially, a field significance at the 5% level is discovered for the correlations between GRAFO-based runoff and GLDAS results. The GRAFO-derived discharge series has a high correlation coefficient with either in situ observations and hydrological simulations for the Yangtze River basin, at the 0.01 significance level; (3) the GRAFO-derived discharge observes the flood peaks in July and August and the recession process in October 2020. Our developed approach provides an alternative way of monitoring large-scale extreme hydrological events with the latest GRAFO release and CaMa-Flood model.


2013 ◽  
Vol 116 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 447-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongqin David Chen ◽  
Qiang Zhang ◽  
Mingzhong Xiao ◽  
Vijay P. Singh ◽  
Yee Leung ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1985-2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Huang ◽  
M. S. Salama ◽  
M. S. Krol ◽  
R. van der Velde ◽  
A. Y. Hoekstra ◽  
...  

Abstract. In this study, we analyze 32 yr of terrestrial water storage (TWS) data obtained from the Interim Reanalysis Data (ERA-Interim) and Noah model from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS-Noah) for the period 1979 to 2010. The accuracy of these datasets is validated using 26 yr (1979–2004) of runoff data from the Yichang gauging station and comparing them with 32 yr of independent precipitation data obtained from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre Full Data Reanalysis Version 6 (GPCC) and NOAA's PRECipitation REConstruction over Land (PREC/L). Spatial and temporal analysis of the TWS data shows that TWS in the Yangtze River basin has decreased significantly since the year 1998. The driest period in the basin occurred between 2005 and 2010, and particularly in the middle and lower Yangtze reaches. The TWS figures changed abruptly to persistently high negative anomalies in the middle and lower Yangtze reaches in 2004. The year 2006 is identified as major inflection point, at which the system starts exhibiting a persistent decrease in TWS. Comparing these TWS trends with independent precipitation datasets shows that the recent decrease in TWS can be attributed mainly to a decrease in the amount of precipitation. Our findings are based on observations and modeling datasets and confirm previous results based on gauging station datasets.


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