scholarly journals Prediction of One-Year Mortality Based upon A New Staged Mortality Risk Model in Patients with Aortic Stenosis Undergoing Transcatheter Valve Replacement

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1642
Author(s):  
Verena Veulemans ◽  
Amin Polzin ◽  
Oliver Maier ◽  
Kathrin Klein ◽  
Georg Wolff ◽  
...  

Background: In-depth knowledge about potential predictors of mortality in transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is still warranted. Currently used risk stratification models for TAVR often fail to reach a holistic approach. We, therefore, aimed to create a new staged risk model for 1-year mortality including several new categories including (a) AS-entities (b) cardiopulmonary hemodynamics (c) comorbidities, and (d) different access routes. Methods: 737 transfemoral (TF) TAVR (84.3%) and 137 transapical (TA) TAVR (15.7%) patients were included. Predictors of 1-year mortality were assessed according to the aforementioned categories. Results: Over-all 1-year mortality (n = 100, 11.4%) was significantly higher in the TA TAVR group (TF vs. TA TAVR: 10.0% vs. 18.9 %; p = 0.0050*). By multivariate cox-regression analysis, a three-staged model was created in patients with fulfilled categories (TF TAVR: n = 655, 88,9%; TA TAVR: n = 117, 85.4%). Patients in “stage 2” showed 1.7-fold (HR 1.67; CI 1.07–2.60; p = 0.024*) and patients in “stage 3” 3.5-fold (HR 3.45; CI 1.97–6.05; p < 0.0001*) enhanced risk to die within 1 year. Mortality increased with every stage and reached the highest rates of 42.5% in “stage 3” (plogrank < 0.0001*), even when old- and new-generation devices (plogrank = n.s) were sub-specified. Conclusions: This new staged mortality risk model had incremental value for prediction of 1-year mortality after TAVR independently from the TAVR-era.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Matsushita ◽  
B Marchandot ◽  
M Kibler ◽  
C Sato ◽  
J Heger ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Current recommendations support short-term dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) for patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) despite no relevant study exploring the extent of platelet inhibition by clopidogrel. Purpose To assess whether P2Y12 inhibition by clopidogrel as evaluated by vasodilator-stimulated phosphoprotein flow cytometry test (VASP-FCT) impacts 1-year clinical outcomes in patients undergoing TAVR. Methods Patients were included in a prospective registry between February 2010 and May 2019. VASP-FCT was assessed 24h after the procedure. Responder to clopidogrel was defined by a platelet reactivity index ≤50%. Results Of 640 patients who underwent TAVR with preprocedural clopidogrel therapy, we enrolled 491 patients for whom VASP data were available. Responders were identified in 22% (n=110) of patients and low responders were 78% (n=381) of patients. Low body mass index, active cancer, and clopidogrel on admission were found to be independent predictors of responder. Mean transaortic pressure gradient was lower in the responder group at 1-month post-TAVR (9.9±4.4 mmHg vs. 11.2±5.8 mmHg, p=0.03) but was similar at 1-year (11.5±6.2 mmHg vs. 11.9±7.4 mmHg, p=0.74). By multivariate Cox regression analysis, patients responding to clopidogrel (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.19; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04 to 3.64; p=0.04), prior PCI (HR: 2.12; 95% CI: 1.07 to 4.37; p=0.03), and mean transaortic pressure gradient at baseline (HR: 0.07; 95% CI: 0.01 to 0.70; p=0.02) were identified as independent predictors of 1-year adverse clinical outcomes, including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure hospitalization. Conclusions Appropriate P2Y12 inhibition by clopidogrel is a major determinant of adverse clinical events after TAVR. In sum, the present data challenges the need of DAPT as a standard therapy during TAVR. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2019 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
pp. 151-159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Buntaro Fujita ◽  
Tobias Schmidt ◽  
Sabine Bleiziffer ◽  
Timm Bauer ◽  
Andreas Beckmann ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study was to evaluate the incidence of new pacemaker implantation (NPMI) after surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) and transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), and investigate its influence on 1-year mortality. METHODS Patients who were enrolled in ‘The German Aortic Valve Registry’ undergoing isolated TAVR or SAVR between 2011 and 2015 were analysed. The rate of NPMI was analysed for both groups and multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to investigate the possible independent association between NPMI and 1-year mortality. RESULTS Twenty thousand eight hundred and seventy-two patients who underwent TAVR and 17 750 patients who received SAVR were included in this study. The rate of NPMI was 16.6% after TAVR and 3.6% after SAVR. In the TAVR group, NPMI was associated with significantly increased 1-year mortality in univariable Cox regression analysis [hazard ratio (HR) 1.29, confidence interval (CI) 1.18–1.41; P &lt; 0.001]. This association persisted after adjustment for confounding factors (HR 1.29, CI 1.16–1.43; P &lt; 0.001). In the SAVR group, NPMI significantly increased 1-year mortality in univariable analysis as well (HR 1.55, CI 1.08–2.22; P = 0.02), whereas after multivariable adjustment, NPMI did not emerge as an independent risk factor (HR 1.29, 0.88–1.89; P = 0.19). NPMI was not associated with 30-day mortality in both procedure groups. CONCLUSIONS The rate of NPMI was markedly higher after TAVR compared with SAVR and was independently associated with 1-year mortality after TAVR, whereas this was not significant after SAVR. As 30-day mortality was not different for TAVR and SAVR, the subsequent procedure of an NPMI itself seems not to increase the risk of mortality.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Matsushita ◽  
B Marchandot ◽  
M Kibler ◽  
C Sato ◽  
J Heger ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Paravalvular leakage (PVL) following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is associated with greater mortality. In clinical practice, determining PVL severity after TAVR remains challenging and often requires multiparametric assessment. Purpose This study sought to evaluate the respective value of various modalities of PVL assessments, including transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), cine-angiography, aortic regurgitation index (ARI), and closure time with adenosine diphosphate (CT-ADP), in the prediction of adverse clinical outcomes. Methods We included 1044 patients from our prospective TAVR registry between February 2010 and May 2019. Major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) was defined as a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure hospitalization within 1-year. Established cutoff values of ARI (&lt;25) and CT-ADP (&gt;180 sec) were used to assess the presence of PVL after TAVR. Results Moderate to severe PVL occurred in 14.2% and 5.2% of patients as measured by TTE and angiography. The rate of patients with ARI &lt;25 and CT-ADP &gt;180 sec were 36.5% and 24.9%, respectively. Among the four modalities, PVL evaluated by angiography predicted poorer clinical outcomes (Log rank test; p=0.001), whereas TTE, ARI &lt;25, and CT-ADP &gt;180 sec were not associated with 1-year MACCE. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, moderate to severe PVL by angiography was an independent predictor of 1-year MACCE (hazard ratio: 1.96; 95% confidence interval: 1.22–3.00; p=0.007). Conclusions Paravalvular leakage measured by angiography was evidenced as the most meaningful modality in the prediction of adverse clinical outcomes. Future multicenter studies are warranted to ensure these findings in the current TAVR era. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Shuai He ◽  
Jin-Feng Li ◽  
Hao Tian ◽  
Ye Sang ◽  
Xiao-Jing Yang ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND: Early recurrence is the main obstacle for long-term survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after curative resection. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop a long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) based signature to predict early recurrence. METHODS: Using bioinformatics analysis and quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR), we screened for lncRNA candidates that were abnormally expressed in HCC. The expression levels of candidate lncRNAs were analyzed in HCC tissues from 160 patients who underwent curative resection, and a risk model for the prediction of recurrence within 1 year (early recurrence) of HCCs was constructed with linear support vector machine (SVM). RESULTS: A lncRNA-based classifier (Clnc), which contained nine differentially expressed lncRNAs including AF339810, AK026286, BC020899, HEIH, HULC, MALAT1, PVT1, uc003fpg, and ZFAS1 was constructed. In the test set, this classifier reliably predicted early recurrence (AUC, 0.675; sensitivity, 72.0%; specificity, 63.1%) with an odds ratio of 4.390 (95% CI, 2.120–9.090). Clnc showed higher accuracy than traditional clinical features, including tumor size, portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) in predicting early recurrence (AUC, 0.675 vs 0.523 vs 0.541), and had much higher sensitivity than Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer (BCLC; 72.0% vs 50.0%), albeit their AUCs were comparable (0.675 vs 0.678). Moreover, combining Clnc with BCLC significantly increased the AUC, compared with Clnc or BCLC alone in predicting early recurrence (all P< 0.05). Finally, logistic and Cox regression analysis suggested that Clnc was an independent prognostic factor and associated with the early recurrence and recurrence-free survival of HCC patients after resection, respectively (all P= 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our lncRNA-based classifier Clnc can predict early recurrence of patients undergoing surgical resection of HCC.


Author(s):  
Tamim M. Nazif ◽  
Thomas J. Cahill ◽  
David Daniels ◽  
James M. McCabe ◽  
Mark Reisman ◽  
...  

Background: Paravalvular regurgitation (PVR) after transcatheter aortic valve replacement is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. The SAPIEN 3 Ultra (Ultra) is a new generation balloon-expandable transcatheter heart valve with a modified external skirt that is designed to reduce PVR, but reports of clinical and echocardiographic outcomes are limited. The aim of this study was to compare short-term outcomes of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement with the Ultra and the original SAPIEN 3 (S3) transcatheter heart valve in a large national registry. Methods: Data from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons/American College of Cardiology Transcatheter Valve Therapy Registry was used to compare patients who underwent elective, transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve replacement with the Ultra or S3 transcatheter heart valve. Clinical and echocardiographic outcomes were analyzed in a propensity-matched cohort at discharge and 30 days. Results: Patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement with Ultra (N=1324) from January 2019 to February 2020 were propensity score–matched with patients treated with S3 (N=32 982) during the same period, resulting in 1324 matched pairs. There was no difference in the rate of device success between patients treated with Ultra and S3 (97.1% versus 98.0%, P =0.11). At hospital discharge, PVR was significantly reduced with Ultra compared with S3, with mild PVR in 9.0% versus 13.9% and moderate or greater PVR in 0.1% versus 0.4% (overall P <0.01). At 30 days, there were no differences between Ultra and S3 recipients in the rates of all-cause mortality or stroke (1.8% versus 2.8%, P =0.10), major vascular complications (1.1% versus 1.0%, P =0.84), or permanent pacemaker implantation (6.4% versus 6.2%, P =0.81). Conclusions: In this propensity-matched analysis from the Transcatheter Valve Therapy Registry, the Ultra transcatheter heart valve was associated with similar procedural and 30-day clinical outcomes, but reduced incidence of PVR, compared with S3. The clinical benefit of less PVR should be evaluated in longer-term studies.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Feng ◽  
Jian Li ◽  
Weiling Xuan ◽  
Hanbo Liu ◽  
Dexin Cheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a prevalent primary liver cancer and the main cause of cancer mortality. Its high complexity and dismal prognosis bring dramatic difficulty to treatment. Due to the disclosed dual functions of autophagy in cancer development, understanding autophagy-related genes devotes into seeking novel biomarkers for HCC. Methods Differential expression of genes in normal and tumor groups was analyzed to acquire autophagy-related genes in HCC. GO and KEGG pathway analyses were conducted on these genes. Genes were then screened by univariate regression analysis. The screened genes were subjected to multivariate Cox regression analysis to build a prognostic model. The model was validated by ICGC validation set. Results Altogether, 42 autophagy-related differential genes were screened by differential expression analysis. Enrichment analysis showed that they were mainly enriched in pathways including regulation of autophagy and cell apoptosis. Genes were screened by univariate analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis to build a prognostic model. The model was constituted by 6 feature genes: EIF2S1, BIRC5, SQSTM1, ATG7, HDAC1, FKBP1A. Validation confirmed the accuracy and independence of this model in predicting HCC patient’s prognosis. Conclusion A total of 6 feature genes were identified to build a prognostic risk model. This model is conducive to investigating interplay between autophagy-related genes and HCC prognosis.


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