scholarly journals TPLVM: Portfolio Construction by Student’s t-Process Latent Variable Model

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yusuke Uchiyama ◽  
Kei Nakagawa

Optimal asset allocation is a key topic in modern finance theory. To realize the optimal asset allocation on investor’s risk aversion, various portfolio construction methods have been proposed. Recently, the applications of machine learning are rapidly growing in the area of finance. In this article, we propose the Student’s t-process latent variable model (TPLVM) to describe non-Gaussian fluctuations of financial timeseries by lower dimensional latent variables. Subsequently, we apply the TPLVM to portfolio construction as an alternative of existing nonlinear factor models. To test the performance of the proposed method, we construct minimum-variance portfolios of global stock market indices based on the TPLVM or Gaussian process latent variable model. By comparing these portfolios, we confirm the proposed portfolio outperforms that of the existing Gaussian process latent variable model.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3137
Author(s):  
Amine Tadjer ◽  
Reider B. Bratvold ◽  
Remus G. Hanea

Production forecasting is the basis for decision making in the oil and gas industry, and can be quite challenging, especially in terms of complex geological modeling of the subsurface. To help solve this problem, assisted history matching built on ensemble-based analysis such as the ensemble smoother and ensemble Kalman filter is useful in estimating models that preserve geological realism and have predictive capabilities. These methods tend, however, to be computationally demanding, as they require a large ensemble size for stable convergence. In this paper, we propose a novel method of uncertainty quantification and reservoir model calibration with much-reduced computation time. This approach is based on a sequential combination of nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques: t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding or the Gaussian process latent variable model and clustering K-means, along with the data assimilation method ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation. The cluster analysis with t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding and Gaussian process latent variable model is used to reduce the number of initial geostatistical realizations and select a set of optimal reservoir models that have similar production performance to the reference model. We then apply ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation for providing reliable assimilation results. Experimental results based on the Brugge field case data verify the efficiency of the proposed approach.


2010 ◽  
Vol 73 (10-12) ◽  
pp. 2186-2195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiumei Wang ◽  
Xinbo Gao ◽  
Yuan Yuan ◽  
Dacheng Tao ◽  
Jie Li

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aditya Arie Nugraha ◽  
Kouhei Sekiguchi ◽  
Kazuyoshi Yoshii

This paper describes a deep latent variable model of speech power spectrograms and its application to semi-supervised speech enhancement with a deep speech prior. By integrating two major deep generative models, a variational autoencoder (VAE) and a normalizing flow (NF), in a mutually-beneficial manner, we formulate a flexible latent variable model called the NF-VAE that can extract low-dimensional latent representations from high-dimensional observations, akin to the VAE, and does not need to explicitly represent the distribution of the observations, akin to the NF. In this paper, we consider a variant of NF called the generative flow (GF a.k.a. Glow) and formulate a latent variable model called the GF-VAE. We experimentally show that the proposed GF-VAE is better than the standard VAE at capturing fine-structured harmonics of speech spectrograms, especially in the high-frequency range. A similar finding is also obtained when the GF-VAE and the VAE are used to generate speech spectrograms from latent variables randomly sampled from the standard Gaussian distribution. Lastly, when these models are used as speech priors for statistical multichannel speech enhancement, the GF-VAE outperforms the VAE and the GF.


2020 ◽  
Vol 117 (27) ◽  
pp. 15403-15408
Author(s):  
Lawrence K. Saul

We propose a latent variable model to discover faithful low-dimensional representations of high-dimensional data. The model computes a low-dimensional embedding that aims to preserve neighborhood relationships encoded by a sparse graph. The model both leverages and extends current leading approaches to this problem. Like t-distributed Stochastic Neighborhood Embedding, the model can produce two- and three-dimensional embeddings for visualization, but it can also learn higher-dimensional embeddings for other uses. Like LargeVis and Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection, the model produces embeddings by balancing two goals—pulling nearby examples closer together and pushing distant examples further apart. Unlike these approaches, however, the latent variables in our model provide additional structure that can be exploited for learning. We derive an Expectation–Maximization procedure with closed-form updates that monotonically improve the model’s likelihood: In this procedure, embeddings are iteratively adapted by solving sparse, diagonally dominant systems of linear equations that arise from a discrete graph Laplacian. For large problems, we also develop an approximate coarse-graining procedure that avoids the need for negative sampling of nonadjacent nodes in the graph. We demonstrate the model’s effectiveness on datasets of images and text.


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