scholarly journals Volatility Timing in CPF Investment Funds in Singapore: Do They Outperform Non-CPF Funds?

Risks ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shen ◽  
Tsui ◽  
Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Group Performance ◽  
Factor Models ◽  
Garch Models ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Risk Effect ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Volatility Timing ◽  
Managed Funds ◽  
Country Specific

The purpose of this study is to examine the volatility-timing performance of Singapore-based funds under the Central Provident Fund (CPF) Investment Scheme and non-CPF linked funds by taking into account the currency risk effect on internationally managed funds. In particular, we empirically assess whether the funds under the CPF Investment Scheme outperform non-CPF funds by examining the volatility-timing performance associated with these funds. The volatility-timing ability of CPF funds will provide the CPF board with a new method for risk classification. We employ the GARCH models and modified factor models to capture the response of funds to market abnormal conditional volatility including the weekday effect. The SMB and HML factors for non-US based funds are constructed from stock market data to exclude the contribution of the size effect and the BE/ME effect. The results show that volatility timing is one of the factors contributing to the excess return of funds. However, funds’ volatility-timing seems to be country-specific. Most of the Japanese equity funds and global equity funds under the CPF Investment Scheme are found to have the ability of volatility timing. This finding contrasts with the existing studies on Asian, ex-Japan funds and Greater China funds. Moreover, there is no evidence that funds under the CPF Investment Scheme show a better group performance of volatility timing.

scholarly journals An Analysis of Mutual Fund Managers’ Timing Abilities - Evidence From Chinese Equity Funds

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 214
Author(s):  
Jun-Hao Li ◽  
Chun-Fan You
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Daily Frequency ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Volatility Timing ◽  
Investment Styles ◽  
Timing Models

This paper examines Chinese mutual fund managers’ market, volatility, and liquidity abilities. Using a daily frequency sample of Chinese open-end equity funds from 2015 to 2019, we find evidence that mutual fund managers can time the market. Among the funds with different investment styles, the active funds have better market and liquidity timing ability, whereas the steady funds have better volatility timing ability. In different investment periods, there are more funds with timing ability in the fall period than in the rise period. We find the same results in the market (T-M), volatility, and liquidity timing models. It is especially for the active funds, nearly half of which have liquidity timing ability in the fall period. Among the funds with stock selection ability, the funds with market timing ability can outperform than the funds with other timing ability.

scholarly journals Do Mutual Fund Managers Time Market Sentiment?

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 527
Author(s):  
Jun-Hao Li ◽  
Chun-Fan You ◽  
Chin-Sheng Huang
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Mutual Fund Managers ◽  
Bear Market ◽  
Market Sentiment ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Volatility Timing ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines whether fund managers can adjust the exposure of portfolio to time market sentiment, thus expanding the new dimension of the study of mutual fund managers’ timing ability. Using the data of Chinese open-end equity funds from January 2010 to December 2019, based on the CICSI sentiment index developed by Yi and Mao (2009), we find strong evidence that Chinese mutual fund managers have sentiment ability during the sample period. In addition, the funds with positive sentiment timing ability outperforms those without such by 2.20% per year, and the longer the fund survives, the more likely for it to have sentiment timing ability. Our findings remain robust even after controlling the impact of bull and bear market on China’s A-share market in 2015, market timing, volatility timing and liquidity timing, and after using three new sentiment indicators to verify the finding, three indicators being the net buying amount of northward capital, the net buying amount of financing, and the net ratio of limit up.

A Study on Stock-Selection and Market-Timing Performance: Evidence from Hong Kong Mandatory Provident Funds (MPF)

2008 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 617-649 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Kuok-kun Chu ◽  
Michael McKenzie
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Economic Condition ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Conditional Models ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Timing Models ◽  
Comprehensive Study

This paper presents the first comprehensive study of the performance and market timing ability of the equity funds that comprise the Hong Kong Mandatory Provident Funds (MPF) scheme. In general, our results suggest that US equity funds consistently underperform relative to the market, while the other fund groups consistently outperform the market. The stock-selection ability of MPF constituent equity funds in times of changing economic condition is also investigated. The evidence is consistent with previous studies, which suggest that the conditional models decrease the individual fund traditional alpha measure. The market timing models of Treynor–Mazuy and Henriksson–Merton provide evidence of superior market timing ability.

scholarly journals Content Analysis of Shariah-Compliant Investment Equity Funds in KSA: Does Social Justice Matter?

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khaled O. Alotaibi ◽  
Mohammad M. Hariri
Keyword(s):  
Social Justice ◽  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Content Analysis ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Kingdom Of Saudi Arabia ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Content Analysis Method ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
The Ideal

This paper examines the influence of capitalism and globalisation on the role of Shariah-Compliant Investment Funds (SCIFs) in promoting social justice in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) using content analysis method. This is to analyse the Terms and Conditions (T&C) of SCIFs as they appear in Tadawul (Saudi stock market) in 2019 and compared with the findings in 2013. This research critically evaluates the findings of the content analysis through aspects of globalization and insights from the literature review. The content analysis shows that SCIFs in KSA are disjointed and decoupled from Islamic principles and do not fulfil the ideal social justice role in society.

MODELING PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS AND PRIVATE EQUITY COLLATERALISED FUND OBLIGATIONS

2004 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 193-230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Etienne de Malherbe
Keyword(s):  
Private Equity ◽  
Investment Horizon ◽  
Bessel Processes ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Investment Value ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Private Equity Funds ◽  
Three Stages ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Managed Funds

The recent development of the securitisation of funds of private equity funds poses the question of the individual and joint modelling of the underlying funds. Private equity funds are different from other managed funds because of their particular bounded life cycle: when the fund starts, the investment partners make an initial capital commitment, the fund managers gradually draw down the committed capital into investments, returns and proceeds are distributed as the investments are realised and the fund is eventually liquidated as the final investment horizon is reached. Modelling private equity funds therefore requires three stages: the modelling of the commitment drawdowns, the modelling of the investment value and the modelling of the return repayments. A standard lognormal process is utilised for the dynamics of the investment value. Squared Bessel processes are utilised for the dynamics of the rates of drawdowns and repayments. Résumé: Le récent développement de la titrisation de fonds de fonds de placements privés pose la question de la modélisation individuelle et jointe des fonds sous-jacents. Les fonds de placements privés sont différents des autres sociétés d'investissement à cause de leur cycle de vie particulier et limité: au démarrage du fonds, les associés s'engagent sur un apport initial en capital; puis les gérants du fonds opèrent des tirages progressifs sur le capital apporté pour procéder à des investissements; les revenus et les profits sont distribués à mesure que les investissements sont réalisés; enfin, le fonds est liquidé lorsque l'horizon d'investissement est atteint. La modélisation d'un fonds doit donc se faire en trois étapes: la modélisation des tirages sur l'apport en capital, la modélisation de la valeur des investissements et enfin la modélisation des paiements et remboursements des dividendes et retours sur investissements. Un processus lognormal standard est utilisé pour la dynamique de la valeur des investissements. Des processus de Bessel carré sont utilisés pour la dynamique des taux de tirage et de remboursement.

17 Towards a Unified Theory for Private Investment Funds

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Spangler Timothy
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Hedge Funds ◽  
Private Equity ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Investment Fund ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This chapter considers future legal and regulatory responses to private investment funds in the context of a country’s current political dynamics. It begins with a discussion of the regulatory policy issues surrounding private investment funds before and after the global financial crisis, criticisms against private equity funds and hedge funds, and lessons from the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive. It then examines indirect regulation of private investment funds as a way forward, along with financial innovation and regulatory arbitrage. In particular, it explains how the global financial crisis has exposed the complexity of modern financial markets, noting that one of the primary drivers of this complexity has been financial innovation. The chapter concludes by analysing investor-centric approaches to addressing the governance challenge present in private investment funds.

An Empirical Study on the Performance of Select Large Cap Equity Mutual Funds in India

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Samyabrata Das
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Asset Management ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Human Element ◽  
Risk Return ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Managed Funds ◽  
Opening Up ◽  
Fund Return

Since the opening up of the economy in the early 1990s, Indian mutual fund industry has witnessed fabulous quantitative growth. Funds which invest a larger proportion of their corpus in companies with large market capitalization are called large cap funds. Actively managed funds make use of a human element, such as a single manager, comanagers or a team of managers, to actively manage a fund's portfolio. The main objective of the study is to analyse the performance of select actively managed large cap equity funds in the line of risk-return parameters. This study is based on fourteen funds from twelve Asset Management Companies. All the funds are ranked under seven performance measures, namely, fund return, fund standard deviation, Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Ratio, return from systematic investment plan (SIP), Jensen Alpha, and RSQ, for five different time periods of 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, 7-year, and 10-year.

scholarly journals Market timing of equity funds in Brazil

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 193-198
Author(s):  
Renata Ferreira ◽  
Andre Carvalhal
Keyword(s):  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Active Management ◽  
Alternative Measure ◽  
Timing Ability ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Governance Practices ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The objective of this paper is to analyze the market timing capability of equity fund managers in Brazil. The active management and market timing ability of equity funds are very important to generate consistent positive returns, especially in the current volatile scenario in Brazil. We study 130 equity funds with active management using an alternative methodology for testing market timing. We use an alternative measure of market timing, based on the portfolio held by funds ("holding-based measure") in order to avoid the biases observed in the measurement of observed returns ("return-based measure"). For the period from 2006 to 2013, we find that most equity funds generally had no statistically significant market timing ability. Interestingly, the few funds that had significant market timing ability invested in companies with good governance practices. Moreover, for the funds that had timing ability, managers were based only on publicly available information to predict the market movement. We also provide evidence that market timing ability was significantly different before and after the global financial crisis.

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