scholarly journals An Improved CASA Model for Estimating Winter Wheat Yield from Remote Sensing Images

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yulong Wang ◽  
Xingang Xu ◽  
Linsheng Huang ◽  
Guijun Yang ◽  
Lingling Fan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Satellite Remote Sensing ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Remote Sensing Images ◽  
Casa Model ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield

The accurate and timely monitoring and evaluation of the regional grain crop yield is more significant for formulating import and export plans of agricultural products, regulating grain markets and adjusting the planting structure. In this study, an improved Carnegie–Ames–Stanford approach (CASA) model was coupled with time-series satellite remote sensing images to estimate winter wheat yield. Firstly, in 2009 the entire growing season of winter wheat in the two districts of Tongzhou and Shunyi of Beijing was divided into 54 stages at five-day intervals. Net Primary Production (NPP) of winter wheat was estimated by the improved CASA model with HJ-1A/B satellite images from 39 transits. For the 15 stages without HJ-1A/B transit, MOD17A2H data products were interpolated to obtain the spatial distribution of winter wheat NPP at 5-day intervals over the entire growing season of winter wheat. Then, an NPP-yield conversion model was utilized to estimate winter wheat yield in the study area. Finally, the accuracy of the method to estimate winter wheat yield with remote sensing images was verified by comparing its results to the ground-measured yield. The results showed that the estimated yield of winter wheat based on remote sensing images is consistent with the ground-measured yield, with R2 of 0.56, RMSE of 1.22 t ha−1, and an average relative error of −6.01%. Based on time-series satellite remote sensing images, the improved CASA model can be used to estimate the NPP and thereby the yield of regional winter wheat. This approach satisfies the accuracy requirements for estimating regional winter wheat yield and thus may be used in actual applications. It also provides a technical reference for estimating large-scale crop yield.

scholarly journals Prediction of Winter Wheat Yield Based on Multi-Source Data and Machine Learning in China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jichong Han ◽  
Zhao Zhang ◽  
Juan Cao ◽  
Yuchuan Luo ◽  
Liangliang Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Growth Period ◽  
Yield Prediction ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Source Data ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield

Wheat is one of the main crops in China, and crop yield prediction is important for regional trade and national food security. There are increasing concerns with respect to how to integrate multi-source data and employ machine learning techniques to establish a simple, timely, and accurate crop yield prediction model at an administrative unit. Many previous studies were mainly focused on the whole crop growth period through expensive manual surveys, remote sensing, or climate data. However, the effect of selecting different time window on yield prediction was still unknown. Thus, we separated the whole growth period into four time windows and assessed their corresponding predictive ability by taking the major winter wheat production regions of China as an example in the study. Firstly we developed a modeling framework to integrate climate data, remote sensing data and soil data to predict winter wheat yield based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. The results show that the models can accurately predict yield 1~2 months before the harvesting dates at the county level in China with an R2 > 0.75 and yield error less than 10%. Support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and random forest (RF) represent the top three best methods for predicting yields among the eight typical machine learning models tested in this study. In addition, we also found that different agricultural zones and temporal training settings affect prediction accuracy. The three models perform better as more winter wheat growing season information becomes available. Our findings highlight a potentially powerful tool to predict yield using multiple-source data and machine learning in other regions and for crops.

Estimation of winter wheat yield by using remote sensing data and crop model

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianmao Guo ◽  
Tengfei Zheng ◽  
Qi Wang ◽  
Jia Yang ◽  
Junyi Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Crop Model ◽  
Sensing Data ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield

scholarly journals Winter Wheat Yield Prediction Using Convolutional Neural Networks from Environmental and Phenological Data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amit Kumar Srivast ◽  
Nima Safaei ◽  
Saeed Khaki ◽  
Gina Lopez ◽  
Wenzhi Zeng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Yield Prediction ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Crop yield forecasting depends on many interactive factors including crop genotype, weather, soil, and management practices. This study analyzes the performance of machine learning and deep learning methods for winter wheat yield prediction using extensive datasets of weather, soil, and crop phenology. We propose a convolutional neural network (CNN) which uses the 1-dimentional convolution operation to capture the time dependencies of environmental variables. The proposed CNN, evaluated along with other machine learning models for winter wheat yield prediction in Germany, outperformed all other models tested. To address the seasonality, weekly features were used that explicitly take soil moisture and meteorological events into account. Our results indicated that nonlinear models such as deep learning models and XGboost are more effective in finding the functional relationship between the crop yield and input data compared to linear models and deep neural networks had a higher prediction accuracy than XGboost. One of the main limitations of machine learning models is their black box property. Therefore, we moved beyond prediction and performed feature selection, as it provides key results towards explaining yield prediction (variable importance by time). As such, our study indicates which variables have the most significant effect on winter wheat yield.

scholarly journals Operating at the extreme: estimating the upper yield boundary of winter wheat production in commercial practice

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 191919
Author(s):  
Emily G. Mitchell ◽  
Neil M. J. Crout ◽  
Paul Wilson ◽  
Andrew T. A. Wood ◽  
Gilles Stupfler
Keyword(s):  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Agronomic Traits ◽  
Maximum Yield ◽  
Crop Protection ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Statistical Evidence ◽  
Extreme Value Analysis ◽  
Value Analysis ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield

Wheat farming provides 28.5% of global cereal production. After steady growth in average crop yield from 1950 to 1990, wheat yields have generally stagnated, which prompts the question of whether further improvements are possible. Statistical studies of agronomic parameters such as crop yield have so far exclusively focused on estimating parameters describing the whole of the data, rather than the highest yields specifically. These indicators include the mean or median yield of a crop, or finding the combinations of agronomic traits that are correlated with increasing average yields. In this paper, we take an alternative approach and consider high yields only. We carry out an extreme value analysis of winter wheat yield data collected in England and Wales between 2006 and 2015. This analysis suggests that, under current climate and growing conditions, there is indeed a finite upper bound for winter wheat yield, whose value we estimate to be 17.60 tonnes per hectare. We then refine the analysis for strata defined by either location or level of use of agricultural inputs. We find that there is no statistical evidence for variation of maximal yield depending on location, and neither is there statistical evidence that maximum yield levels are improved by high levels of crop protection and fertilizer use.

scholarly journals Identifying the impact of multi-hazards on crop yield—A case for heat stress and dry stress on winter wheat yield in northern China

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 ◽  
pp. 55-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Chen ◽  
Zhao Zhang ◽  
Pin Wang ◽  
Xiao Song ◽  
Xing Wei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heat Stress ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield ◽  
The Impact
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