OPEN: A New Estimation of Global Ocean Heat Content for Upper 2000 Meters from Remote Sensing Data

Retrieving information concerning the interior of the ocean using satellite remote sensing data has a major impact on studies of ocean dynamic and climate changes; however, the lack of information within the ocean limits such studies about the global ocean. In this paper, an artificial neural network, combined with satellite data and gridded Argo product, is used to estimate the ocean heat content (OHC) anomalies over four different depths down to 2000 m covering the near-global ocean, excluding the polar regions. Our method allows for the temporal hindcast of the OHC to other periods beyond the 2005–2018 training period. By applying an ensemble technique, the hindcasting uncertainty could also be estimated by using different 9-year periods for training and then calculating the standard deviation across six ensemble members. This new OHC product is called the Ocean Projection and Extension neural Network (OPEN) product. The accuracy of the product is accessed using the coefficient of determination (R2) and the relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE). The feature combinations and network architecture are optimized via a series of experiments. Overall, intercomparison with several routinely analyzed OHC products shows that the OPEN OHC has an R2 larger than 0.95 and an RRMSE of <0.20 and presents notably accurate trends and variabilities. The OPEN product can therefore provide a valuable complement for studies of global climate changes.

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Reconstructing Ocean Heat Content for Revisiting Global Ocean Warming from Remote Sensing Perspectives

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13193799 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (19) ◽

pp. 3799

Author(s):

Hua Su ◽

Tian Qin ◽

An Wang ◽

Wenfang Lu

Keyword(s):

Neural Network ◽

Remote Sensing ◽

Time Series ◽

Heat Content ◽

Ocean Warming ◽

Ocean Heat Content ◽

Global Ocean ◽

Gridded Data ◽

Light Gradient

Global ocean heat content (OHC) is generally estimated using gridded, model and reanalysis data; its change is crucial to understanding climate anomalies and ocean warming phenomena. However, Argo gridded data have short temporal coverage (from 2005 to the present), inhibiting understanding of long-term OHC variabilities at decadal to multidecadal scales. In this study, we utilized multisource remote sensing and Argo gridded data based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network method, which considers long temporal dependence to reconstruct a new long time-series OHC dataset (1993–2020) and fill the pre-Argo data gaps. Moreover, we adopted a new machine learning method, i.e., the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and applied the well-known Random Forests (RFs) method for comparison. The model performance was measured using determination coefficients (R2) and root-mean-square error (RMSE). The results showed that LSTM can effectively improve the OHC prediction accuracy compared with the LightGBM and RFs methods, especially in long-term and deep-sea predictions. The LSTM-estimated result also outperformed the Ocean Projection and Extension neural Network (OPEN) dataset, with an R2 of 0.9590 and an RMSE of 4.45 × 1019 in general in the upper 2000 m for 28 years (1993–2020). The new reconstructed dataset (named OPEN-LSTM) correlated reasonably well with other validated products, showing consistency with similar time-series trends and spatial patterns. The spatiotemporal error distribution between the OPEN-LSTM and IAP datasets was smaller on the global scale, especially in the Atlantic, Southern and Pacific Oceans. The relative error for OPEN-LSTM was the smallest for all ocean basins compared with Argo gridded data. The average global warming trends are 3.26 × 108 J/m2/decade for the pre-Argo (1993–2004) period and 2.67 × 108 J/m2/decade for the time-series (1993–2020) period. This study demonstrates the advantages of LSTM in the time-series reconstruction of OHC, and provides a new dataset for a deeper understanding of ocean and climate events.

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