scholarly journals Evaluating Dominant Land Use/Land Cover Changes and Predicting Future Scenario in a Rural Region Using a Memoryless Stochastic Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 4332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cláudia M. Viana ◽  
Jorge Rocha
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Arable Land ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Landscape Changes ◽  
Transition Matrices ◽  
Future Scenario ◽  
Discrete Time Markov Chain ◽  
Rural Region ◽  
Lulc Changes

The present study used the official Portuguese land use/land cover (LULC) maps (Carta de Uso e Ocupação do Solo, COS) from 1995, 2007, 2010, 2015, and 2018 to quantify, visualize, and predict the spatiotemporal LULC transitions in the Beja district, a rural region in the southeast of Portugal, which is experiencing marked landscape changes. Here, we computed the conventional transition matrices for in-depth statistical analysis of the LULC changes that have occurred from 1995 to 2018, providing supplementary statistics regarding the vulnerability of inter-class transitions by focusing on the dominant signals of change. We also investigated how the LULC is going to move in the future (2040) based on matrices of current states using the Discrete-Time Markov Chain (DTMC) model. The results revealed that, between 1995 and 2018, about 28% of the Beja district landscape changed. Particularly, croplands remain the predominant LULC class in more than half of the Beja district (in 2018 about 64%). However, the behavior of the inter-class transitions was significantly different between periods, and explicitly revealed that arable land, pastures, and forest were the most dynamic LULC classes. Few dominant (systematic) signals of change during the 1995–2018 period were observed, highlighting the transition of arable land to permanent crops (5%) and to pastures (2.9%), and the transition of pastures to forest (3.5%) and to arable land (2.7%). Simulation results showed that about 25% of the territory is predicted to experience major LULC changes from arable land (−3.81%), permanent crops (+2.93%), and forests (+2.60%) by 2040.

scholarly journals Long-Term Satellite Image Time-Series for Land Use/Land Cover Change Detection Using Refined Open Source Data in a Rural Region

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cláudia M. Viana ◽  
Inês Girão ◽  
Jorge Rocha
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Rural Region ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Open Source Data ◽  
Training Samples ◽  
Source Data

The increasing availability and volume of remote sensing data, such as Landsat satellite images, have allowed the multidimensional analysis of land use/land cover (LULC) changes. However, the performance of image classification is highly dependent on the quality and quantity of the training set and its temporal continuity, which may affect the accuracy of the classification and bias the analysis of the LULC changes. In this study, we intended to apply a long-term LULC analysis in a rural region based on a Landsat time series of 21 years (1995 to 2015). Here, we investigated the use of open LULC source data to provide training samples and the application of the K-means clustering technique to refine the broad range of spectral signatures for each LULC class. Experiments were conducted on a predominantly rural region characterized by a mixed agro-silvo-pastoral environment. The open source data of the official Portuguese LULC map (Carta de Uso e Ocupação do Solo, COS) from 1995, 2007, 2010, and 2015 were integrated to generate the training samples for the entire period of analysis. The time series was computed from Landsat data based on the normalized difference vegetation index and normalized difference water index, using 221 Landsat images. The Time-Weighted Dynamic Time Warping (TWDTW) classifier was used, since it accounts for LULC-type seasonality and has already achieved promising overall accuracy values for classifications based on time series. The results revealed that the proposed method was efficient in classifying a long-term satellite time-series with an overall accuracy of 76%, providing insights into the main LULC changes that occurred over 21 years.

scholarly journals Effects of Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Changes on Water Yield Services in the Dongjiang Lake Basin

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 466
Author(s):  
Wenbo Mo ◽  
Yunlin Zhao ◽  
Nan Yang ◽  
Zhenggang Xu ◽  
Weiping Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Water Source ◽  
Water Yield ◽  
Lake Basin ◽  
Lake Area ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Regional Water

Spatial and quantitative assessments of water yield services in watershed ecosystems are necessary for water resource management and improved water ecological protection. In this study, we used the InVEST model to estimate regional water yield in the Dongjiang Lake Basin in China. Moreover, we designed six scenarios to explore the impacts of climate and land use/land cover (LULC) changes on regional water yield and quantitatively determined the dominant mechanisms of water yield services. The results are expected to provide an important theoretical reference for future spatial planning and improvements of ecological service functions at the water source site. We found that (1) under the time series analysis, the water yield changes of the Dongjiang Lake Basin showed an initial decrease followed by an increase. Spatially, water yield also decreased from the lake area to the surrounding region. (2) Climate change exerted a more significant impact on water yield changes, contributing more than 98.26% to the water yield variability in the basin. In contrast, LULC had a much smaller influence, contributing only 1.74 %. (3) The spatial distribution pattern of water yield services in the watershed was more vulnerable to LULC changes. In particular, the expansion of built-up land is expected to increase the depth of regional water yield and alter its distribution, but it also increases the risk of waterlogging. Therefore, future development in the basin must consider the protection of ecological spaces and maintain the stability of the regional water yield function.

scholarly journals Geospatial analysis of wetlands based on land use/land cover dynamics using remote sensing and GIS in Sindh, Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 104 (2) ◽  
pp. 003685042110261
Author(s):  
Hamza Islam ◽  
Habibuulah Abbasi ◽  
Ahmed Karam ◽  
Ali Hassan Chughtai ◽  
Mansoor Ahmed Jiskani
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Vegetation Cover ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Kappa Statistics ◽  
Natural Ecosystem ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Dry Land ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Manchar Lake

In this study, the Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) change has been observed in wetlands comprises of Manchar Lake, Keenjhar Lake, and Chotiari Reservoir in Pakistan over the last four decades from 1972 to 2020. Each wetland has been categorized into four LULC classes; water, natural vegetation, agriculture land, and dry land. Multitemporal Landsat satellite data including; Multi-Spectral Scanner (MSS), Thematic Mapper (TM), and Operational Land Imager (OLI) images were used for LULC changes evaluation. The Supervised Maximum-likelihood classifier method is used to acquire satellite imagery for detecting the LULC changes during the whole study period. Soil adjusted vegetation index technique (SAVI) was also used to reduce the effects of soil brightness values for estimating the actual vegetation cover of each study site. Results have shown the significant impact of human activities on freshwater resources by changing the natural ecosystem of wetlands. Change detection analysis showed that the impacts on the land cover affect the landscape of the study area by about 40% from 1972 to 2020. The vegetation cover of Manchar Lake and Keenjhar Lake has been decreased by 6,337.17 and 558.18 ha, respectively. SAVI analysis showed that soil profile is continuously degrading which vigorously affects vegetation cover within the study area. The overall classification accuracy and Kappa statistics showed an accuracy of >90% for all LULC mapping studies. This work demonstrates the LULC changes as a critical monitoring basis for ongoing analyses of changes in land management to enable decision-makers to establish strategies for effectively using land resources.

scholarly journals Relationship between design floods and land use land cover (LULC) changes in a tropical complex catchment

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jabir Haruna Abdulkareem ◽  
Wan Nor Azmin Sulaiman ◽  
Biswajeet Pradhan ◽  
Nor Rohaizah Jamil
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Design Floods

scholarly journals An Analysis of Urban Land Use/Land Cover Changes in Blantyre City, Southern Malawi (1994–2018)

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 2377 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Mawenda ◽  
Teiji Watanabe ◽  
Ram Avtar
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Bare Land

Rapid and unplanned urban growth has adverse environmental and social consequences. This is prominent in sub-Saharan Africa where the urbanisation rate is high and characterised by the proliferation of informal settlements. It is, therefore, crucial that urban land use/land cover (LULC) changes be investigated in order to enhance effective planning and sustainable growth. In this paper, the spatial and temporal LULC changes in Blantyre city were studied using the integration of remotely sensed Landsat imageries of 1994, 2007 and 2018, and a geographic information system (GIS). The supervised classification method using the support vector machine algorithm was applied to generate the LULC maps. The study also analysed the transition matrices derived from the classified map to identify prominent processes of changes for planning prioritisation. The results showed that the built-up class, which included urban structures such as residential, industrial, commercial and public installations, increased in the 24-year study period. On the contrary, bare land, which included vacant lands, open spaces with little or no vegetation, hilly clear-cut areas and other fallow land, declined over the study period. This was also the case with the vegetation class (i.e., forests, parks, permanent tree-covered areas and shrubs). The post-classification results revealed that the LULC changes during the second period (2007–2018) were faster compared to the first period (1994–2007). Furthermore, the results revealed that the increase in built-up areas systematically targeted the bare land and avoided the vegetated areas, and that the vegetated areas were systematically cleared to bare land during the study period (1994–2018). The findings of this study have revealed the pressure of human activities on the land and natural environment in Blantyre and provided the basis for sustainable urban planning and development in Blantyre city.

scholarly journals Evaluation of surface properties and atmospheric disturbances caused by post-dam alterations of land use/land cover

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 3711-3732 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. T. Woldemichael ◽  
F. Hossain ◽  
R. Pielke Sr.
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
Atmospheric Modeling ◽  
Dew Point ◽  
Precipitation Event ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
River Watershed ◽  
Precipitation Patterns ◽  
Lulc Changes

Abstract. This study adopted a differential land-use/land-cover (LULC) analysis to evaluate dam-triggered land–atmosphere interactions for a number of LULC scenarios. Two specific questions were addressed: (1) can dam-triggered LULC heterogeneities modify surface and energy budget, which, in turn, change regional convergence and precipitation patterns? (2) How extensive is the modification in surface moisture and energy budget altered by dam-triggered LULC changes occurring in different climate and terrain features? The Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS, version 6.0) was set up for two climatologically and topographically contrasting regions: the American River watershed (ARW), located in California, and the Owyhee River watershed (ORW), located in eastern Oregon. For the selected atmospheric river precipitation event of 29 December 1996 to 3 January 1997, simulations of three pre-defined LULC scenarios are performed. The definition of the scenarios are (1) the "control" scenario, representing the contemporary land use, (2) the "pre-dam" scenario, representing the natural landscape before the construction of the dams and (3) the "non-irrigation" scenario, representing the condition where previously irrigated landscape in the control is transformed to the nearby land-use type. Results indicated that the ARW energy and moisture fluxes were more extensively affected by dam-induced changes in LULC than the ORW. Both regions, however, displayed commonalities in the modification of land–atmosphere processes due to LULC changes, with the control–non-irrigation scenario creating more change than the control–pre-dam scenarios. These commonalities were: (1) the combination of a decrease in temperature (up to 0.15 °C) and an increase at dew point (up to 0.25 °C) was observed; (2) there was a larger fraction of energy partitioned to latent heat flux (up to 10 W m−2) that increased the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere and resulted in a larger convective available potential energy (CAPE); (3) low-level wind-flow variation was found to be responsible for pressure gradients that affected localized circulations, moisture advection and convergence. At some locations, an increase in wind speed up to 1.6 m s−1 maximum was observed; (4) there were also areas of well-developed vertical motions responsible for moisture transport from the surface to higher altitudes that enhanced precipitation patterns in the study regions.

Influence of land use/land cover (LULC) changes on atmospheric dynamics over the arid region of Rajasthan state, India

2013 ◽  
Vol 88 ◽  
pp. 90-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shailesh Kumar Kharol ◽  
D.G. Kaskaoutis ◽  
K.V.S. Badarinath ◽  
Anu Rani Sharma ◽  
R.P. Singh
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Arid Region ◽  
Atmospheric Dynamics ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Lulc Changes

scholarly journals Land Use Land Cover Changes and Their Effects on Surface Air Temperature in Myanmar and Thailand

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 10942
Author(s):  
Khun La Yaung ◽  
Amnat Chidthaisong ◽  
Atsamon Limsakul ◽  
Pariwate Varnakovida ◽  
Can Trong Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Forest Conversion ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Forest Land ◽  
Lulc Changes ◽  
Average Maximum

Land use land cover (LULC) change is one of the main drivers contributing to global climate change. It alters surface hydrology and energy balance between the land surface and atmosphere. However, its impacts on surface air temperature have not been well understood in a dynamic region of LULC changes like Southeast Asia (SEA). This study quantitatively examined the contribution of LULC changes to temperature trends in Myanmar and Thailand as the typical parts of SEA during 1990–2019 using the “observation minus reanalysis” (OMR) method. Overall, the average maximum, mean, and minimum temperatures obtained from OMR trends indicate significant warming trends of 0.17 °C/10a, 0.20 °C/10a, and 0.42 °C/10a, respectively. The rates of minimum temperature increase were larger than maximum and mean temperatures. The decreases of forest land and cropland, and the expansions of settlements land fractions were strongly correlated with the observed warming trends. It was found that the effects of forest land converted to settlement land on warming were higher than forest conversion to cropland. A comprehensive discussion on this study could provide scientific information for the future development of more sustainable land use planning to mitigate and adapt to climate change at the local and national levels.

scholarly journals Evaluation of surface properties and atmospheric disturbances caused by post-dam alterations of land-use/land-cover

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 5037-5075 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. T. Woldemichael ◽  
F. Hossain ◽  
R. Pielke
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Atmospheric Modeling ◽  
Precipitation Event ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
River Watershed ◽  
Precipitation Patterns ◽  
Lulc Changes

Abstract. This study adopted a differential land-use/land-cover (LULC) analysis to evaluate dam-triggered land–atmosphere interactions for a number of LULC scenarios. Two specific questions were addressed: (1) can dam-triggered LULC heterogeneities modify surface and energy budget which, in turn, change regional convergence and precipitation patterns? and (2) how extensive is the modification in surface moisture and energy budget altered by dam-triggered LULC changes occurring in different climate and terrain features? The Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS, version 6.0) was set up for two climatologically and topographically contrasting regions: the American River Watershed (ARW) located in California and the Owyhee River Watershed (ORW) located in eastern Oregon. For the selected atmospheric river precipitation event of 29 December 1996 to 3 January 1997, simulations of three pre-defined LULC scenarios are performed. The definition of the scenarios are: (1) the control scenario representing the contemporary land-use, (2) the pre-dam scenario representing the natural landscape before the construction of the dams and (3) the non-irrigation scenario representing the condition where previously irrigated landscape in the control is transformed to the nearby land-use type. Results indicated that the ARW energy and moisture fluxes were more extensively affected by dam-induced changes in LULC than the ORW. Both regions, however, displayed commonalities in the modification of land–atmosphere processes due to LULC changes, with the control–non-irrigation scenario creating more change than the control–pre-dam scenarios. These commonalities were: (1) the combination of a decrease in temperature (up to 0.15 °C) and an increase in dewpoint (up to 0.25 °C) was observed, (2) there was a larger fraction of energy partitioned to latent heat flux (up to 10 W m−2) that increased the amount of water vapor to the atmosphere and resulted in a larger convective available potential energy (CAPE), (3) low level wind flow variation was found to be responsible for pressure gradients that affected localized circulations, moisture advection and convergence. At some locations, an increase in wind speed up to 1.6 m s−1 maximum was observed, (4) there were also areas of well developed vertical motions responsible for moisture transport from the surface to higher altitudes that enhanced precipitation patterns in the study regions.

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