scholarly journals Sustainability of Business through Project Risk Identification with Use of Expert Estimates

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6311
Author(s):  
Katarina Buganova ◽  
Maria Luskova ◽  
Jozef Kubas ◽  
Michal Brutovsky ◽  
Jaroslav Slepecky

Projects are a tool that enables enterprises to implement innovation and development activities and achieve the goals in the set time, costs and required quality but they also bring risks that need to be adequately identified, analyzed and assessed. Important tools that can be used in project management in the process of risk identification are expert estimates. However, little attention is paid to determining the accuracy of expert estimates. To verify the accuracy of expert estimates, an analysis of all completed projects for a certain period of enterprise that implemented them was performed. The purpose of the study was to determine the accuracy of expert estimates in the enterprise implementing projects. This was ascertained by analyzing all available completed projects and by Barnard’s test at the significance level of α = 0.05. The Phi coefficient of association was used to determine its extent. In the paper, we pointed out how inappropriate expert estimates affect the completion of the project within the specified period.

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 199-205
Author(s):  
Evelina Parashkevova

The article focuses on issues related to agile project management, the integration of risk management into the project management process, and some contributing points of the agile methodology to improving the effectiveness of the project management process. Risk is presented as an unforeseen event that may have a positive or negative impact on project goals. The main advantage of agile risk management in a project is highlighted. The article also presents basic standards and methodologies for project management. Opportunities for applying the values and principles of flexible methodology in the risk management process are outlined. The main advantages of the flexible project management methodology are presented, focusing on the relationship with risk management. The introduction of agile project management as a methodology in organizations poses new challenges to risk management. Although some of the conventional methods can be applied, it is important to take into account the specific characteristics of the agile methodology. This implies a more dynamic application of a set of methods and techniques for identifying, analyzing, assessing, and affecting risk. An important factor in managing risk when applying the agile methodology is to identify the positively influencing unforeseen factors and accordingly to benefit from their favorable effects on project and organizational goals, i.e. a wider definition of risk associated with unforeseen circumstances, positive or negative, which arise in the course of project implementation is adopted here. This unconventional view allows for a higher value of project outcomes and effects as a consequence of emerging risks that have a positive impact on project goals. It is not possible for risk management to be a process independent of the project management process. Although in conventional risk management methodologies management is part of the project management, with agile methodology, things are slightly different. This is because agile project management methodology does not apply standardized processes and procedures. It leaves a project to develop naturally and in line with stakeholders’ requirements. Risk management consists of a particular sequence of activities applicable to both traditional and agile project management. The process includes as follows: risk identification, assessment and analysis, developing response strategies, monitoring and reporting. These activities, performed in a short timeframe and towards specific, simple and clear tasks, lead to significant reduction of the negative project risk and contribute to the occurrence of positive unforeseen events. It is important to note that risk management is thus simplified and becomes a much easier to be understood and properly implemented process by anyone involved in project implementation. Reducing the cost of risk management is a major asset of agile project management. Preliminary control is sporadic, with emphasis on early diagnosis and agile response. All this makes the agile project management methodology and risk management in a dynamic project environment more and more up to date.


2015 ◽  
Vol 719-720 ◽  
pp. 181-186
Author(s):  
Ya Ting Li

As the external environment of the international construction project has become increasingly complex, risk management is emphasized in the project management. BIM(Building Information Model) has bring change to the Construction Industry in China. It has contributed to the schedule and cost management. However, BIM is not widely used to solve the problem of risk management. This thesis cites the possibility about BIM application to risk management and evaluates the progress it may bring to the process of risk management. Furthermore, a BIM-Risk System is proposed for Chinese international contractors to solve some major risks the international contractors may face. By using this system, the level of the project risk management will significantly improve. Then the barriers and the potential problems of applying BIM to risk management in China are analyzed. The BIM application to risk management has great value to be further researched.


2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 79-86
Author(s):  
Agnieszka JĘDRUSIK

The purpose of this article is to present the process of risk management in project management. The analysis was based on a comparison of two best practices of IPMA and PRINCE. Risk management differs significantly between the two approaches, but it is up to the organization to choose its own management, monitoring and methodology tailored to the specific industry or sector. Risk management is an important aspect of the entire project life cycle and must be monitored throughout the project life cycle to protect not only the budget but all areas of the so-called "golden triangle". A very important aspect is the organization's awareness that risk management is everyone's responsibility, not just the project manager. This paper presents two different approaches to project risk management in two different methodologies.


Author(s):  
Muhammad T. Hatamleh

The majority of the approaches to managing project risk follow the logic of process groups. Project Management Institute (PMI) has 29 tools and techniques related to risk management process groups. Consequently, engineering and business schools have been accused of educating managers with sharp analytical skills but little understanding of social problems. The literature suggests that too much attention is focused on learning the techniques and formalities of risk management but not enough on the advanced issues of management. Also, the literature argues that there are two approaches to project management (hard and soft). The hard side only covers part of the managerial aspects which helps to manage foreseeable uncertainties. However, unforeseeable uncertainties need skills that related to soft side approaches such as emotional intelligence, navigating the organization’s culture, risk attitude, participative leadership style, and managing the relationship with stakeholders. This study provides an intensive review of the literature to discuss the need for integrating the hard and soft sides of management to achieve an effective risk management process. In addition, it proposes a conceptual framework that provides guidelines to enhance overall risk management efficiency.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-115
Author(s):  
Luis F. Copertari

The objective of this paper is to introduce and discuss the basics of a methodology called the Probabilistic Critical Path Method (PCPM) for managing the previously identified risks (uncertainty) of the three project management dimensions: time, cost and return (performance). An interactive Graphic User Interface (GUI) has been designed for visualizing the tradeoffs among these three dimensions as well as their uncertainties on a flat computer screen. The user can choose to visualize the probability of failure (exceeding some user given due date, budget or not exceeding a given Minimally Attractive Rate of Return – MARR) or the probability of success (not exceeding the due date and the budget and exceeding the MARR). PCPM allows for comprehensive project risk management and it constitutes a new integrative project risk management framework. This paper shows that it is possible to integrate all three project management dimensions (time, cost and return) and show their known risks as well as determining the optimal cost and the associated time and return for such optimal cost. Finally, it is possible to interactively show all this multidimensional information on a flat computer screen.


2018 ◽  
pp. 1606-1632
Author(s):  
Radu-Ioan Mogos ◽  
Constanta-Nicoleta Bodea ◽  
Stelian Stancu ◽  
Augustin Purnus ◽  
Maria-Iuliana Dascalu

During the last years, the development of the project risk management competencies became a ubiquitous objective for education and training in project management due to the increasing constraints which companies face on the implementation of their projects. Alignment to the professional standards and usage of innovative methods in designing and delivery of instruction represent common requirements that education and training providers should consider and fulfill. The authors examine the main challenges in addressing project risk management subject in the education programmes and identify how these challenges could be dealt by using curriculum management systems. In order to implement the identified improvements, the authors propose an innovative architecture for a curriculum management system, which can be adopted by those universities interested in developing competencies-based programmes in project management. Some preliminary results are presented and discussed.


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