scholarly journals Hybrid Bayesian Network Models to Investigate the Impact of Built Environment Experience before Adulthood on Students’ Tolerable Travel Time to Campus: Towards Sustainable Commute Behavior

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 325
Author(s):  
Yu Chen ◽  
Mahdi Aghaabbasi ◽  
Mujahid Ali ◽  
Sergey Anciferov ◽  
Linar Sabitov ◽  
...  

This present study developed two predictive and associative Bayesian network models to forecast the tolerable travel time of university students to campus. This study considered the built environment experiences of university students during their early life-course as the main predictors of this study. The Bayesian network models were hybridized with the Pearson chi-square test to select the most relevant variables to predict the tolerable travel time. Two predictive models were developed. The first model was applied only to the variables of the built environment, while the second model was applied to all variables that were identified using the Pearson chi-square tests. The results showed that most students were inclined to choose the tolerable travel time of 0–20 min. Among the built environment predictors, the availability of residential buildings in the neighborhood in the age periods of 14–18 was the most important. Taking all the variables into account, distance from students’ homes to campuses was the most important. The findings of this research imply that the built environment experiences of people during their early life-course may affect their future travel behaviors and tolerance. Besides, the outcome of this study can help planners create more sustainable commute behaviors among people in the future by building more compact and mixed-use neighborhoods.

2000 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 155-188 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Cheng ◽  
M. J. Druzdzel

Stochastic sampling algorithms, while an attractive alternative to exact algorithms in very large Bayesian network models, have been observed to perform poorly in evidential reasoning with extremely unlikely evidence. To address this problem, we propose an adaptive importance sampling algorithm, AIS-BN, that shows promising convergence rates even under extreme conditions and seems to outperform the existing sampling algorithms consistently. Three sources of this performance improvement are (1) two heuristics for initialization of the importance function that are based on the theoretical properties of importance sampling in finite-dimensional integrals and the structural advantages of Bayesian networks, (2) a smooth learning method for the importance function, and (3) a dynamic weighting function for combining samples from different stages of the algorithm. We tested the performance of the AIS-BN algorithm along with two state of the art general purpose sampling algorithms, likelihood weighting (Fung & Chang, 1989; Shachter & Peot, 1989) and self-importance sampling (Shachter & Peot, 1989). We used in our tests three large real Bayesian network models available to the scientific community: the CPCS network (Pradhan et al., 1994), the PathFinder network (Heckerman, Horvitz, & Nathwani, 1990), and the ANDES network (Conati, Gertner, VanLehn, & Druzdzel, 1997), with evidence as unlikely as 10^-41. While the AIS-BN algorithm always performed better than the other two algorithms, in the majority of the test cases it achieved orders of magnitude improvement in precision of the results. Improvement in speed given a desired precision is even more dramatic, although we are unable to report numerical results here, as the other algorithms almost never achieved the precision reached even by the first few iterations of the AIS-BN algorithm.


2018 ◽  
Vol 110 (4) ◽  
pp. e24079 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rainier Barrett ◽  
Shaoyi Jiang ◽  
Andrew D. White

2007 ◽  
pp. 300-318
Author(s):  
Vipin Narang ◽  
Rajesh Chowdhary ◽  
Ankush Mittal ◽  
Wing-Kin Sung

A predicament that engineers who wish to employ Bayesian networks to solve practical problems often face is the depth of study required in order to obtain a workable understanding of this tool. This chapter is intended as a tutorial material to assist the reader in efficiently understanding the fundamental concepts involved in Bayesian network applications. It presents a complete step by step solution of a bioinformatics problem using Bayesian network models, with detailed illustration of modeling, parameter estimation, and inference mechanisms. Considerations in determining an appropriate Bayesian network model representation of a physical problem are also discussed.


Author(s):  
Sabarathinam Chockalingam ◽  
Wolter Pieters ◽  
André Teixeira ◽  
Pieter van Gelder

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