scholarly journals Evaluating the Within-Host Dynamics of Ranavirus Infection with Mechanistic Disease Models and Experimental Data

Viruses ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph R. Mihaljevic ◽  
Amy L. Greer ◽  
Jesse L. Brunner

Mechanistic models are critical for our understanding of both within-host dynamics (i.e., pathogen replication and immune system processes) and among-host dynamics (i.e., transmission). Within-host models, however, are not often fit to experimental data, which can serve as a robust method of hypothesis testing and hypothesis generation. In this study, we use mechanistic models and empirical, time-series data of viral titer to better understand the replication of ranaviruses within their amphibian hosts and the immune dynamics that limit viral replication. Specifically, we fit a suite of potential models to our data, where each model represents a hypothesis about the interactions between viral replication and immune defense. Through formal model comparison, we find a parsimonious model that captures key features of our time-series data: The viral titer rises and falls through time, likely due to an immune system response, and that the initial viral dosage affects both the peak viral titer and the timing of the peak. Importantly, our model makes several predictions, including the existence of long-term viral infections, which can be validated in future studies.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph R. Mihaljevic ◽  
Amy L. Greer ◽  
Jesse L. Brunner

AbstractMechanistic models are critical for our understanding of both within-host dynamics (i.e., pathogen population growth and immune system processes) and among-host dynamics (i.e., transmission). Rarely, however, have within-host models been synthesized with data to infer processes, validate hypotheses, or generate new theories. In this study we use mechanistic models and empirical, time-series data of viral titer to better understand the growth of ranaviruses within their amphibian hosts and the immune dynamics that limit viral replication. Specifically, we fit a suite of potential models to our data, where each model represents a hypothesis about the interactions between viral growth and immune defense. Through formal model comparison, we find a parsimonious model that captures key features of our time-series data: the viral titer rises and falls through time, likely due to an immune system response, and that the initial viral dosage affects both the peak viral titer and the timing of the peak. Importantly, our model makes several predictions, including the existence of long-term viral infections, that can be validated in future studies.


1995 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
pp. 265-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
MICHAEL ROSENBLUM ◽  
JÜRGEN KURTHS

We would like to draw the attention of specialists in time series analysis to a simple but efficient algorithm for the determination of hidden periodic regimes in complex time series. The algorithm is stable towards additive noise and allows one to detect periodicity even if the examined data set contains only a few periods. In such cases it is more suitable than other techniques, such as spectral analysis or recurrence map. We recommend the use of this test prior to the evaluation of attractor dimensions and other dynamical characteristics from experimental data.


2008 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. CIN.S694 ◽  
Author(s):  
B.A. McKinney ◽  
D. Tian

An artificial immune system algorithm is introduced in which nonlinear dynamic models are evolved to fit time series of interacting biomolecules. This grammar-based machine learning method learns the structure and parameters of the underlying dynamic model. In silico immunogenetic mechanisms for the generation of model-structure diversity are implemented with the aid of a grammar, which also enforces semantic constraints of the evolved models. The grammar acts as a DNA repair polymerase that can identify recombination and hypermutation signals in the antibody (model) genome. These signals contain information interpretable by the grammar to maintain model context. Grammatical Immune System Evolution (GISE) is applied to a nonlinear system identification problem in which a generalized (nonlinear) dynamic Bayesian model is evolved to fit biologically motivated artificial time-series data. From experimental data, we use GISE to infer an improved kinetic model for the oxidative metabolism of 17β-estradiol (E2), the parent hormone of the estrogen metabolism pathway.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan M. Cassidy ◽  
Alexis G. Bavencoffe ◽  
Elia R. Lopez ◽  
Sai S. Cheruvu ◽  
Edgar T. Walters ◽  
...  

AbstractExtracting biological signals from non-linear, dynamic and stochastic experimental data can be challenging, especially when the signal is non-stationary. Many currently available methods make assumptions about the data structure (e.g., signal is periodic, sufficient recording time) and modify the raw data in pre-processing using filters and/or transformations. With an agnostic approach to biological data analysis as a goal, we implemented a signal detection algorithm in Python that quantifies the dimensional properties of waveform deviations from baseline via a running fit function. We call the resulting free program frequency-independent biological signal identification (FIBSI). We demonstrate the utility of FIBSI on two disparate types of experimental data: in vitro whole-cell current-clamp electrophysiological recordings of rodent sensory neurons (i.e., nociceptors) and in vivo fluorescence image time-lapse movies capturing gastrointestinal motility in larval zebrafish. In rodent nociceptors, depolarizing fluctuations in membrane potential are irregular in shape and difficult to distinguish from noise. Using FIBSI, we determined that nociceptors from naïve mice generate larger, more frequent fluctuations compared to naïve rats, suggesting species-specific specializations in rodent nociceptors. In zebrafish, measuring gut motility is a useful tool for addressing developmental and disease-related mechanisms associated with gut function. However, available methods are laborious, technically complex, and/or not cost-effective. We developed and tested a novel assay that can characterize intestinal peristalsis using imaging time series datasets. We used FIBSI to identify muscle contractions in the fluorescence signals and compared their frequencies in unfed and fed larvae. Additionally, FIBSI allowed us to discriminate between peristalsis and oscillatory sphincter-like movements in functionally distinct gut segments (foregut, midgut, and cloaca). We conclude that FIBSI, which is freely available via GitHub, is widely useful for the unbiased analysis of non-stationary signals and extraction of biologically meaningful information from experimental time series data and can be employed for both descriptive and hypothesis-driven investigations.Author SummaryBiologists increasingly work with large, complex experimental datasets. Those datasets often encode biologically meaningful signals along with background noise that is recorded along with the biological data during experiments. Background noise masks the real signal but originates from other sources, for example from the equipment used to perform the measurements or environmental disturbances. When it comes to analyzing the data, distinguishing between the real biological signals and the background noise can be very challenging. Many existing programs designed to help scientists with this problem are either difficult to use, not freely available, or only appropriate to use on very specific types of datasets. The research presented here embodies our goal of helping others to analyze their data by employing a powerful but novice-friendly program that describes multiple features of biological activity in its raw form without abstract transformations. We show the program’s applicability using two different kinds of biological activity measured in our labs. It is our hope that this will help others to analyze complex datasets more easily, thoroughly, and rigorously.


2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen J. Tueller ◽  
Richard A. Van Dorn ◽  
Georgiy Bobashev ◽  
Barry Eggleston

Author(s):  
Rizki Rahma Kusumadewi ◽  
Wahyu Widayat

Exchange rate is one tool to measure a country’s economic conditions. The growth of a stable currency value indicates that the country has a relatively good economic conditions or stable. This study has the purpose to analyze the factors that affect the exchange rate of the Indonesian Rupiah against the United States Dollar in the period of 2000-2013. The data used in this study is a secondary data which are time series data, made up of exports, imports, inflation, the BI rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the money supply (M1) in the quarter base, from first quarter on 2000 to fourth quarter on 2013. Regression model time series data used the ARCH-GARCH with ARCH model selection indicates that the variables that significantly influence the exchange rate are exports, inflation, the central bank rate and the money supply (M1). Whereas import and GDP did not give any influence.


2016 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
pp. 363-372
Author(s):  
Takaaki Nakamura ◽  
Makoto Imamura ◽  
Masashi Tatedoko ◽  
Norio Hirai

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