Price Discovery in Options Market with regard to Fiscal Budget Announcement: An Event Study Analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 189-195
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Price Discovery ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Options Market ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Expected Payoff

This research empirically investigated the informational role of options market using a sample of NSE listed 30 stocks with options and 30 stocks without options about the relevant Fiscal budget 2019 announcement. Given the higher expected payoff to trading in options contracts, this finding of non-significant abnormal returns for stocks with options around fiscal budget announcement was not surprising as it validated the prior empirical studies documenting options market as a preferred source of trading to informed investors.

Financial institutions mergers: a strategy choice of wealth maximisation and economic value

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 495-529
Author(s):  
Mohamad Hassan ◽  
Evangelos Giouvris
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Value Creation ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Event Window ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Merger Announcement

Purpose This study Investigates Shareholders' value adjustment in response to financial institutions (FIs) merger announcements in the immediate event window and in the extended event window. This study also investigates accounting measures performance, comparison of post-merger to pre-merger, including several cash flow measures and not just profitability measures, as the empirical literature review suggests. Finally, the authors examine FIs mergers orientations of diversification and focus create more value for shareholders (in the immediate announcement window and several months afterward) and/or generates better cash flows, profitability and less credit risk. Design/methodology/approach This study examines FIs merger effect on bidders’ shareholder’s value and on their observed performance. This examination deploys three techniques simultaneously: a) an event study analysis, to estimate and calculate abnormal returns (ARs) and cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) in the narrow windows of the merger announcement, b) buy and hold event study analysis, to estimate ARs in the wider window of the event, +50 to +230 days after the merger announcement and c) an observed performance analysis, of financial and capital efficiency measures before and after the merger announcement; return on equity, liquidity, cost to income ratio, capital to total assets ratio, net loans to total loans, credit risk, loans to deposits ratio, other expenses and total assets, economic value addition, weighted average cost of capital and return on invested capital. Deal criteria of value, mega-deals, strategic orientation (as in Ansoff (1980) growth strategies), acquiring bank size and payment method are set as individually as control variables. Findings Results show that FIs mergers destroy share value for the bidding firms pursuing a market penetration strategy. Market development and product development strategies enable shareholders’ value creation in short and long horizons. Diversification strategies do not influence bidding shareholders’ value. Local bank to bank mergers create shareholders’ value and enhance liquidity and economic value in the short run. Bank to bank cross border mergers create value for bidders’ in the long term but are associated with high costs and higher risks. Originality/value A significant advancement over the current literature is in assessing mergers, not only for bank bidders but also for the three pillars FIs of the financial sector; banks, real-estate companies and investment companies mergers. It is an improvement over current finance literature because it deploys two different strategies in the analysis. At a univariate level, shareholder value creation and market reaction to merger announcements are examined over short (−5 or +5 days) and long (+230 days) windows of the event. Followed by regressing, the resultant CARs and BHARs over financial performance variables at the multivariate level.

Impact of ETF Listing on the Returns Generated by Underlying Stocks: Indian Evidence

2021 ◽  
pp. 0258042X2199101
Author(s):  
Prabhdeep Kaur ◽  
Jaspal Singh
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Price Impact ◽  
Exchange Traded Funds ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Jel Codes ◽  
Securities Transaction Tax ◽  
Underlying Stocks ◽  
Transaction Tax ◽  
The Impact

The advent of exchange traded funds (ETFs) has rendered index trading much affordable compared to their futures counterparts. The present study attempts to examine the impact of ETF listing on the price of the constituent securities of the index that it aims to track. The sample comprises of all the equity ETFs listed in India from 1 January 2002 to 31 March 2019. Event study analysis has been used to examine whether listing of ETFs bore any price impact on the constituent stocks of ETFs. To account for robustness, both parametric and non-parametric tests have been employed. The estimates obtained from event study analysis revealed that the constituent stocks generated insignificant returns for the period extending from January 2002 to March 2009 and April 2009 to March 2013 but positive and significant cumulative average abnormal returns (CAARs) post ETF listing for the period ranging from April 2013 to March 2019, thus providing evidence in support of positive price impact. The permission granted to pension funds, insurers and Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) to invest their funds in ETFs as well as reduction in Securities Transaction Tax (STT) account for the observed price differential. An analysis of the factors accounting for the variation in valuation effects ascertained that the stocks that were traded thinly prior to ETF listing and those forming part of ETFs with larger asset base experienced positive price impact following ETF listing. JEL Codes: G11, G14

New product announcement: spokesperson a manifestation of increasing firm value

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1635-1655
Author(s):  
Bikram Jit Singh Mann ◽  
Sonia Babbar
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Source Credibility ◽  
Shareholder Value ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
New Product ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Before introducing new products, companies make announcements regarding the launch of the product which influences stock market yields of the announcing companies. Information content of the new product announcement has never been an exclusive focused stream of research. Therefore, an assessment of the impact of the content characteristics of the new product announcement on the shareholder value and the impact of source credibility (spokesperson) in making such announcements is a major gap in the existing literature. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach First, the standard event study methodology has been employed on the sample to measure the abnormal gains/losses accruing to the announcing firms. Second, moderated regression analysis (MRA) is employed to identify the characteristics of the new product announcement and to check the role of the spokesperson in creating shareholder value. Findings The results of the event study indicate that the abnormal returns are generated during the new product announcement. The results of MRA disclose the variables having a positive and a significant influence on the effective returns of the announcing companies. Likewise, the role of the spokesperson has come out brightly as a credible communicator. Originality/value The research provides a direction to the announcing companies regarding the content of the announcement leading to a positive perception among the investing community. Likewise, it also provides direction to the investor community about the characteristics of the announcement content they give weight age in forming a perception of strength in evaluating the new product announcement, to which they are largely unaware.

THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM ON TURKISH BANKS’ STOCKS AND CROSS-BANK VARIATION OF ABNORMAL RETURNS

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050011
Author(s):  
EDA ORHUN
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Terrorist Attack ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Income Level ◽  
The Other ◽  
Terrorist Attacks ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact of the recent terrorist attacks on the Turkish banking sector. Specifically, an event study analysis is executed to estimate the abnormal returns of banks’ stocks in Turkey. According to the results, negative and significant abnormal returns were observed on the event dates of terrorist attacks, those of which especially occurred at international points and touristic places. The study continues with a regression analysis that looks into the cross-bank variation of abnormal returns by using important bank characteristics as predictors. The regression analysis exhibits that banks with higher leverage and larger size are prone to getting more negatively affected by the terrorist attack. On the other hand, banks with higher liquidity and higher income level are likely to have less negative abnormal returns.

Pre-Empting the Competition: How Do Shareholders View Sponsorships in the Sport Apparel Industry?

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 275-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adrien Bouchet ◽  
Thomas W. Doellman ◽  
Mike Troilo ◽  
Brian R. Walkup
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Apparel Industry ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Winner's Curse ◽  
Football Club ◽  
Winner’S Curse ◽  
Fierce Competition

Gaining exclusive sponsorship rights to international football club apparel has become increasingly competitive, resulting in larger deal values. The first objective of this study was to analyze the effect of kit sponsorship announcements on the underlying value of sponsoring firms. Utilizing event study analysis, we found that firms announcing kit sponsorships experience negative abnormal returns. This finding may not be surprising given the fierce competition for obtaining valuable, scarce marketing space and the well-known winner’s curse. The second objective was to shed further light on the value of kit sponsorship deals by conducting a novel test in which we analyzed a subset of sample observations where the kit sponsorship changed to a new sponsor. We found that firms may be willing to overpay for sponsorships to pre-empt their direct competitors from obtaining valuable, scarce marketing space. Firms losing a pre-existing sponsorship to a direct competitor experience large negative abnormal returns.

The influence of title sponsorships in sports events on stock price returns

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masaki Kudo ◽  
Yong Jae Ko ◽  
Matthew Walker ◽  
Daniel P Connaughton
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Sports Events ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Event Date ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study was to examine stock price abnormal returns following title sponsorship announcement and event date of NASCAR, the PGA Tour, and the LPGA Tour. For this purpose, the authors used event study analysis where the analysis measures the impact that a specific event has on stock prices by comparing actual stock returns to estimated returns (Spais & Filis, 2008). An event study analysis demonstrated that title sponsors for the LPGA Tour and NASCAR garnered significant stock price increases on both the announcement date and the event date. The moderator tests suggested that high image congruence and high-technology related sponsorships assumed a key role in stock price increases.

On the Role of CRA Ratings - An Event Study Analysis of European Convertibles

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steffen Hundt ◽  
Bjjrn Sprungk ◽  
Andreas Horsch
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Study Analysis

scholarly journals The Effect of China-U.S. Trade Dispute on Chinese Stock Market: New Evidence from the Event Study Analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 105-117
Author(s):  
Fuzhong Chen ◽  
Di Yu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
The United States ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Trade Dispute ◽  
The Impact

In 2018, the China-U.S. trade dispute started, which brings heterogeneous impacts on the global economy. The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of tariffs targeting Chinese exporting commodities imposed by the U.S. on the Chinese stock market by utilizing the event study analysis. 10 industries' stock returns between Jan. 3rd , 2017, and Apr. 3rd , 2020 were selected as the research objectives from the WIND database, according to the Chinese Shen Wan's classification standard. Results based on event study analysis show that: First, the China-U.S. trade dispute causes significant fluctuations to Chinese stock returns. Second, the impacts of the trade dispute are mainly negative, showing by the negative cumulative average abnormal returns in the export-oriented sectors when they are encountered with new tariffs imposed by the United States. However, the effects can also be positive because of the various situations of targeted industries, and the defensive measures taken by China. Third, the trade dispute also affects investors' views on the macro economy, in which the impact on the real economy can be transferred to other non-export-oriented industries, such as the banking sector. This study provides empirical evidence for China's policymakers to take measures in strengthening the independence of innovation, protecting intellectual property rights. Investors also need to equip themselves with more financial knowledge.

scholarly journals Abnormal returns: econometric problems or psychological bias?

2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 463-470
Author(s):  
Nizar Hachicha ◽  
Abdelfettah Bouri ◽  
Foued Khlifi
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Strong Positive Correlation ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Trading Volumes ◽  
Psychological Bias ◽  
Event Study Methodology

To validate the existence of abnormal returns, the most of empirical studies use the event study methodology which examines the behavior of firms’ stock prices around corporate event. However, this methodology was been the source of several limits. Some defenders of efficiency theory assert that the abnormal returns are due to the event study methodology failures and econometric problems. However, partisans of behavioral finance demonstrate that the abnormal returns are due to psychological bias. The main purpose of this paper is to verify if the abnormal returns resulting from the event study methodology are due to econometric problems or to psychological bias generated by irrational investors’ reactions. For the econometric bias, five problems are studied: the choice of market index; the missing observations; the abnormal returns normality, joined hypothesis; and the variance volatility in the event window. Results show that abnormal returns are far from being due to the event study methodology failures and econometric bias. For the psychological problems, based on trading volumes, the results show negative and significant abnormal returns (investors’ under-reaction); a strong positive correlation between abnormal returns and abnormal trading volumes and a significant causal sense between them. So, abnormal returns are due to psychological bias

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